Undervalued talent in the NBA playoffs

With the underdog Miami Heat ahead of the Celtics 3-0, and the Denver Nuggets ahead of the Lakers 3-0, it is time to assess a lesson or two.

As for Miami, four of their key players — Gabe Vincent, Max Strus, Caleb Martin and Duncan Robinson — were undrafted altogether.  This is not only a lesson in talent spotting, it is a lesson of talent development.  Those four players have accounted for about forty percent (ESPN gate) of Miami’s points this season.  No one on Miami made the All-Star team in 2023.

How about Denver?  Jokic, if he proves durable, could end up as one of the top ten players of all time.  He was a second-round draft pick (#41), snagged perceptively by Denver and then given a chance to develop, which took a few years.  Only Jokic made the All-Star team this year.  KCP, a key player for Denver, was let go by the Lakers two years ago and then the Wizards a year ago.  Now he is an essential contributor, most of all against the Lakers.  (Who even remembers who Denver gave up to get him?)  The second best Denver player, Jamal Murray, was picked #7 in 2016.  If Philadelphia had deployed their number one pick on him, instead of Ben Simmons, who basically refused to play, they probably would be winning a title right now.

So the potential gains to being good at talent selection are very real indeed.  Not every major contributors starts off as a Lebron James or a Victor Wembanyama.