Groundhog Day 2023 prediction: Punxsutawney Phil sees his shadow, meaning 6 more weeks of winter
Anthony DiMattiaNothing can keep that weather prognosticating groundhog down.
Punxsutawney Phil was back at it again celebrating Groundhog Day with thousands in Pennsylvania on Thursday, forecasting six more weeks of winter after seeing his shadow during the annual spectacle at Gobbler's Knob in Punxsutawney.
Thousands watched on as Phil popped out of his burrow at 7:25 a.m. to frigid 20-degree weather.
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What did Punxsutawney Phil say?
Per tradition, the crowd was lead by about a dozen members of Phil's "Inner Circle," a group of men in top hats who organize the event each year.
Last year, the event held in the borough in Jefferson County — some 65 miles northeast of Pittsburgh — returned to its traditional format after going virtual in 2021 due the COVID-19 pandemic.
Over the 137-year tradition, it is the 107th time Phil has seen his shadow.
Phil's prediction followed a massive winter storm that hit much of the U.S., causing 300,000 residents to be without power in Texas and forcing the cancellation of up to 2,200 flights. In Minnesota, residents in the northern portion of the state dealt with temperatures as low as minus 25 degrees with light winds meaning 35 below in some areas during portions of the week.
What if the groundhog sees his shadow?
The annual event has its origin in a German legend about a furry rodent. It roots back to Candlemas Day in Europe with the Christian "festival of lights" that falls on Feb. 2, midway between the start and end of winter.
Tradition says Phil seeing his shadow is a sign that the next six weeks will bring wintry weather.
If Phil doesn't see his shadow, it means an early spring.
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Groundhog Day explained:Origins of Punxsutawney Phil and why sunny weather means more winter
Groundhog Day isn't scientific (in fact, Punxsutawney Phil's weather predictions are wrong most of the time).
If we're being honest, it even defies common sense.
The legend is simple: the groundhog's shadow on Feb. 2 predicts the weather for the next six weeks, until the start of spring.
A sunny day means the groundhog will see his shadow — this is taken as a sign that the next six weeks will bring wintry weather. A cloudy day means the opposite.
What keeps Punxsutawney Phil going?
In Punxsutawney, 1886 marked the first time that Groundhog Day appeared in the local newspaper. The following year brought the first official trek to Gobbler's Knob. Each year since then has seen a steady increase in participation of the celebration from people all over the world, according to groundhog.org.
It's been the same Punxsutawney Phil for all 137 years of the tradition, according to the Punxsutawney Groundhog Club. That's over 15 times longer than the upper end of a groundhog's typical lifespan. That's an old groundhog.
Those at the club say a special diet keeps Pennsylvania's most famous groundhog coming back each year, according to the Inner Circle.
The 15 member group tasked with protecting and perpetuating the legend of the great weather-predicting groundhog, claim they keep him immortal by feeding him the "groundhog punch" every year.
In the late summer, the club makes a Trek to Phil's Stump at Gobbler's Knob to feed him his “Elixir of Life,” members say. The elixir is made from a secret recipe and provides Phil with the potion that has sustained his longevity and youthful good looks, they said.
Phil's predictions of years past
Phil's first official shadow sighting came in 1887, followed by several years of no official recordings.
The first front page coverage came in 1908, when Phil saw his shadow. In 1913, John Frampton was the first to grab a photo for the newspaper of Phil spotting his shadow.
His longest stretch of seeing his shadow is 21 years, which came between 1913 and 1933. His longest streak of not seeing his shadow — two years between 2019 and 2020.
The only time he did not make an appearance came in 1943 during the middle of World War II.
He has seen his shadow the most, as he has predicted a longer winter 106 (84%) times before the 2023 prediction. Here's are all of his results since 1887:
- Saw shadow (six more weeks of winter): 106
- No shadow (early spring): 29
- Partial shadow: 1
- No record: 10
- Did not appear: 1
