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<feedburner:origLink>https://www.moneymetals.com/news/2026/09/24/treasury-announces-second-oversized-bond-buyback-as-it-tries-to-put-a-lid-on-yields-005234</feedburner:origLink>
				<title>Treasury Announces Second Oversized Bond Buyback as It Tries to Put a Lid on Yields</title>
				<description><![CDATA[The Treasury Department is taking another swing at yields with a second $6 billion bond buyback (intervention) today.<div style="clear:both;padding-top:0.2em;"><a href="https://feeds.feedblitz.com/_/28/969894374/moneymetals"><img height="20" src="https://assets.feedblitz.com/i/fblike20.png" style="border:0;margin:0;padding:0;"></a>&#160;<a href="https://feeds.feedblitz.com/_/29/969894374/moneymetals,https%3a%2f%2fwww.moneymetals.com%2fuploads%2fcontent%2f30-year-treasury-sept-24-26.png"><img height="20" src="https://assets.feedblitz.com/i/pinterest20.png" style="border:0;margin:0;padding:0;"></a>&#160;<a href="https://feeds.feedblitz.com/_/24/969894374/moneymetals"><img height="20" src="https://assets.feedblitz.com/i/x.png" style="border:0;margin:0;padding:0;"></a>&#160;<a href="https://feeds.feedblitz.com/_/19/969894374/moneymetals"><img height="20" src="https://assets.feedblitz.com/i/email20.png" style="border:0;margin:0;padding:0;"></a>&#160;<a href="https://feeds.feedblitz.com/_/20/969894374/moneymetals"><img height="20" src="https://assets.feedblitz.com/i/rss20.png" style="border:0;margin:0;padding:0;"></a>&nbsp;&#160;</div>]]>
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				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>&lt;p&gt;The Treasury Department will buy back another $6 billion in long-term Treasuries today (Thursday, Sept. 24) as it continues efforts to tamp down rising yields.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent announced this second expanded buyback on Wednesday.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;And once again, the markets shrugged.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;The 30-year Treasury hit a session high of 5.38 percent, close to the 5.4 percent peak earlier this month, the highest since 2007. Thursday morning before the buyback, the 30-year yield had nudged upward to 5.42 percent.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&lt;img src=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.moneymetals.com/uploads/content/30-year-treasury-sept-24-26.png&amp;quot">https://www.moneymetals.com/uploads/content/30-year-treasury-sept-24-26.png&amp;quot</a>; width=&quot;600&quot; height=&quot;304&quot; class=&quot;mx-auto p-3&quot; alt=&quot;&quot; /&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;That&#039;s probably not the result Bessent was hoping for.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Thursday&#039;s operation will begin at 1:40 p.m.&lt;/p&gt;
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&lt;p&gt;Last month, Bessent signaled that the Treasury would increase its bond market intervention. Initially, he said the plan was to &amp;ldquo;at least&amp;rdquo; double operations from $2 billion to $4 billion beginning in September. Yields initially fell but quickly recovered.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Last week, the Treasury executed the first buyback, &lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.moneymetals.com/news/2026/09/10/treasury-department-announces-even-bigger-bond-buyback-market-shrugs-005192&amp;quot">https://www.moneymetals.com/news/2026/09/10/treasury-department-announces-even-bigger-bond-buyback-market-shrugs-005192&amp;quot</a>;&gt;purchasing $6 billion in long-dated Treasuries&lt;/a&gt;.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Yields fell - and then started climbing again within the hour.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;In these operations, the Treasury Department buys older long-term bonds on the open market and retires them. In theory, the increased demand will raise prices and lower yields. This benefits the federal government by lowering interest rates on newly issued debt on the long end of the curve.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;The Treasury funds these buybacks by selling shorter-term notes and bonds. In practice, the Treasury borrows money to buy debt from people who already lent it money so it can borrow more money from other people at a slightly lower interest rate.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;This is imperative given that the federal government already &lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.moneymetals.com/news/2026/08/13/trump-administration-runs-largest-monthly-budget-deficit-in-five-years-005135&amp;quot">https://www.moneymetals.com/news/2026/08/13/trump-administration-runs-largest-monthly-budget-deficit-in-five-years-005135&amp;quot</a>;&gt;shells out over $1 trillion annually in interest expense&lt;/a&gt;.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;However, so far, the efforts haven&amp;rsquo;t produced the desired effect. The bond market continues to sell off despite the Treasury&amp;rsquo;s intervention.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Perhaps Thursday&amp;rsquo;s buyback will move the needle on yields, but it seems unlikely given the market&amp;rsquo;s response to the announcement.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;In the big scheme of things, this isn&amp;rsquo;t a big operation. Six billion dollars is a drop in the bucket in a $32 trillion bond market.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;But while the operation&#039;s extent isn&amp;rsquo;t materially significant, Bessent&amp;rsquo;s message is.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;And what is that message?&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Desperation.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;div x-data=&quot;{ item_id: undefined, view: null }&quot; x-html=&quot;view || &#039;Product-Random-Best&#039;&quot; x-init=&quot;view = await (await fetch(&#039;/shortcodes/product/random/best?category=all&#039;)).text()&quot;&gt;!!--Product-Random-Best-All--!!&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;p&gt;The Treasury Department is worried about the state of the bond market and its ability to continue funding the federal government&#039;s borrow-and-spend binge.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;After Bessent announced the $6 billion buyback last week, Stanley Druckenmiller said the Treasury Secretary is setting his feet on a slippery slope. Now that he&amp;rsquo;s intervened, it may well require increasingly larger buybacks just to keep a lid on the market.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;blockquote&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&amp;ldquo;Once markets believe Treasury is defending a price, every rise in yields becomes a test of official resolve, and the operations must grow to survive the tests. Governments defending prices against fundamentals always lose. The only variable is how much they spend before conceding.&amp;rdquo;&amp;nbsp;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;/blockquote&gt;
&lt;p&gt;This messaging could backfire on Bessent. The markets might decide the Treasury Department&amp;rsquo;s desperate swing at yields is a signal to get out of an unraveling bond market.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Time will tell.&lt;/p&gt;</p><Img align="left" border="0" height="1" width="1" alt="" style="border:0;float:left;margin:0;padding:0;width:1px!important;height:1px!important;" hspace="0" src="https://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/i/969894374/0/moneymetals">
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				<pubDate>Thu, 24 Sep 2026 00:00:00 EST</pubDate></item>
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<feedburner:origLink>https://www.moneymetals.com/news/2026/09/24/chinese-gold-imports-hit-highest-level-in-nearly-a-decade-005233</feedburner:origLink>
				<title>Chinese Gold Imports Hit Highest Level in Nearly a Decade</title>
				<description><![CDATA[So far this year, Chinese gold imports are at the highest level since at least 2017.<div style="clear:both;padding-top:0.2em;"><a href="https://feeds.feedblitz.com/_/28/969869111/moneymetals"><img height="20" src="https://assets.feedblitz.com/i/fblike20.png" style="border:0;margin:0;padding:0;"></a>&#160;<a href="https://feeds.feedblitz.com/_/29/969869111/moneymetals,https%3a%2f%2fwww.moneymetals.com%2fuploads%2fcontent%2fchina-gold-imports-aug-26.png"><img height="20" src="https://assets.feedblitz.com/i/pinterest20.png" style="border:0;margin:0;padding:0;"></a>&#160;<a href="https://feeds.feedblitz.com/_/24/969869111/moneymetals"><img height="20" src="https://assets.feedblitz.com/i/x.png" style="border:0;margin:0;padding:0;"></a>&#160;<a href="https://feeds.feedblitz.com/_/19/969869111/moneymetals"><img height="20" src="https://assets.feedblitz.com/i/email20.png" style="border:0;margin:0;padding:0;"></a>&#160;<a href="https://feeds.feedblitz.com/_/20/969869111/moneymetals"><img height="20" src="https://assets.feedblitz.com/i/rss20.png" style="border:0;margin:0;padding:0;"></a>&nbsp;&#160;</div>]]>
</description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>&lt;p&gt;So far this year, Chinese gold imports are at the highest level since at least 2017.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;China ranks as the world&amp;rsquo;s largest gold market.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Through the first eight months of 2026, China spent $158.8 billion to import more than 1,100 tonnes of gold, according to China&amp;rsquo;s General Administration of Customs.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;That&amp;rsquo;s already far above the total imported in 2025.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&lt;img src=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.moneymetals.com/uploads/content/china-gold-imports-aug-26.png&amp;quot">https://www.moneymetals.com/uploads/content/china-gold-imports-aug-26.png&amp;quot</a>; width=&quot;500&quot; height=&quot;368&quot; class=&quot;mx-auto p-3&quot; alt=&quot;&quot; /&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;div x-data=&quot;{ item_id: undefined, view: null }&quot; x-html=&quot;view || &#039;Product-Random-New&#039;&quot; x-init=&quot;view = await (await fetch(&#039;/shortcodes/product/random/new?category=all&#039;)).text()&quot;&gt;!!--Product-Random-New-All--!!&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Chinese customs data date back to 2017.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Jinrui Futures Co. analyst Zijie Wu said strong investment demand has kept the gold price at a slight premium in China, incentivizing imports.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;blockquote&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&quot;The yuan has remained strong since the beginning of this year, creating favorable conditions for gold imports and enabling regulators to grant more generous approval quotas.&quot;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;/blockquote&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Imports also got a boost in June when the government instituted &lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.moneymetals.com/news/2026/06/30/chinese-officials-float-plan-to-streamline-gold-importexport-rules-005023&amp;quot">https://www.moneymetals.com/news/2026/06/30/chinese-officials-float-plan-to-streamline-gold-importexport-rules-005023&amp;quot</a>;&gt;a new import licensing regime&lt;/a&gt; that encouraged banks to use up existing import quotas.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Saxo Bank head of commodity strategies Ole Hansen said Chinese investors are accumulating gold as an alternative to traditional investments in property and stocks, noting that the opportunity cost for holding gold is lower in China than in the West.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;blockquote&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&quot;While investors in the rest of the world are facing some headwinds from rising interest rates and surging bond yields, the opposite is the case in China where short- and long-term yields are significantly lower, reducing the opportunity cost of holding bullion.&quot;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;/blockquote&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Notably, China&amp;rsquo;s U.S. Treasury holdings fell to $618 billion in July. That was the lowest level since August 2008.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;However, there are signs physical demand may be cooling.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Gold withdrawals from the Shanghai Gold Exchange (SGE) fell 22 percent month-on-month in August to 62 tonnes. According to the World Gold Council, this reflects &amp;ldquo;&lt;em&gt;cooling momentum in bullion investment and still tepid gold jewelry demand overall.&lt;/em&gt;&amp;rdquo;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;On the other hand, gold ETF investment surged last month, with Chinese ETFs accumulating 11 additional tonnes of gold in August.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;ETFs are a convenient way for investors to play the gold market, but&amp;nbsp;&lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://youtu.be/7aP6VbgXVeM?si=O3yPeFkTYFHOXrHe&amp;quot">https://youtu.be/7aP6VbgXVeM?si=O3yPeFkTYFHOXrHe&amp;quot</a>; target=&quot;_blank&quot; rel=&quot;noopener&quot;&gt;owning ETF shares is not the same as holding physical gold&lt;/a&gt;.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;World Gold Council analysts say Chinese gold investment will likely hinge on the price trend as we move into the final months of 2026. However, &amp;ldquo;&lt;em&gt;Falling yields and equity market uncertainties may provide support.&lt;/em&gt;&amp;rdquo;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;blockquote&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&amp;ldquo;Meanwhile, gold jewelry demand is likely to receive a seasonal boost as, historically, retailers ramp up their restocking ahead of the peak season in Q4.&amp;rdquo;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;/blockquote&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Gold Mountain Asset Management managing director Lisa Liu &lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.ft.com/content/ed38995e-c7be-4703-9775-eb384a037ce3&amp;quot">https://www.ft.com/content/ed38995e-c7be-4703-9775-eb384a037ce3&amp;quot</a>; target=&quot;_blank&quot; rel=&quot;noopener&quot;&gt;told the &lt;em&gt;Financial Times&lt;/em&gt;&lt;/a&gt; that despite the recent cooling in Chinese demand, she remains bullish long-term, saying the rotation into gold &amp;ldquo;&lt;em&gt;is not a short-term trade.&lt;/em&gt;&amp;rdquo;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;blockquote&gt;
&lt;p style=&quot;text-align: left;&quot;&gt;&quot;It&amp;rsquo;s a multiyear repositioning of household and official assets. The scale and persistence of Chinese buying is now a core driver of global gold prices, and we expect it to hold as long as uncertainty over growth and geopolitics remains.&amp;rdquo;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;/blockquote&gt;
&lt;p&gt;A ramp-up in official Chinese central bank buying has also boosted the broader Chinese gold market.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;The People&amp;rsquo;s Bank of China official added another 20.2 tonnes of gold to its reserves in August. It was the 23rd straight month of reported gold buying, raising official Chinese reserves to 2,386 tonnes.&amp;nbsp;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;So far in 2026, the Chinese central bank has increased its official gold holdings by around 80 tonnes.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Keep in mind that China is among the central banks likely to hold significantly more gold than they publicly disclose. As Jan Nieuwenhuijs has reported, the People&#039;s Bank of China is secretly buying large amounts of gold off the books. According to &lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.moneymetals.com/news/2025/04/02/chinas-gold-reserves-going-through-the-roof-003956&amp;quot">https://www.moneymetals.com/news/2025/04/02/chinas-gold-reserves-going-through-the-roof-003956&amp;quot</a>;&gt;data parsed by the renowned Money Metals researcher&lt;/a&gt;, the Chinese central bank currently sits on more than 5,000 tonnes of monetary gold &amp;ndash; more than TWICE the publicly admitted amount.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;The mainstream has picked up on this. In a note published earlier this month, Goldman Sachs estimated the PBoC bought 35 tonnes of gold in July. It officially reported a 20-tonne increase in its gold reserves.&lt;/p&gt;</p><Img align="left" border="0" height="1" width="1" alt="" style="border:0;float:left;margin:0;padding:0;width:1px!important;height:1px!important;" hspace="0" src="https://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/i/969869111/0/moneymetals">
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</content:encoded>
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				<pubDate>Thu, 24 Sep 2026 00:00:00 EST</pubDate></item>
<item>
<feedburner:origLink>https://www.moneymetals.com/news/2026/09/24/merk-dont-give-up-your-gold-005232</feedburner:origLink>
				<title>Merk: Don&amp;#039;t Give Up Your Gold!</title>
				<description><![CDATA[People are selling gold, anticipating higher interest rates, but Axel Merk says you might want to rethink that strategy.<div style="clear:both;padding-top:0.2em;"><a href="https://feeds.feedblitz.com/_/28/969845402/moneymetals"><img height="20" src="https://assets.feedblitz.com/i/fblike20.png" style="border:0;margin:0;padding:0;"></a>&#160;<a href="https://feeds.feedblitz.com/_/29/969845402/moneymetals,"><img height="20" src="https://assets.feedblitz.com/i/pinterest20.png" style="border:0;margin:0;padding:0;"></a>&#160;<a href="https://feeds.feedblitz.com/_/24/969845402/moneymetals"><img height="20" src="https://assets.feedblitz.com/i/x.png" style="border:0;margin:0;padding:0;"></a>&#160;<a href="https://feeds.feedblitz.com/_/19/969845402/moneymetals"><img height="20" src="https://assets.feedblitz.com/i/email20.png" style="border:0;margin:0;padding:0;"></a>&#160;<a href="https://feeds.feedblitz.com/_/20/969845402/moneymetals"><img height="20" src="https://assets.feedblitz.com/i/rss20.png" style="border:0;margin:0;padding:0;"></a>&nbsp;&#160;</div>]]>
</description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>&lt;p&gt;With bond yields on the rise and markets penciling in another Federal Reserve interest rate hike this year, a lot of people are &lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.moneymetals.com/sell-to-us&amp;quot">https://www.moneymetals.com/sell-to-us&amp;quot</a>;&gt;selling their gold&lt;/a&gt;.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Axel Merk doesn&amp;rsquo;t think you should.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Merk is the &lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://share.google/B8lBc1CmEaUSL2sCn&amp;quot">https://share.google/B8lBc1CmEaUSL2sCn&amp;quot</a>; target=&quot;_blank&quot; rel=&quot;noopener&quot;&gt;founder of Merk Investments&lt;/a&gt;, and he has a reputation as an even-handed analyst, not prone to getting caught up in the latest headline. In a recent interview with Kitco News, Merk said he thinks Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh is doing a good job of &amp;ldquo;restoring discipline&amp;rdquo; and pulling away from politics at the central bank. He also praised Warsh for hiking rates at the September meeting.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;blockquote&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&amp;ldquo;It was time to raise rates; he raised the rates.&amp;rdquo;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;/blockquote&gt;
&lt;div x-data=&quot;{ item_id: undefined, view: null }&quot; x-html=&quot;view || &#039;Product-Random-Featured&#039;&quot; x-init=&quot;view = await (await fetch(&#039;/shortcodes/product/random/featured?category=2&#039;)).text()&quot;&gt;!!--Product-Random-Featured-2--!!&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;p&gt;But Merk insisted that &amp;ldquo;good&amp;rdquo; monetary policy only goes so far when governments show no fiscal restraint.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;blockquote&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&amp;ldquo;If you have bad fiscal policy, good monetary policy can only do so much. With bad monetary policy combined with bad fiscal policy, you can make things dramatically worse.&amp;rdquo;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;/blockquote&gt;
&lt;p&gt;There is certainly a lack of fiscal restraint.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;The U.S. government has managed to pile up more than &lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.moneymetals.com/news/2026/08/20/the-40-trillion-national-debt-in-perspective-005151&amp;quot">https://www.moneymetals.com/news/2026/08/20/the-40-trillion-national-debt-in-perspective-005151&amp;quot</a>;&gt;$40 trillion in debt&lt;/a&gt;. While this eye-popping number should raise red flags, &lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.moneymetals.com/news/2026/09/15/while-everybody-obsesses-about-rate-hikes-federal-spending-marches-along-unabatted-005205&amp;quot">https://www.moneymetals.com/news/2026/09/15/while-everybody-obsesses-about-rate-hikes-federal-spending-marches-along-unabatted-005205&amp;quot</a>;&gt;the borrowing and spending continue unabated&lt;/a&gt;.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;With one month remaining in fiscal 2026, the Trump administration has spent $6.81 trillion, 2.2 percent more than in the same period in 2025.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;A 2.2 percent increase in spending might not sound significant. But weren&#039;t we told there would be spending cuts?&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;And Uncle Sam isn&amp;rsquo;t the only one with a spending problem. Government debt in the eurozone has ballooned to over &amp;euro;14 trillion (USD $16 trillion).&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Merk said, &amp;ldquo;&lt;em&gt;At the end of the day, fiscal policy is gonna drive things&lt;/em&gt;.&amp;rdquo;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;And that means you shouldn&amp;rsquo;t sell your gold just because you see interest rates climbing.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Merk said higher interest rates could theoretically impose more discipline on lawmakers, but he is skeptical that elevated bond yields alone will force Washington to address government spending.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Merk is right.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;div x-data=&quot;{ item_id: undefined, view: null }&quot; x-html=&quot;view || &#039;Product-Random-Best&#039;&quot; x-init=&quot;view = await (await fetch(&#039;/shortcodes/product/random/best?category=2&#039;)).text()&quot;&gt;!!--Product-Random-Best-2--!!&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Politicians aren&#039;t incentivized to deal with long-term problems like spending, especially if doing so will cause their constituents&amp;rsquo; pain. Keep in mind that a politician&#039;s number one goal is getting reelected. You don&amp;rsquo;t do that by making life harder on voters. But any meaningful steps to rein in spending will cause short-term pain. Programs will need to be cut. It&amp;rsquo;s easier for a politician to kick the can down the road and let somebody else deal with the debt fallout.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Given the political incentives, more spending in the future is far more likely than less.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;So, even with what he considers solid monetary policy and a necessary pivot to higher rates to tamp down inflation, Merk said he is still bullish on gold, saying, &amp;ldquo;&lt;em&gt;I do like my gold even with a Kevin Warsh Fed&lt;/em&gt;.&amp;rdquo;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;blockquote&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&amp;ldquo;We got a fiscal mess. How do you diversify? And gold may well play a role in that.&amp;rdquo;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;/blockquote&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Merk also said a potential AI bust could also prove bullish for the yellow metal, noting that debt is the primary driver behind the artificial intelligence investment boom. If the bubble bursts and the economy goes into a tailspin, the Fed will be forced to reverse its tightening cycle.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;blockquote&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&amp;ldquo;When you have a debt-financed boom that&amp;rsquo;s followed by a bust, in order to mitigate the fallout from the debt that&amp;rsquo;s left over, you tend to have lower interest rates.&amp;rdquo;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;/blockquote&gt;
&lt;p&gt;I&#039;m not nearly as sanguine about the Warsh Fed as Merk, but even if you think the central bank is on the right track and will stay true to its inflation-fighting cause, &lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://youtu.be/4CiNHA7LrEI?si=KYb41FRaexpCeqWL&amp;quot">https://youtu.be/4CiNHA7LrEI?si=KYb41FRaexpCeqWL&amp;quot</a>; target=&quot;_blank&quot; rel=&quot;noopener&quot;&gt;now is not the time to sell your gold and silver&lt;/a&gt;!&lt;/p&gt;</p><Img align="left" border="0" height="1" width="1" alt="" style="border:0;float:left;margin:0;padding:0;width:1px!important;height:1px!important;" hspace="0" src="https://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/i/969845402/0/moneymetals">
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				<pubDate>Thu, 24 Sep 2026 00:00:00 EST</pubDate></item>
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<feedburner:origLink>https://www.moneymetals.com/news/2026/09/24/comex-silver-withdrawals-raise-questions-as-physical-demand-builds-005228</feedburner:origLink>
				<title>COMEX Silver Withdrawals Raise Questions as Physical Demand Builds</title>
				<description><![CDATA[COMEX vaults saw 7.1 million ounces of silver leave in one week, spotlighting tight physical supply, rising delivery demand, and the risk of another silver squeeze.<div style="clear:both;padding-top:0.2em;"><a href="https://feeds.feedblitz.com/_/28/969722522/moneymetals"><img height="20" src="https://assets.feedblitz.com/i/fblike20.png" style="border:0;margin:0;padding:0;"></a>&#160;<a href="https://feeds.feedblitz.com/_/29/969722522/moneymetals,"><img height="20" src="https://assets.feedblitz.com/i/pinterest20.png" style="border:0;margin:0;padding:0;"></a>&#160;<a href="https://feeds.feedblitz.com/_/24/969722522/moneymetals"><img height="20" src="https://assets.feedblitz.com/i/x.png" style="border:0;margin:0;padding:0;"></a>&#160;<a href="https://feeds.feedblitz.com/_/19/969722522/moneymetals"><img height="20" src="https://assets.feedblitz.com/i/email20.png" style="border:0;margin:0;padding:0;"></a>&#160;<a href="https://feeds.feedblitz.com/_/20/969722522/moneymetals"><img height="20" src="https://assets.feedblitz.com/i/rss20.png" style="border:0;margin:0;padding:0;"></a>&nbsp;&#160;</div>]]>
</description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>&lt;p&gt;&lt;span style=&quot;font-weight: 400;&quot;&gt;A bank run is a familiar danger in a fractional-reserve banking system. In December 1930, as the Great Depression deepened, the privately owned Bank of United States in New York collapsed after a run by depositors. Despite its name, it was not a government institution. It served many immigrant families and small businesses.&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&lt;span style=&quot;font-weight: 400;&quot;&gt;When rescue-merger negotiations failed and confidence evaporated, depositors rushed to withdraw their money. New York state banking authorities closed the bank on Dec. 11, 1930, leaving more than 400,000 depositors affected. By deposit size, it was the largest U.S. bank failure to that point.&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&lt;span style=&quot;font-weight: 400;&quot;&gt;The problem was inherent to fractional-reserve banking. Banks keep only a portion of deposits in reserve while lending and investing the rest. The system functions until too many people want their money back at the same time.&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&lt;span style=&quot;font-weight: 400;&quot;&gt;Money Metals Midweek Memo host &lt;/span&gt;&lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://share.google/R3W1cRSQAbKnO5byc&amp;quot">https://share.google/R3W1cRSQAbKnO5byc&amp;quot</a>; target=&quot;_blank&quot; rel=&quot;noopener&quot;&gt;&lt;span style=&quot;font-weight: 400;&quot;&gt;Mike Maharrey&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/a&gt;&lt;span style=&quot;font-weight: 400;&quot;&gt; said the silver futures market carries a somewhat similar risk. Futures contracts promise delivery of silver at a specified price and date, but most traders settle or roll their contracts rather than take physical metal. As a result, paper claims far exceed the amount of metal immediately available for delivery.&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&lt;span style=&quot;font-weight: 400;&quot;&gt;The exact paper-to-silver ratio is unclear. Maharrey said estimates of 100-to-1 or even 250-to-1 circulate, but he could not find verifiable data supporting them. What can be measured is the amount of registered silver in COMEX vaults relative to paper claims.&amp;nbsp;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&lt;span style=&quot;font-weight: 400;&quot;&gt;As of mid-September, there were slightly more than five paper ounces of silver for every ounce of registered physical silver, a roughly 5-to-1 ratio.&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&lt;span style=&quot;font-weight: 400;&quot;&gt;If a large enough share of contract holders demanded their metal, the system could face significant delivery stress.&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;div class=&quot;vid aspect-w-16 aspect-h-9&quot;&gt;&lt;iframe src=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.youtube.com/embed/bNpQaOvdIUA?si=F9yLyhKDs_qF8jo_&amp;quot">https://www.youtube.com/embed/bNpQaOvdIUA?si=F9yLyhKDs_qF8jo_&amp;quot</a>; title=&quot;YouTube video player&quot; frameborder=&quot;0&quot; allow=&quot;accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share&quot; referrerpolicy=&quot;strict-origin-when-cross-origin&quot; allowfullscreen=&quot;allowfullscreen&quot;&gt;&lt;/iframe&gt;&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;h2&gt;&lt;b&gt;More Than 7 Million Ounces Leave COMEX Vaults&lt;/b&gt;&lt;/h2&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&lt;iframe width=&quot;100%&quot; height=&quot;192&quot; style=&quot;border: medium none currentcolor;&quot; title=&quot;Embed Player&quot; src=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://play.libsyn.com/embed/episode/id/43006183/height/192/theme/modern/size/large/thumbnail/yes/custom-color/1e40af/time-start/00:00:00/playlist-height/200/direction/backward/font-color/FFFFFF&amp;quot">https://play.libsyn.com/embed/episode/id/43006183/height/192/theme/modern/size/large/thumbnail/yes/custom-color/1e40af/time-start/00:00:00/playlist-height/200/direction/backward/font-color/FFFFFF&amp;quot</a>; scrolling=&quot;no&quot; allowfullscreen=&quot;allowfullscreen&quot; webkitallowfullscreen=&quot;webkitallowfullscreen&quot; mozallowfullscreen=&quot;mozallowfullscreen&quot; oallowfullscreen=&quot;true&quot; msallowfullscreen=&quot;true&quot;&gt;&lt;/iframe&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&lt;span style=&quot;font-weight: 400;&quot;&gt;That possibility is worth watching after a notable recent increase in physical silver withdrawals from COMEX vaults.&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&lt;span style=&quot;font-weight: 400;&quot;&gt;CME data showed 6,168 September silver delivery notices through Sept. 18, &lt;/span&gt;&lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.moneymetals.com/news/2026/09/21/7-million-ounces-of-silver-left-comex-vaults-last-week-with-a-spike-in-deliveries-005220&amp;quot">https://www.moneymetals.com/news/2026/09/21/7-million-ounces-of-silver-left-comex-vaults-last-week-with-a-spike-in-deliveries-005220&amp;quot</a>;&gt;&lt;span style=&quot;font-weight: 400;&quot;&gt;representing 30.84 million ounces&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/a&gt;&lt;span style=&quot;font-weight: 400;&quot;&gt;. In futures-market terminology, however, &amp;ldquo;delivery&amp;rdquo; does not necessarily mean silver physically leaves a warehouse. Usually, delivery means the transfer of a warehouse warrant to a new owner.&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&lt;span style=&quot;font-weight: 400;&quot;&gt;The more notable figure was the amount of metal that actually departed the COMEX system. About 7.1 million ounces, or roughly 223 metric tons, left COMEX vaults in the seven days from Sept. 10 through Sept. 17. That represented about 2.1% of total COMEX silver inventory.&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&lt;span style=&quot;font-weight: 400;&quot;&gt;Registered silver, meaning metal with an active warrant and available for immediate futures delivery, increased by 1.4 million ounces to 97.3 million ounces during that period. Eligible silver, which meets COMEX standards but lacks an active delivery warrant, fell by about 8.6 million ounces to 232.8 million ounces.&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&lt;span style=&quot;font-weight: 400;&quot;&gt;Total inventory consequently dropped from 337.2 million ounces to 330.1 million ounces. The difference shows that approximately 7.1 million ounces physically left COMEX warehouses.&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&lt;span style=&quot;font-weight: 400;&quot;&gt;CME reports do not establish whether the withdrawn metal was the same silver associated with September delivery notices. They only show that the metal is no longer in the vault system.&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&lt;span style=&quot;font-weight: 400;&quot;&gt;The outflow was roughly 25% larger than the 5.75 million-ounce drawdown between Oct. 3 and Oct. 9, 2025, at the beginning of the October silver squeeze. It was about half the 13.96 million-ounce drawdown recorded between Oct. 9 and Oct. 16, when that squeeze peaked.&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&lt;span style=&quot;font-weight: 400;&quot;&gt;Unlike the October episode, though, registered inventories increased last week rather than falling. The earlier squeeze drained nearly 14.2 million ounces from the registered category. The latest data therefore signals strong physical withdrawals, but not the same immediate pressure on deliverable COMEX supplies.&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;h2&gt;&lt;b&gt;A Tight Physical Market Remains the Bigger Story&lt;/b&gt;&lt;/h2&gt;
&lt;div x-data=&quot;{ item_id: undefined, view: null }&quot; x-html=&quot;view || &#039;Product-Random-Featured&#039;&quot; x-init=&quot;view = await (await fetch(&#039;/shortcodes/product/random/featured?category=1&#039;)).text()&quot;&gt;!!--Product-Random-Featured-1--!!&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&lt;span style=&quot;font-weight: 400;&quot;&gt;One week of outflows does not prove an imminent silver shortage. Metal could flow back into COMEX vaults next week. But sustained withdrawals could become significant quickly and potentially set the stage for another squeeze.&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&lt;span style=&quot;font-weight: 400;&quot;&gt;The silver market has already experienced two meaningful squeezes during the past 12 months. The October squeeze pushed &lt;/span&gt;&lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.moneymetals.com/silver-price&amp;quot">https://www.moneymetals.com/silver-price&amp;quot</a>;&gt;&lt;span style=&quot;font-weight: 400;&quot;&gt;silver above $50 an ounce&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/a&gt;&lt;span style=&quot;font-weight: 400;&quot;&gt;, while a second squeeze sent prices to $120 an ounce in January before a correction. The market was eased in part by shifting metal between London and New York, but Maharrey argued that the underlying supply-and-demand problem has not disappeared.&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&lt;span style=&quot;font-weight: 400;&quot;&gt;Silver is on track for its sixth straight annual supply deficit, meaning demand is exceeding newly mined and recycled supply. By the end of this year, the cumulative deficit is expected to approach 800 million ounces, roughly equivalent to one year of global mine production.&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&lt;span style=&quot;font-weight: 400;&quot;&gt;Industrial users, jewelry makers, and other consumers must meet shortfalls by drawing on above-ground stockpiles. Before the recent string of deficits, above-ground stocks rose by 243 million ounces from 2010 through 2020. Maharrey said the market has seen a net stock rundown of about 473 million ounces during the last 15 years.&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&lt;span style=&quot;font-weight: 400;&quot;&gt;The world is not about to run out of silver, but tighter physical availability creates upward pressure on prices. A continuing pattern of COMEX vault withdrawals could be one factor that lights the fuse for another squeeze.&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;h2&gt;&lt;b&gt;Rising Rates Do Not Automatically Mean Lower Gold&lt;/b&gt;&lt;/h2&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&lt;span style=&quot;font-weight: 400;&quot;&gt;Maharrey also pushed back against the conventional view that rising interest rates are necessarily &lt;/span&gt;&lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.moneymetals.com/news/2026/09/18/higher-rates-are-bad-for-gold-and-silver-or-are-they-005215&amp;quot">https://www.moneymetals.com/news/2026/09/18/higher-rates-are-bad-for-gold-and-silver-or-are-they-005215&amp;quot</a>;&gt;&lt;span style=&quot;font-weight: 400;&quot;&gt;bearish for gold and silver&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/a&gt;&lt;span style=&quot;font-weight: 400;&quot;&gt;. With the 10-year Treasury yield near 5%, its highest range since 2007, some investors have sold precious metals on the expectation that the Federal Reserve will keep tightening.&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&lt;span style=&quot;font-weight: 400;&quot;&gt;Higher yields can create an opportunity cost for non-yielding assets such as gold and silver. But the more important measure is the real interest rate: the nominal yield adjusted for price inflation.&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&lt;span style=&quot;font-weight: 400;&quot;&gt;A 10-year Treasury yielding 5% while CPI runs at 3.5% has a real yield of just 1.5%. If a bond yields 3% while CPI runs at 5%, the real yield is negative 2%, meaning an investor loses purchasing power in real terms.&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&lt;span style=&quot;font-weight: 400;&quot;&gt;Maharrey cited financial writer and Fed watcher Adam Sharp, who pointed to the 1970s as an example. Gold rose nearly 2,329% during that decade even as interest rates climbed. In 1974, three-month Treasury bills yielded 7.4%, but CPI inflation peaked at 12%, producing a real rate near negative 4.6%.&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&lt;span style=&quot;font-weight: 400;&quot;&gt;From August 1976 through January 1980, gold rose more than sevenfold while interest rates were climbing toward nearly 20% under Paul Volcker&amp;rsquo;s inflation fight. Gold also advanced through much of the 2000s bull market as rates both rose and fell.&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;div x-data=&quot;{ item_id: undefined, view: null }&quot; x-html=&quot;view || &#039;Product-Random-Featured&#039;&quot; x-init=&quot;view = await (await fetch(&#039;/shortcodes/product/random/featured?category=all&#039;)).text()&quot;&gt;!!--Product-Random-Featured-All--!!&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&lt;span style=&quot;font-weight: 400;&quot;&gt;The lesson is that rate direction alone does not determine gold&amp;rsquo;s path. When central banks raise rates because inflation is problematic, inflation itself can support demand for hard assets. Maharrey said money-supply growth of roughly 5% annually points to continuing monetary inflation that will eventually appear in consumer and asset prices.&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;h2&gt;&lt;b&gt;The Fed&amp;rsquo;s Debt Trap&lt;/b&gt;&lt;/h2&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&lt;span style=&quot;font-weight: 400;&quot;&gt;Sharp and Maharrey agree that the Fed faces a fundamental Catch-22. It needs &lt;/span&gt;&lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.moneymetals.com/news/2026/09/21/the-federal-reserve-is-shadow-boxing-inflation-005221&amp;quot">https://www.moneymetals.com/news/2026/09/21/the-federal-reserve-is-shadow-boxing-inflation-005221&amp;quot</a>;&gt;&lt;span style=&quot;font-weight: 400;&quot;&gt;higher rates to restrain inflation&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/a&gt;&lt;span style=&quot;font-weight: 400;&quot;&gt;, but higher rates worsen the government&amp;rsquo;s debt burden, increase deficits, and threaten an already fragile economy.&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&lt;span style=&quot;font-weight: 400;&quot;&gt;Sharp argued that the Fed cannot raise rates to the 10% or higher levels that might be needed to decisively defeat inflation without severely damaging a debt-bloated economy. Maharrey said today&amp;rsquo;s debt load makes it impossible for Fed Chair Kevin Warsh to operate as another Paul Volcker.&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&lt;span style=&quot;font-weight: 400;&quot;&gt;His central takeaway was that inflation remains built into the system. Even the Fed&amp;rsquo;s stated 2% CPI target means a dollar loses purchasing power every year, amounting to roughly 10% over five years and 20% over 10 years before compounding.&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&lt;span style=&quot;font-weight: 400;&quot;&gt;For that reason, Maharrey argued that investors should not sell gold or silver simply because the Fed may hike rates again. He encouraged listeners to consider sound money as a long-term way to protect purchasing power.&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&lt;span style=&quot;font-weight: 400;&quot;&gt;For more market news, visit &lt;/span&gt;&lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://moneymetals.com/news&amp;quot">http://moneymetals.com/news&amp;quot</a>;&gt;&lt;span style=&quot;font-weight: 400;&quot;&gt;MoneyMetals.com/news&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/a&gt;&lt;span style=&quot;font-weight: 400;&quot;&gt;. This week&amp;rsquo;s Friday Market Wrap will feature economist and gold advocate &lt;/span&gt;&lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://share.google/JGGw5OLl80HoUMS4i&amp;quot">https://share.google/JGGw5OLl80HoUMS4i&amp;quot</a>; target=&quot;_blank&quot; rel=&quot;noopener&quot;&gt;&lt;span style=&quot;font-weight: 400;&quot;&gt;Nomi Prins&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/a&gt;&lt;span style=&quot;font-weight: 400;&quot;&gt;.&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;</p><Img align="left" border="0" height="1" width="1" alt="" style="border:0;float:left;margin:0;padding:0;width:1px!important;height:1px!important;" hspace="0" src="https://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/i/969722522/0/moneymetals">
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				<pubDate>Thu, 24 Sep 2026 00:00:00 EST</pubDate></item>
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<feedburner:origLink>https://www.moneymetals.com/price/silver-price-all-time-high</feedburner:origLink>
				<title>Silver Price All Time High - $121.67 Record vs the 1980 and 2011 Peaks - Inflation-Adjusted Highs, Gold-Silver Ratio, and Coin Melt Values at the Record - Money Metals</title>
				<description><![CDATA[Silver&#039;s all-time high is $121.67 an ounce, set January 29, 2026. See how it compares to the 1980 and 2011 peaks after inflation, why sources quote three record figures, and what your silver coins were worth.<div style="clear:both;padding-top:0.2em;"><a href="https://feeds.feedblitz.com/_/28/969653324/moneymetals"><img height="20" src="https://assets.feedblitz.com/i/fblike20.png" style="border:0;margin:0;padding:0;"></a>&#160;<a href="https://feeds.feedblitz.com/_/29/969653324/moneymetals,"><img height="20" src="https://assets.feedblitz.com/i/pinterest20.png" style="border:0;margin:0;padding:0;"></a>&#160;<a href="https://feeds.feedblitz.com/_/24/969653324/moneymetals"><img height="20" src="https://assets.feedblitz.com/i/x.png" style="border:0;margin:0;padding:0;"></a>&#160;<a href="https://feeds.feedblitz.com/_/19/969653324/moneymetals"><img height="20" src="https://assets.feedblitz.com/i/email20.png" style="border:0;margin:0;padding:0;"></a>&#160;<a href="https://feeds.feedblitz.com/_/20/969653324/moneymetals"><img height="20" src="https://assets.feedblitz.com/i/rss20.png" style="border:0;margin:0;padding:0;"></a>&nbsp;&#160;</div>]]>
</description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>&lt;p&gt;Silver&#039;s all-time high is $121.67 per troy ounce, set on January 29, 2026. Silver trades near $66 today, about 45% below that record. The 1980 peak of roughly $49.45 was far lower in dollars, but after adjusting for inflation it was higher.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&lt;em&gt;Last updated: September 18, 2026&lt;/em&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;h2&gt;What Is Silver&#039;s All-Time High Price?&lt;/h2&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Silver hit $121.67 an ounce on January 29, 2026, and that is the highest price the metal has ever reached in plain dollars.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;The Silver Institute is the metal&#039;s main trade group. It puts the record on that same date, reporting a record high above $121 on January 29, 2026 (&lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://silverinstitute.org/elevated-lease-rates-regional-liquidity-tightness-and-robust-investor-interest-resulted-in-record-silver-prices-in-2025/&amp;quot">https://silverinstitute.org/elevated-lease-rates-regional-liquidity-tightness-and-robust-investor-interest-resulted-in-record-silver-prices-in-2025/&amp;quot</a>;&gt;The Silver Institute&lt;/a&gt;).&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Silver has fallen a long way since then. In mid-September 2026 it traded near $66 an ounce, roughly 45% below the January peak. You can check the live number on our &lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.moneymetals.com/silver-price&amp;quot">https://www.moneymetals.com/silver-price&amp;quot</a>;&gt;silver price&lt;/a&gt; page.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;The sources agree that the silver record hit $121, but different sources record it at $121.62, $121.64, and $121.67. The little disparity does not invalidate the figure. Each source uses a different price series; spot prices, London benchmark prices, and futures prices all settle at different levels. This page uses the spot figure of $121.67.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;h3&gt;Silver&#039;s record highs at a glance&lt;/h3&gt;
&lt;div class=&quot;mt-8 flow-root&quot;&gt;
&lt;div class=&quot;-mx-4 -my-2 overflow-x-auto sm:-mx-6 lg:-mx-8&quot;&gt;
&lt;div class=&quot;inline-block min-w-full py-2 align-middle sm:px-6 lg:px-8&quot;&gt;
&lt;div class=&quot;overflow-hidden rounded-lg border border-slate-800 w-full&quot;&gt;
&lt;table class=&quot;min-w-full divide-y divide-slate-300 not-prose&quot;&gt;
&lt;thead class=&quot;bg-slate-800 text-white&quot;&gt;
&lt;tr class=&quot;divide-x divide-slate-200&quot;&gt;
&lt;th class=&quot;p-3 text-left text-sm font-semibold&quot;&gt;Peak&lt;/th&gt;
&lt;th class=&quot;p-3 text-left text-sm font-semibold&quot;&gt;When&lt;/th&gt;
&lt;th class=&quot;p-3 text-left text-sm font-semibold&quot;&gt;Price per ounce&lt;/th&gt;
&lt;th class=&quot;p-3 text-left text-sm font-semibold&quot;&gt;Roughly, in 2026 dollars&lt;/th&gt;
&lt;th class=&quot;p-3 text-left text-sm font-semibold&quot;&gt;Main driver&lt;/th&gt;
&lt;/tr&gt;
&lt;/thead&gt;
&lt;tbody class=&quot;divide-y divide-slate-200 bg-white&quot;&gt;
&lt;tr class=&quot;divide-x divide-slate-200 even:bg-slate-50&quot;&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;1980&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;January 1980&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;About $49.45&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;About $213&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;An attempt to corner the market&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;/tr&gt;
&lt;tr class=&quot;divide-x divide-slate-200 even:bg-slate-50&quot;&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;2011&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;April 2011&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;Just under $50&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;About $73&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;Debt fears and heavy investor buying&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;/tr&gt;
&lt;tr class=&quot;divide-x divide-slate-200 even:bg-slate-50&quot;&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;2026&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;January 29, 2026&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;$121.67&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;$121.67&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;Supply deficits, industry demand, a supply squeeze&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;/tr&gt;
&lt;/tbody&gt;
&lt;/table&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Dollar figures for 1980 and 2011 vary by source and by price series, so see our &lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.moneymetals.com/silver-price-history&amp;quot">https://www.moneymetals.com/silver-price-history&amp;quot</a>;&gt;silver price history&lt;/a&gt; page for the full annual record.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;h2&gt;Silver&#039;s All-Time High, Adjusted for Inflation&lt;/h2&gt;
&lt;p&gt;There is a crucial distinction when it comes to silver&amp;rsquo;s record, and it is one that many sites ignore. Silver&amp;rsquo;s record in dollars is not its record in buying power.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Silver peaked near $49.45 in January 1980. At that time, a dollar had much more purchasing power than it does today. Run that price through the Consumer Price Index and it works out to roughly $213 an ounce in current money. You can check the math with the &lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.bls.gov/data/inflation_calculator.htm&amp;quot">https://www.bls.gov/data/inflation_calculator.htm&amp;quot</a>;&gt;BLS inflation calculator&lt;/a&gt;.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;All of which makes the $121.67 record a bit of a misnomer. If you measure silver price in terms of real purchasing power, silver is still well short of where it stood in 1980. From its January 2026 peak, it would need to rise roughly another three-quarters to match what an ounce was worth 46 years ago.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;The 2011 peak is a different story. Just under $50 in April 2011 comes to about $73 by today&amp;rsquo;s standards. The 2026 run cleared that mark by a significant margin in both plain and inflation-adjusted terms.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;h2&gt;The Road to $121: How Silver Broke a 45-Year Record&lt;/h2&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Silver spent decades trading below its 1980 high. Then, in the space of just four months, it cleared that level and kept going.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;h3&gt;October 2025: silver clears $50&lt;/h3&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Silver broke $50 an ounce in October 2025. That was the first genuine record silver experienced in 45 years. Two earlier runs, in 2011 and again in 2020, both stalled well short of that line.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;The next phase was, according to the Silver Institute, an unprecedented liquidity squeeze. Metal stocks were falling, metal was moving into exchange vaults, and exchange-traded products were buying. Coin and bar demand jumped 14% for the year, and lease rates, which are what it costs to borrow physical silver, went much higher.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;h3&gt;December 2025: through $60, then near $84&lt;/h3&gt;
&lt;p&gt;The run did not stop at the old record, and silver cleared $60 and then pushed toward $83 by late December, finishing 2025 with an average price 42% above the year before.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;h3&gt;January 2026: triple digits, then the peak&lt;/h3&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Silver passed $95, then $100, then topped at $121.67 on January 29, 2026. It represented the steepest rise in the metal&amp;rsquo;s modern history.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;h3&gt;What happened after&lt;/h3&gt;
&lt;p&gt;The peak did not hold, and silver slipped through February and March. By early April 2026, silver was trading in the mid-$70s, and has drifted lower since. By September, it reached the mid-$60s.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;That round trip is worth thinking about. It shows that silver more than doubled in roughly four months, and then gave back roughly 45% over the following eight. Both moves are normal for this metal, which is smaller and less liquid than gold and so tends to move harder in both directions.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;h2&gt;Why Silver Hit an All-Time High&lt;/h2&gt;
&lt;p&gt;No single cause explains the run, since four separate pressures stacked up at the same time.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;h3&gt;The market ran short of metal&lt;/h3&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Silver has now run a supply deficit for five straight years. The Silver Institute expects a sixth in 2026, at 67 million ounces (&lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://silverinstitute.org/global-silver-investment-to-remain-strong-in-2026-against-the-backdrop-of-a-sixth-consecutive-annual-market-deficit/&amp;quot">https://silverinstitute.org/global-silver-investment-to-remain-strong-in-2026-against-the-backdrop-of-a-sixth-consecutive-annual-market-deficit/&amp;quot</a>;&gt;The Silver Institute&lt;/a&gt;).&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;A deficit means the world uses more silver each year than miners and recyclers supply, and the gap gets filled out of existing stockpiles. Those stockpiles are not endless.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;h3&gt;Industry consumes silver and rarely gets it back&lt;/h3&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Silver is not only money, it is a working industrial metal used in solar panels, electronics, brazing alloys, and medical equipment. Industrial use ran to 657.4 million ounces in 2025.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Most of that silver is gone for good. Thin films and tiny electrical contacts are rarely worth recovering for their silver content.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;This defines one of the key differences between gold and silver. People tend to hoard gold and pass it down to the next generation. Silver gets used up in industrial applications.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;h3&gt;Mine supply cannot respond quickly&lt;/h3&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Silver mine output rose 3% in 2025. The figure reached 846.6 million ounces, which is a modest response to a price that more than doubled.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;The reason for the relatively low mine supply growth is structural. Most silver comes out of the ground as a byproduct of other metal mining operations. Usually, the central metals are copper, lead, and zinc. Those mines are built around the economics of the main metal. As a result, a high silver price does little to change how much they produce.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;h3&gt;Investors came back&lt;/h3&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Physical investment demand is forecast to jump 20% in 2026, to 227 million ounces, which would be a three-year high. Recycling is expected to top 200 million ounces for the first time since 2012, as high prices pull old metal out of drawers and safes.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;h2&gt;Silver&#039;s Previous Records: 1980 and 2011&lt;/h2&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Neither of the earlier silver peaks looked anything like the January 2026 silver peak.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;h3&gt;1980: an attempt to corner the market&lt;/h3&gt;
&lt;p&gt;The 1980 silver spike had little to do with ordinary supply and demand. Instead, it revolved almost entirely around two brothers.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;The Commodity Futures Trading Commission later charged that Nelson Bunker Hunt, William Herbert Hunt, and others &quot;manipulated and attempted to manipulate silver prices in 1979 and 1980&quot; (&lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.cftc.gov/About/HistoryoftheCFTC/history_1980s.html&amp;quot">https://www.cftc.gov/About/HistoryoftheCFTC/history_1980s.html&amp;quot</a>;&gt;CFTC&lt;/a&gt;). The agency sent Congress a report on the episode in 1981 and closed its case in 1985.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Once the corner broke, the price collapsed and fell below $11 within a year. It took 45 years for silver to reach a new high.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;h3&gt;2011: close, but no record&lt;/h3&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Silver ran to just a little less than $50 in April 2011. Reports differ on whether it topped the 1980 level or not, and the answer ultimately depends on which price series you use.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Either way, the 2011 run faded quickly. Over the following two years, silver went on to lose more than half its value.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;h3&gt;Why 2026 was different&lt;/h3&gt;
&lt;p&gt;The 1980 peak came out of one concentrated trade. The 2026 peak came out of a market that was short of metal. Five years of deficits were behind that market, alongside industrial buyers who had no real substitute.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;That broader base does not make the price safe. The 45% fall from its high demonstrates the instability. However, it does demonstrate the cause was structural rather than the work of a few accounts. The supply gap has not closed since then.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;h2&gt;The Gold-Silver Ratio at the Record High&lt;/h2&gt;
&lt;p&gt;The gold-silver ratio tells you how many ounces of silver it takes to buy one ounce of gold. It serves as a quick read on whether silver looks cheap or expensive next to gold.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;At silver&amp;rsquo;s peak the ratio compressed sharply. Gold was trading near $4,986 an ounce in the week silver reached $121.67, which puts the ratio close to 41.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Today the picture has reversed. Gold trades near $4,354 and silver $66, for a ratio of about 66. That means silver has given back most of its gain relative to gold even though gold sits below its own high.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Over the past century the ratio has run between 40 and 90 most of the time. A reading near 41 sits at the low end of that band, while 66 sits in the middle. You can compare both metals side by side on our &lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.moneymetals.com/precious-metals-charts&amp;quot">https://www.moneymetals.com/precious-metals-charts&amp;quot</a>;&gt;precious metals charts&lt;/a&gt;.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;h2&gt;What Your Silver Was Worth at the Peak&lt;/h2&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Were you holding silver on January 29, 2026? The table below shows what the metal in it was worth. The right column shows the same holding at today&#039;s price of about $66.31.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;div class=&quot;mt-8 flow-root&quot;&gt;
&lt;div class=&quot;-mx-4 -my-2 overflow-x-auto sm:-mx-6 lg:-mx-8&quot;&gt;
&lt;div class=&quot;inline-block min-w-full py-2 align-middle sm:px-6 lg:px-8&quot;&gt;
&lt;div class=&quot;overflow-hidden rounded-lg border border-slate-800 w-full&quot;&gt;
&lt;table class=&quot;min-w-full divide-y divide-slate-300 not-prose&quot;&gt;
&lt;thead class=&quot;bg-slate-800 text-white&quot;&gt;
&lt;tr class=&quot;divide-x divide-slate-200&quot;&gt;
&lt;th class=&quot;p-3 text-left text-sm font-semibold&quot;&gt;What you hold&lt;/th&gt;
&lt;th class=&quot;p-3 text-left text-sm font-semibold&quot;&gt;Silver content&lt;/th&gt;
&lt;th class=&quot;p-3 text-left text-sm font-semibold&quot;&gt;Melt value at $121.67&lt;/th&gt;
&lt;th class=&quot;p-3 text-left text-sm font-semibold&quot;&gt;Melt value at $66.31&lt;/th&gt;
&lt;/tr&gt;
&lt;/thead&gt;
&lt;tbody class=&quot;divide-y divide-slate-200 bg-white&quot;&gt;
&lt;tr class=&quot;divide-x divide-slate-200 even:bg-slate-50&quot;&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;&lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.moneymetals.com/buy/silver/coins/american-silver-eagle&amp;quot">https://www.moneymetals.com/buy/silver/coins/american-silver-eagle&amp;quot</a>;&gt;1 oz American Silver Eagle&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;1.000 oz&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;$121.67&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;$66.31&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;/tr&gt;
&lt;tr class=&quot;divide-x divide-slate-200 even:bg-slate-50&quot;&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;&lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.moneymetals.com/buy/silver/rounds/1-oz-silver-rounds&amp;quot">https://www.moneymetals.com/buy/silver/rounds/1-oz-silver-rounds&amp;quot</a>;&gt;1 oz silver round&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;1.000 oz&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;$121.67&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;$66.31&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;/tr&gt;
&lt;tr class=&quot;divide-x divide-slate-200 even:bg-slate-50&quot;&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;&lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.moneymetals.com/buy/silver/bars/10-oz-silver-bars&amp;quot">https://www.moneymetals.com/buy/silver/bars/10-oz-silver-bars&amp;quot</a>;&gt;10 oz silver bar&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;10.00 oz&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;$1,216.70&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;$663.10&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;/tr&gt;
&lt;tr class=&quot;divide-x divide-slate-200 even:bg-slate-50&quot;&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;&lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.moneymetals.com/buy/silver/bars/100-oz-silver-bars&amp;quot">https://www.moneymetals.com/buy/silver/bars/100-oz-silver-bars&amp;quot</a>;&gt;100 oz silver bar&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;100.0 oz&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;$12,167.00&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;$6,631.00&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;/tr&gt;
&lt;tr class=&quot;divide-x divide-slate-200 even:bg-slate-50&quot;&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;$1 face value, &lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.moneymetals.com/buy/silver/junk-silver&amp;quot">https://www.moneymetals.com/buy/silver/junk-silver&amp;quot</a>;&gt;pre-1965 90% silver&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;0.715 oz&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;$86.99&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;$47.41&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;/tr&gt;
&lt;tr class=&quot;divide-x divide-slate-200 even:bg-slate-50&quot;&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;One 90% silver half dollar&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;0.3575 oz&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;$43.50&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;$23.71&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;/tr&gt;
&lt;tr class=&quot;divide-x divide-slate-200 even:bg-slate-50&quot;&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;One 90% silver quarter&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;0.1788 oz&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;$21.75&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;$11.85&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;/tr&gt;
&lt;tr class=&quot;divide-x divide-slate-200 even:bg-slate-50&quot;&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;One &lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.moneymetals.com/buy/silver/junk-silver/90-silver-dimes&amp;quot">https://www.moneymetals.com/buy/silver/junk-silver/90-silver-dimes&amp;quot</a>;&gt;90% silver dime&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;0.0715 oz&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;$8.70&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;$4.74&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;/tr&gt;
&lt;/tbody&gt;
&lt;/table&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;p&gt;The 0.715 figure is the standard silver content for $1 of face value in pre-1965 dimes, quarters, and half dollars, and it is the number used to price junk silver. Melt value covers the metal alone, so it is not a buy or sell price, since both of those carry a premium or a spread.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;h2&gt;What the Physical Market Looked Like at the Peak&lt;/h2&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Spot price is one thing, but getting hold of actual metal is another. During the January 2026 run, those two came apart.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Premiums on silver products widened. Heightened demand meant that wait times became more extensive as companies struggled to meet delivery needs. Some popular products ran out for stretches of time.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;That is a normal feature of a physical squeeze. The Silver Institute&amp;rsquo;s note on rising lease rates describes the same pressure on the wholesale side.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Premiums have since come back to earth. At the time of writing, 100 oz silver bars start around $7,179 on our &lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.moneymetals.com/buy/silver/bars/100-oz-silver-bars&amp;quot">https://www.moneymetals.com/buy/silver/bars/100-oz-silver-bars&amp;quot</a>;&gt;100 oz silver bar&lt;/a&gt; page, which is a premium of roughly 8% over melt with spot near $66.31.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;The practical lesson is that a price chart shows a wholesale number. What you pay depends on whether metal is available at all, and in a fast market the two can diverge. If you want to understand how premiums work before buying, compare products across our &lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.moneymetals.com/buy/silver&amp;quot">https://www.moneymetals.com/buy/silver&amp;quot</a>;&gt;silver bullion&lt;/a&gt; selection.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;h2&gt;Will Silver Set a New All-Time High?&lt;/h2&gt;
&lt;p&gt;This is the question everyone asks. The honest answer is that nobody knows. Anyone who tells you otherwise is guessing.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;What we can do instead is lay out the conditions that would need to be in place. Money Metals does not forecast prices, and none of what follows is investment advice.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;h3&gt;What would push silver back toward $121&lt;/h3&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Silver would need the supply gap to stay open or widen, industrial demand to hold up, and investment demand to return at the size it reached in late 2025.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;The Silver Institute&amp;rsquo;s 2026 outlook cuts both ways on this. It forecasts a sixth consecutive deficit, which supports the price, but it also forecasts industrial use falling about 2% to a four-year low. That is because solar makers use less silver per panel and substitute other materials where they can.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;h3&gt;What about $150, $200, or $300 an ounce?&lt;/h3&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Start from the January 2026 peak of $121.67. Silver would need to rise about 23% from there to reach $150, about 64% to reach $200, and about 150% to reach $300. The inflation-adjusted 1980 record of roughly $213 sits between the second and third of those.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Those figures are arithmetic on today&amp;rsquo;s numbers rather than predictions, and prices at those levels would require market conditions that do not exist right now.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;h3&gt;What history suggests about the shape of it&lt;/h3&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Silver&amp;rsquo;s past record runs share one trait: they were steep, and they did not last. The 1980 peak collapsed within a year, the 2011 peak gave back more than half over two years. The 2026 peak has so far followed the same pattern.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;A sustained stretch above a prior record would be new behavior for this metal. That is not to say that it cannot happen, but it does show that the track record for it is thin.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;h2&gt;Silver Price Highs by Decade&lt;/h2&gt;
&lt;div class=&quot;mt-8 flow-root&quot;&gt;
&lt;div class=&quot;-mx-4 -my-2 overflow-x-auto sm:-mx-6 lg:-mx-8&quot;&gt;
&lt;div class=&quot;inline-block min-w-full py-2 align-middle sm:px-6 lg:px-8&quot;&gt;
&lt;div class=&quot;overflow-hidden rounded-lg border border-slate-800 w-full&quot;&gt;
&lt;table class=&quot;min-w-full divide-y divide-slate-300 not-prose&quot;&gt;
&lt;thead class=&quot;bg-slate-800 text-white&quot;&gt;
&lt;tr class=&quot;divide-x divide-slate-200&quot;&gt;
&lt;th class=&quot;p-3 text-left text-sm font-semibold&quot;&gt;Decade&lt;/th&gt;
&lt;th class=&quot;p-3 text-left text-sm font-semibold&quot;&gt;Notable high&lt;/th&gt;
&lt;th class=&quot;p-3 text-left text-sm font-semibold&quot;&gt;Context&lt;/th&gt;
&lt;/tr&gt;
&lt;/thead&gt;
&lt;tbody class=&quot;divide-y divide-slate-200 bg-white&quot;&gt;
&lt;tr class=&quot;divide-x divide-slate-200 even:bg-slate-50&quot;&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;1970s&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;Rose from under $2 to above $30&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;Inflation and the end of the gold standard&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;/tr&gt;
&lt;tr class=&quot;divide-x divide-slate-200 even:bg-slate-50&quot;&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;1980s&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;About $49.45 in January 1980, then a long slide&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;The corner broke and the price collapsed&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;/tr&gt;
&lt;tr class=&quot;divide-x divide-slate-200 even:bg-slate-50&quot;&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;1990s&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;Mostly in the $4 to $7 range&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;Quiet years driven by industrial demand&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;/tr&gt;
&lt;tr class=&quot;divide-x divide-slate-200 even:bg-slate-50&quot;&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;2000s&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;Near $21 in 2008&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;Commodity boom, then the financial crisis&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;/tr&gt;
&lt;tr class=&quot;divide-x divide-slate-200 even:bg-slate-50&quot;&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;2010s&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;Just under $50 in April 2011&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;Debt fears and heavy investor buying&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;/tr&gt;
&lt;tr class=&quot;divide-x divide-slate-200 even:bg-slate-50&quot;&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;2020s&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;$121.67 on January 29, 2026&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;Deficits, industry demand, a supply squeeze&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;/tr&gt;
&lt;/tbody&gt;
&lt;/table&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Exact annual highs and lows going back to 1969 are listed on our &lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.moneymetals.com/silver-price-history&amp;quot">https://www.moneymetals.com/silver-price-history&amp;quot</a>;&gt;silver price history&lt;/a&gt; page.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;h2&gt;How to Buy Silver&lt;/h2&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Silver bullion comes in a few standard forms, and the form you choose changes what you pay over spot.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;ul&gt;
&lt;li&gt;&lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.moneymetals.com/buy/silver/rounds&amp;quot">https://www.moneymetals.com/buy/silver/rounds&amp;quot</a>;&gt;Silver rounds&lt;/a&gt; are private-mint pieces that usually carry the lowest premium per ounce.&lt;/li&gt;
&lt;li&gt;&lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.moneymetals.com/buy/silver/bars&amp;quot">https://www.moneymetals.com/buy/silver/bars&amp;quot</a>;&gt;Silver bars&lt;/a&gt; get cheaper per ounce as they get larger, so a 100 oz bar costs less over spot than ten 1 oz bars.&lt;/li&gt;
&lt;li&gt;&lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.moneymetals.com/buy/silver/coins&amp;quot">https://www.moneymetals.com/buy/silver/coins&amp;quot</a>;&gt;Silver coins&lt;/a&gt; are government-minted legal tender, which means higher premiums and broader recognition.&lt;/li&gt;
&lt;li&gt;&lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.moneymetals.com/buy/silver/junk-silver&amp;quot">https://www.moneymetals.com/buy/silver/junk-silver&amp;quot</a>;&gt;Junk silver&lt;/a&gt; is pre-1965 US coinage, priced off its 90% silver content.&lt;/li&gt;
&lt;/ul&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Silver bullion can also be held inside a retirement account, and our &lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.moneymetals.com/programs/iras&amp;quot">https://www.moneymetals.com/programs/iras&amp;quot</a>;&gt;precious metals IRA&lt;/a&gt; page explains how that works. If you want to sell metal you already own, our &lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.moneymetals.com/sell-to-us&amp;quot">https://www.moneymetals.com/sell-to-us&amp;quot</a>;&gt;sell to us&lt;/a&gt; page shows current bids.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;h3&gt;Frequently Asked Questions&lt;/h3&gt;
&lt;div class=&quot;not-prose flex w-full flex-col gap-4&quot;&gt;
&lt;div x-data=&quot;{ isExpanded: false }&quot; class=&quot;overflow-hidden rounded-sm border border-slate-300 bg-white&quot;&gt;
&lt;h4 class=&quot;text-xl font-semibold&quot;&gt;&lt;button id=&quot;controlsAccordionItemOne&quot; type=&quot;button&quot; class=&quot;flex w-full cursor-pointer items-center justify-between gap-2 bg-slate-200 p-4 text-left underline-offset-2 duration-200 hover:bg-slate-100 focus-visible:bg-slate-50 focus-visible:underline focus-visible:outline-hidden&quot; aria-controls=&quot;accordionItemOne&quot; x-on:click=&quot;isExpanded = ! isExpanded&quot; x-bind:class=&quot;isExpanded ? &#039;font-bold&#039;  : &#039;font-medium&#039;&quot; x-bind:aria-expanded=&quot;isExpanded ? &#039;true&#039; : &#039;false&#039;&quot;&gt; &lt;span&gt;What is the all-time high price of silver?&lt;/span&gt; &lt;svg xmlns=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.w3.org/2000/svg&amp;quot">http://www.w3.org/2000/svg&amp;quot</a>; viewbox=&quot;0 0 24 24&quot; fill=&quot;none&quot; stroke-width=&quot;2&quot; stroke=&quot;currentColor&quot; class=&quot;size-5 shrink-0 transition&quot; aria-hidden=&quot;true&quot; x-bind:class=&quot;isExpanded  ?  &#039;rotate-180&#039;  :  &#039;&#039;&quot;&gt; &lt;path stroke-linecap=&quot;round&quot; stroke-linejoin=&quot;round&quot; d=&quot;M19.5 8.25l-7.5 7.5-7.5-7.5&quot;&gt;&lt;/path&gt; &lt;/svg&gt; &lt;/button&gt;&lt;/h4&gt;
&lt;div x-cloak=&quot;&quot; x-show=&quot;isExpanded&quot; id=&quot;accordionItemOne&quot; role=&quot;region&quot; aria-labelledby=&quot;controlsAccordionItemOne&quot; x-collapse=&quot;&quot;&gt;
&lt;div class=&quot;p-4 text-sm text-pretty sm:text-base flex flex-col gap-4&quot;&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Silver&amp;rsquo;s all-time high is $121.67 per troy ounce, reached on January 29, 2026. That is a record in dollar terms, though after adjusting for inflation the January 1980 peak was higher.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div x-data=&quot;{ isExpanded: false }&quot; class=&quot;overflow-hidden rounded-sm border border-slate-300 bg-white&quot;&gt;
&lt;h4 class=&quot;text-xl font-semibold&quot;&gt;&lt;button id=&quot;controlsAccordionItemTwo&quot; type=&quot;button&quot; class=&quot;flex w-full cursor-pointer items-center justify-between gap-2 bg-slate-200 p-4 text-left underline-offset-2 duration-200 hover:bg-slate-100 focus-visible:bg-slate-50 focus-visible:underline focus-visible:outline-hidden&quot; aria-controls=&quot;accordionItemTwo&quot; x-on:click=&quot;isExpanded = ! isExpanded&quot; x-bind:class=&quot;isExpanded ? &#039;font-bold&#039;  : &#039;font-medium&#039;&quot; x-bind:aria-expanded=&quot;isExpanded ? &#039;true&#039; : &#039;false&#039;&quot;&gt; &lt;span&gt;When did silver hit its all-time high?&lt;/span&gt; &lt;svg xmlns=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.w3.org/2000/svg&amp;quot">http://www.w3.org/2000/svg&amp;quot</a>; viewbox=&quot;0 0 24 24&quot; fill=&quot;none&quot; stroke-width=&quot;2&quot; stroke=&quot;currentColor&quot; class=&quot;size-5 shrink-0 transition&quot; aria-hidden=&quot;true&quot; x-bind:class=&quot;isExpanded  ?  &#039;rotate-180&#039;  :  &#039;&#039;&quot;&gt; &lt;path stroke-linecap=&quot;round&quot; stroke-linejoin=&quot;round&quot; d=&quot;M19.5 8.25l-7.5 7.5-7.5-7.5&quot;&gt;&lt;/path&gt; &lt;/svg&gt; &lt;/button&gt;&lt;/h4&gt;
&lt;div x-cloak=&quot;&quot; x-show=&quot;isExpanded&quot; id=&quot;accordionItemTwo&quot; role=&quot;region&quot; aria-labelledby=&quot;controlsAccordionItemTwo&quot; x-collapse=&quot;&quot;&gt;
&lt;div class=&quot;p-4 text-sm text-pretty sm:text-base flex flex-col gap-4&quot;&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Silver hit its all-time high on January 29, 2026. Silver had cleared $50 in October 2025, passed $83 in December, and topped $100 in January before reaching its peak.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div x-data=&quot;{ isExpanded: false }&quot; class=&quot;overflow-hidden rounded-sm border border-slate-300 bg-white&quot;&gt;
&lt;h4 class=&quot;text-xl font-semibold&quot;&gt;&lt;button id=&quot;controlsAccordionItemThree&quot; type=&quot;button&quot; class=&quot;flex w-full cursor-pointer items-center justify-between gap-2 bg-slate-200 p-4 text-left underline-offset-2 duration-200 hover:bg-slate-100 focus-visible:bg-slate-50 focus-visible:underline focus-visible:outline-hidden&quot; aria-controls=&quot;accordionItemThree&quot; x-on:click=&quot;isExpanded = ! isExpanded&quot; x-bind:class=&quot;isExpanded ? &#039;font-bold&#039;  : &#039;font-medium&#039;&quot; x-bind:aria-expanded=&quot;isExpanded ? &#039;true&#039; : &#039;false&#039;&quot;&gt; &lt;span&gt;What was silver&#039;s highest price before 2026?&lt;/span&gt; &lt;svg xmlns=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.w3.org/2000/svg&amp;quot">http://www.w3.org/2000/svg&amp;quot</a>; viewbox=&quot;0 0 24 24&quot; fill=&quot;none&quot; stroke-width=&quot;2&quot; stroke=&quot;currentColor&quot; class=&quot;size-5 shrink-0 transition&quot; aria-hidden=&quot;true&quot; x-bind:class=&quot;isExpanded  ?  &#039;rotate-180&#039;  :  &#039;&#039;&quot;&gt; &lt;path stroke-linecap=&quot;round&quot; stroke-linejoin=&quot;round&quot; d=&quot;M19.5 8.25l-7.5 7.5-7.5-7.5&quot;&gt;&lt;/path&gt; &lt;/svg&gt; &lt;/button&gt;&lt;/h4&gt;
&lt;div x-cloak=&quot;&quot; x-show=&quot;isExpanded&quot; id=&quot;accordionItemThree&quot; role=&quot;region&quot; aria-labelledby=&quot;controlsAccordionItemThree&quot; x-collapse=&quot;&quot;&gt;
&lt;div class=&quot;p-4 text-sm text-pretty sm:text-base flex flex-col gap-4&quot;&gt;
&lt;p&gt;About $49.45 an ounce in January 1980. Silver came close again in April 2011 with a price that fell just below $50. However, it did not clearly surpass the 1980 level.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div x-data=&quot;{ isExpanded: false }&quot; class=&quot;overflow-hidden rounded-sm border border-slate-300 bg-white&quot;&gt;
&lt;h4 class=&quot;text-xl font-semibold&quot;&gt;&lt;button id=&quot;controlsAccordionItemFour&quot; type=&quot;button&quot; class=&quot;flex w-full cursor-pointer items-center justify-between gap-2 bg-slate-200 p-4 text-left underline-offset-2 duration-200 hover:bg-slate-100 focus-visible:bg-slate-50 focus-visible:underline focus-visible:outline-hidden&quot; aria-controls=&quot;accordionItemFour&quot; x-on:click=&quot;isExpanded = ! isExpanded&quot; x-bind:class=&quot;isExpanded ? &#039;font-bold&#039;  : &#039;font-medium&#039;&quot; x-bind:aria-expanded=&quot;isExpanded ? &#039;true&#039; : &#039;false&#039;&quot;&gt; &lt;span&gt;Is silver&#039;s all-time high adjusted for inflation?&lt;/span&gt; &lt;svg xmlns=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.w3.org/2000/svg&amp;quot">http://www.w3.org/2000/svg&amp;quot</a>; viewbox=&quot;0 0 24 24&quot; fill=&quot;none&quot; stroke-width=&quot;2&quot; stroke=&quot;currentColor&quot; class=&quot;size-5 shrink-0 transition&quot; aria-hidden=&quot;true&quot; x-bind:class=&quot;isExpanded  ?  &#039;rotate-180&#039;  :  &#039;&#039;&quot;&gt; &lt;path stroke-linecap=&quot;round&quot; stroke-linejoin=&quot;round&quot; d=&quot;M19.5 8.25l-7.5 7.5-7.5-7.5&quot;&gt;&lt;/path&gt; &lt;/svg&gt; &lt;/button&gt;&lt;/h4&gt;
&lt;div x-cloak=&quot;&quot; x-show=&quot;isExpanded&quot; id=&quot;accordionItemFour&quot; role=&quot;region&quot; aria-labelledby=&quot;controlsAccordionItemFour&quot; x-collapse=&quot;&quot;&gt;
&lt;div class=&quot;p-4 text-sm text-pretty sm:text-base flex flex-col gap-4&quot;&gt;
&lt;p&gt;No. The $121.67 record is in plain dollars, and adjusted for inflation the 1980 peak works out to roughly $213 an ounce in 2026 money. That continues to be the real record.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div x-data=&quot;{ isExpanded: false }&quot; class=&quot;overflow-hidden rounded-sm border border-slate-300 bg-white&quot;&gt;
&lt;h4 class=&quot;text-xl font-semibold&quot;&gt;&lt;button id=&quot;controlsAccordionItemFive&quot; type=&quot;button&quot; class=&quot;flex w-full cursor-pointer items-center justify-between gap-2 bg-slate-200 p-4 text-left underline-offset-2 duration-200 hover:bg-slate-100 focus-visible:bg-slate-50 focus-visible:underline focus-visible:outline-hidden&quot; aria-controls=&quot;accordionItemFive&quot; x-on:click=&quot;isExpanded = ! isExpanded&quot; x-bind:class=&quot;isExpanded ? &#039;font-bold&#039;  : &#039;font-medium&#039;&quot; x-bind:aria-expanded=&quot;isExpanded ? &#039;true&#039; : &#039;false&#039;&quot;&gt; &lt;span&gt;What caused the silver price record in 2026?&lt;/span&gt; &lt;svg xmlns=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.w3.org/2000/svg&amp;quot">http://www.w3.org/2000/svg&amp;quot</a>; viewbox=&quot;0 0 24 24&quot; fill=&quot;none&quot; stroke-width=&quot;2&quot; stroke=&quot;currentColor&quot; class=&quot;size-5 shrink-0 transition&quot; aria-hidden=&quot;true&quot; x-bind:class=&quot;isExpanded  ?  &#039;rotate-180&#039;  :  &#039;&#039;&quot;&gt; &lt;path stroke-linecap=&quot;round&quot; stroke-linejoin=&quot;round&quot; d=&quot;M19.5 8.25l-7.5 7.5-7.5-7.5&quot;&gt;&lt;/path&gt; &lt;/svg&gt; &lt;/button&gt;&lt;/h4&gt;
&lt;div x-cloak=&quot;&quot; x-show=&quot;isExpanded&quot; id=&quot;accordionItemFive&quot; role=&quot;region&quot; aria-labelledby=&quot;controlsAccordionItemFive&quot; x-collapse=&quot;&quot;&gt;
&lt;div class=&quot;p-4 text-sm text-pretty sm:text-base flex flex-col gap-4&quot;&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Five consecutive years of supply deficit, steady industrial demand, a squeeze in the physical market in October 2025, and a surge in investor buying. The Silver Institute documents both the deficit and the squeeze.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div x-data=&quot;{ isExpanded: false }&quot; class=&quot;overflow-hidden rounded-sm border border-slate-300 bg-white&quot;&gt;
&lt;h4 class=&quot;text-xl font-semibold&quot;&gt;&lt;button id=&quot;controlsAccordionItemSix&quot; type=&quot;button&quot; class=&quot;flex w-full cursor-pointer items-center justify-between gap-2 bg-slate-200 p-4 text-left underline-offset-2 duration-200 hover:bg-slate-100 focus-visible:bg-slate-50 focus-visible:underline focus-visible:outline-hidden&quot; aria-controls=&quot;accordionItemSix&quot; x-on:click=&quot;isExpanded = ! isExpanded&quot; x-bind:class=&quot;isExpanded ? &#039;font-bold&#039;  : &#039;font-medium&#039;&quot; x-bind:aria-expanded=&quot;isExpanded ? &#039;true&#039; : &#039;false&#039;&quot;&gt; &lt;span&gt;How far below its all-time high is silver now?&lt;/span&gt; &lt;svg xmlns=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.w3.org/2000/svg&amp;quot">http://www.w3.org/2000/svg&amp;quot</a>; viewbox=&quot;0 0 24 24&quot; fill=&quot;none&quot; stroke-width=&quot;2&quot; stroke=&quot;currentColor&quot; class=&quot;size-5 shrink-0 transition&quot; aria-hidden=&quot;true&quot; x-bind:class=&quot;isExpanded  ?  &#039;rotate-180&#039;  :  &#039;&#039;&quot;&gt; &lt;path stroke-linecap=&quot;round&quot; stroke-linejoin=&quot;round&quot; d=&quot;M19.5 8.25l-7.5 7.5-7.5-7.5&quot;&gt;&lt;/path&gt; &lt;/svg&gt; &lt;/button&gt;&lt;/h4&gt;
&lt;div x-cloak=&quot;&quot; x-show=&quot;isExpanded&quot; id=&quot;accordionItemSix&quot; role=&quot;region&quot; aria-labelledby=&quot;controlsAccordionItemSix&quot; x-collapse=&quot;&quot;&gt;
&lt;div class=&quot;p-4 text-sm text-pretty sm:text-base flex flex-col gap-4&quot;&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Silver traded near $66 an ounce in mid-September 2026, roughly 45% below the January 2026 record. The &lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.moneymetals.com/silver-price&amp;quot">https://www.moneymetals.com/silver-price&amp;quot</a>;&gt;silver price&lt;/a&gt; page carries the current figure.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
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&lt;h4 class=&quot;text-xl font-semibold&quot;&gt;&lt;button id=&quot;controlsAccordionItemSeven&quot; type=&quot;button&quot; class=&quot;flex w-full cursor-pointer items-center justify-between gap-2 bg-slate-200 p-4 text-left underline-offset-2 duration-200 hover:bg-slate-100 focus-visible:bg-slate-50 focus-visible:underline focus-visible:outline-hidden&quot; aria-controls=&quot;accordionItemSeven&quot; x-on:click=&quot;isExpanded = ! isExpanded&quot; x-bind:class=&quot;isExpanded ? &#039;font-bold&#039;  : &#039;font-medium&#039;&quot; x-bind:aria-expanded=&quot;isExpanded ? &#039;true&#039; : &#039;false&#039;&quot;&gt; &lt;span&gt;Will silver reach $100 an ounce again?&lt;/span&gt; &lt;svg xmlns=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.w3.org/2000/svg&amp;quot">http://www.w3.org/2000/svg&amp;quot</a>; viewbox=&quot;0 0 24 24&quot; fill=&quot;none&quot; stroke-width=&quot;2&quot; stroke=&quot;currentColor&quot; class=&quot;size-5 shrink-0 transition&quot; aria-hidden=&quot;true&quot; x-bind:class=&quot;isExpanded  ?  &#039;rotate-180&#039;  :  &#039;&#039;&quot;&gt; &lt;path stroke-linecap=&quot;round&quot; stroke-linejoin=&quot;round&quot; d=&quot;M19.5 8.25l-7.5 7.5-7.5-7.5&quot;&gt;&lt;/path&gt; &lt;/svg&gt; &lt;/button&gt;&lt;/h4&gt;
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&lt;div class=&quot;p-4 text-sm text-pretty sm:text-base flex flex-col gap-4&quot;&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Nobody can say. Silver traded above $100 for part of January 2026, so the level is not unprecedented, but whether it returns depends on supply, industrial demand, and investor buying. This is not a forecast or investment advice.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;</p><Img align="left" border="0" height="1" width="1" alt="" style="border:0;float:left;margin:0;padding:0;width:1px!important;height:1px!important;" hspace="0" src="https://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/i/969653324/0/moneymetals">
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				<pubDate>Wed, 23 Sep 2026 00:00:00 EST</pubDate></item>
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<feedburner:origLink>https://www.moneymetals.com/price/why-is-silver-going-down</feedburner:origLink>
				<title>Why Is Silver Going Down - Fed Rate Hikes, a Strong Dollar, and Forced Futures Selling - Past Crash Recoveries, the Deficit Paradox, and Signs of a Bottom - Money Metals</title>
				<description><![CDATA[Why is silver going down? Silver is down about 48% from its January 2026 record. See how Fed rate hikes, a strong dollar, and CME margin calls drove the drop, and which signals point to a bottom.<div style="clear:both;padding-top:0.2em;"><a href="https://feeds.feedblitz.com/_/28/969650042/moneymetals"><img height="20" src="https://assets.feedblitz.com/i/fblike20.png" style="border:0;margin:0;padding:0;"></a>&#160;<a href="https://feeds.feedblitz.com/_/29/969650042/moneymetals,"><img height="20" src="https://assets.feedblitz.com/i/pinterest20.png" style="border:0;margin:0;padding:0;"></a>&#160;<a href="https://feeds.feedblitz.com/_/24/969650042/moneymetals"><img height="20" src="https://assets.feedblitz.com/i/x.png" style="border:0;margin:0;padding:0;"></a>&#160;<a href="https://feeds.feedblitz.com/_/19/969650042/moneymetals"><img height="20" src="https://assets.feedblitz.com/i/email20.png" style="border:0;margin:0;padding:0;"></a>&#160;<a href="https://feeds.feedblitz.com/_/20/969650042/moneymetals"><img height="20" src="https://assets.feedblitz.com/i/rss20.png" style="border:0;margin:0;padding:0;"></a>&nbsp;&#160;</div>]]>
</description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>&lt;p&gt;&lt;em&gt;Last updated: September 17, 2026&lt;/em&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Silver is going down because the Federal Reserve is raising interest rates, the U.S. dollar is firm, and traders who bought with borrowed money are selling. Taken together, those factors can have a significant pull against silver.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;That&amp;rsquo;s not all. The silver market has also been impacted by fears regarding industrial demand and growing fears surrounding AI data centers.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;The drop has been steep. Silver hit a record &lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://investingnews.com/daily/resource-investing/precious-metals-investing/silver-investing/what-was-the-highest-price-for-silver/&amp;quot">https://investingnews.com/daily/resource-investing/precious-metals-investing/silver-investing/what-was-the-highest-price-for-silver/&amp;quot</a>;&gt;$121.62 an ounce on January 29, 2026&lt;/a&gt;. On September 16, it closed near &lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.kitco.com/news/article/2026-09-16/gold-silver-prices-fall-warsh-signals-more-tightening-ahead-kitco-pm-report&amp;quot">https://www.kitco.com/news/article/2026-09-16/gold-silver-prices-fall-warsh-signals-more-tightening-ahead-kitco-pm-report&amp;quot</a>;&gt;$62.82&lt;/a&gt;. That is a loss of about 48%.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;This guide will do more than discuss general market information. You will see how past silver crashes played out. You will see how physical silver performs differently than &amp;ldquo;paper&amp;rdquo; silver. Finally, you will find signals that can hint a bottoming out is coming.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;h2&gt;What&#039;s Pushing Silver Down Right Now (Updated September 17, 2026)&lt;/h2&gt;
&lt;div class=&quot;mt-8 flow-root&quot;&gt;
&lt;div class=&quot;-mx-4 -my-2 overflow-x-auto sm:-mx-6 lg:-mx-8&quot;&gt;
&lt;div class=&quot;inline-block min-w-full py-2 align-middle sm:px-6 lg:px-8&quot;&gt;
&lt;div class=&quot;overflow-hidden rounded-lg border border-slate-800 w-full&quot;&gt;
&lt;table class=&quot;min-w-full divide-y divide-slate-300 not-prose&quot;&gt;
&lt;thead class=&quot;bg-slate-800 text-white&quot;&gt;
&lt;tr class=&quot;divide-x divide-slate-200&quot;&gt;
&lt;th class=&quot;p-3 text-left text-sm font-semibold&quot;&gt;&lt;/th&gt;
&lt;th class=&quot;p-3 text-left text-sm font-semibold&quot;&gt;Price or level&lt;/th&gt;
&lt;th class=&quot;p-3 text-left text-sm font-semibold&quot;&gt;Source&lt;/th&gt;
&lt;/tr&gt;
&lt;/thead&gt;
&lt;tbody class=&quot;divide-y divide-slate-200 bg-white&quot;&gt;
&lt;tr class=&quot;divide-x divide-slate-200 even:bg-slate-50&quot;&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;Silver all-time high (Jan. 29, 2026)&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;$121.62&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;&lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://investingnews.com/daily/resource-investing/precious-metals-investing/silver-investing/what-was-the-highest-price-for-silver/&amp;quot">https://investingnews.com/daily/resource-investing/precious-metals-investing/silver-investing/what-was-the-highest-price-for-silver/&amp;quot</a>;&gt;Investing News&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;/tr&gt;
&lt;tr class=&quot;divide-x divide-slate-200 even:bg-slate-50&quot;&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;Silver on July 31, 2026&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;About $58&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;&lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://finance.yahoo.com/markets/commodities/articles/silver-down-big-peak-now-142500035.html&amp;quot">https://finance.yahoo.com/markets/commodities/articles/silver-down-big-peak-now-142500035.html&amp;quot</a>;&gt;Yahoo Finance&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;/tr&gt;
&lt;tr class=&quot;divide-x divide-slate-200 even:bg-slate-50&quot;&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;Silver on Sept. 16, 2026&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;$62.82&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;&lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.kitco.com/news/article/2026-09-16/gold-silver-prices-fall-warsh-signals-more-tightening-ahead-kitco-pm-report&amp;quot">https://www.kitco.com/news/article/2026-09-16/gold-silver-prices-fall-warsh-signals-more-tightening-ahead-kitco-pm-report&amp;quot</a>;&gt;Kitco&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;/tr&gt;
&lt;tr class=&quot;divide-x divide-slate-200 even:bg-slate-50&quot;&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;Drop from record high&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;About 48%&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;Calculated&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;/tr&gt;
&lt;tr class=&quot;divide-x divide-slate-200 even:bg-slate-50&quot;&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;Gold on Sept. 16, 2026&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;$4,261.80&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;&lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.kitco.com/news/article/2026-09-16/gold-silver-prices-fall-warsh-signals-more-tightening-ahead-kitco-pm-report&amp;quot">https://www.kitco.com/news/article/2026-09-16/gold-silver-prices-fall-warsh-signals-more-tightening-ahead-kitco-pm-report&amp;quot</a>;&gt;Kitco&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;/tr&gt;
&lt;/tbody&gt;
&lt;/table&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&lt;strong&gt;The big story this week is the Fed.&lt;/strong&gt; On September 16, the Fed raised its key rate by a quarter point, to a range of 3.75% to 4.00%. Its own forecast showed that &lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.kitco.com/news/article/2026-09-16/gold-silver-prices-fall-warsh-signals-more-tightening-ahead-kitco-pm-report&amp;quot">https://www.kitco.com/news/article/2026-09-16/gold-silver-prices-fall-warsh-signals-more-tightening-ahead-kitco-pm-report&amp;quot</a>;&gt;16 of 18 officials expect at least one more rate hike&lt;/a&gt; by the end of the year. Silver gave up its early gains after the news.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Inflation is the reason for the hike.&lt;/strong&gt; Consumer prices rose &lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.cbsnews.com/news/what-fed-rate-hike-means-for-gold-silver-prices-september-2026/&amp;quot">https://www.cbsnews.com/news/what-fed-rate-hike-means-for-gold-silver-prices-september-2026/&amp;quot</a>;&gt;3.4% over the past year&lt;/a&gt;, well above the Fed&#039;s 2% target.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Silver is falling harder than gold.&lt;/strong&gt; Gold has dropped from &lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.cbsnews.com/news/what-fed-rate-hike-means-for-gold-silver-prices-september-2026/&amp;quot">https://www.cbsnews.com/news/what-fed-rate-hike-means-for-gold-silver-prices-september-2026/&amp;quot</a>;&gt;more than $5,500 early this year&lt;/a&gt; to about $4,260. That is roughly a 23% loss. Silver has lost about twice as much.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Bottom line:&lt;/strong&gt; As long as the Fed keeps raising rates, silver will likely stay under pressure. Track the live price on our &lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.moneymetals.com/silver-price&amp;quot">https://www.moneymetals.com/silver-price&amp;quot</a>;&gt;silver price chart&lt;/a&gt;.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;h2&gt;Why Is Silver Going Down? 6 Forces Causing the Fall&lt;/h2&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Most articles list these reasons and stop. Here, you will also learn how each one works and how to track it yourself.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;h3&gt;1. Rising Interest Rates and Real Yields&lt;/h3&gt;
&lt;p&gt;When interest rates rise, it increases the opportunity cost for owning silver. Silver does not generate interest, so many investors prefer to invest in assets that benefit from the rate rise. That usually means cash and bonds.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;However, the crucial factor is the &lt;strong&gt;real yield&lt;/strong&gt;. The real yield is what is left of the interest rate once you factor in inflation. If a bond pays 5% while inflation sits at 3.4%, that means the real yield is about 1.6%. When real yields rise, silver usually struggles. When they fall, the silver market typically improves.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Right now, the 10-year Treasury yield sits near &lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.kitco.com/news/article/2026-09-16/gold-silver-prices-fall-warsh-signals-more-tightening-ahead-kitco-pm-report&amp;quot">https://www.kitco.com/news/article/2026-09-16/gold-silver-prices-fall-warsh-signals-more-tightening-ahead-kitco-pm-report&amp;quot</a>;&gt;5.00%&lt;/a&gt;. That is a strong pull away from metals.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&lt;strong&gt;What to watch:&lt;/strong&gt; The &lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/DFII10&amp;quot">https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/DFII10&amp;quot</a>;&gt;10-year TIPS yield on FRED&lt;/a&gt;. It tracks real yields each day.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;h3&gt;2. A Stronger U.S. Dollar&lt;/h3&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Silver is priced in dollars globally. When the dollar gains strength, it results in silver costing more for buyers using other currencies. Those investors buy less silver, which then causes the price to fall.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;For these reasons, silver and the dollar typically have an inverse relationship. When the dollar grows, silver declines. On September 16, the U.S. Dollar Index stood at &lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.kitco.com/news/article/2026-09-16/gold-silver-prices-fall-warsh-signals-more-tightening-ahead-kitco-pm-report&amp;quot">https://www.kitco.com/news/article/2026-09-16/gold-silver-prices-fall-warsh-signals-more-tightening-ahead-kitco-pm-report&amp;quot</a>;&gt;100.25&lt;/a&gt; as the Fed turned more aggressive.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&lt;strong&gt;What to watch:&lt;/strong&gt; The &lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/DX-Y.NYB/&amp;quot">https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/DX-Y.NYB/&amp;quot</a>;&gt;U.S. Dollar Index (DXY)&lt;/a&gt;. A reading above 100 is a headwind for silver.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;h3&gt;3. Forced Selling in the Futures Market&lt;/h3&gt;
&lt;p&gt;This is a crucial factor that too few sources take the time to explain.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Most silver trading takes place outside the physical silver market. Traders only put up a small deposit, called the &lt;strong&gt;margin&lt;/strong&gt;, to control a large amount of silver. The exchange determines how big that deposit must be.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Here is how a margin hike forces selling:&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;ol&gt;
&lt;li&gt;Silver prices swing wildly.&lt;/li&gt;
&lt;li&gt;The exchange raises the margin to protect itself.&lt;/li&gt;
&lt;li&gt;Traders must add cash right away.&lt;/li&gt;
&lt;li&gt;Traders who can&#039;t pay are forced to sell.&lt;/li&gt;
&lt;li&gt;That selling pushes prices lower, which triggers more selling.&lt;/li&gt;
&lt;/ol&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&lt;strong&gt;A simple example:&lt;/strong&gt; Let&amp;rsquo;s say a trader controls $100,000 worth of silver futures at an 11% initial margin. That would amount to $11,000 on deposit. If the exchange raises that rate to 12.1%, the trader must now hold $12,100.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;If they cannot add that $1,100, then their broker will sell the position. That will take place regardless of what the trader thinks silver is worth. Now picture the same position after margins jump to 18%. The $11,000 deposit becomes $18,000, and the trader has to find another $7,000.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;This happened in 2026. Silver hit its record on January 29. One day prior, CME Group &lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://goldsilver.com/industry-news/article/what-are-margin-requirements-why-cmes-hike-triggered-a-silver-crash/&amp;quot">https://goldsilver.com/industry-news/article/what-are-margin-requirements-why-cmes-hike-triggered-a-silver-crash/&amp;quot</a>;&gt;raised margins on high-risk silver accounts.&lt;/a&gt; The initial rate went from 11% to 12.1% after the close on January 28. More hikes followed as the price broke.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;An advisory dated January 30 lists the standard initial rate at 15%, effective February 2. By February 6, silver futures required 18% initial margin. That was up from 11% two weeks earlier. Silver had already crashed from its record to &lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://investingnews.com/daily/resource-investing/precious-metals-investing/silver-investing/what-was-the-highest-price-for-silver/&amp;quot">https://investingnews.com/daily/resource-investing/precious-metals-investing/silver-investing/what-was-the-highest-price-for-silver/&amp;quot</a>;&gt;around $71 by February 2&lt;/a&gt;. Analysts at &lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.morningstar.com/markets/why-are-gold-silver-plunging&amp;quot">https://www.morningstar.com/markets/why-are-gold-silver-plunging&amp;quot</a>;&gt;Morningstar&lt;/a&gt; said speculators being forced out caused that crash. Supply and demand had not changed.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&lt;strong&gt;What to watch:&lt;/strong&gt; &lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/metals/precious/silver.margins.html&amp;quot">https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/metals/precious/silver.margins.html&amp;quot</a>;&gt;CME&#039;s silver margin page&lt;/a&gt;. A margin hike during a volatile week is a warning sign.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;h3&gt;4. Worries About Industrial Demand&lt;/h3&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Unlike gold, a lot of silver demand comes from the industrial sphere. People often underestimate just how vital silver is for so much industrial equipment. It goes into solar panels, electronics, cars, and data center hardware. So when the economy slows, silver demand can drop.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Two worries stand out in 2026:&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;ul&gt;
&lt;li&gt;&lt;strong&gt;AI data centers.&lt;/strong&gt; Silver&#039;s rally was fed by hopes for AI spending. By summer, investors began to doubt that spending would pay off. &lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://finance.yahoo.com/markets/commodities/articles/silver-down-big-peak-now-142500035.html&amp;quot">https://finance.yahoo.com/markets/commodities/articles/silver-down-big-peak-now-142500035.html&amp;quot</a>;&gt;Yahoo Finance&lt;/a&gt; tied part of silver&#039;s drop to this &quot;nervousness about AI data centers.&quot;&lt;/li&gt;
&lt;li&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Solar thrifting.&lt;/strong&gt; Solar makers keep finding ways to use less silver in each panel. The &lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://silverinstitute.org/global-silver-investment-to-remain-strong-in-2026-against-the-backdrop-of-a-sixth-consecutive-annual-market-deficit/&amp;quot">https://silverinstitute.org/global-silver-investment-to-remain-strong-in-2026-against-the-backdrop-of-a-sixth-consecutive-annual-market-deficit/&amp;quot</a>;&gt;Silver Institute&lt;/a&gt; expects industrial use of silver to fall 2% this year, to about 650 million ounces. That would be a four-year low.&lt;/li&gt;
&lt;/ul&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Keep this in perspective. A 2% dip in demand is small. Silver fell about 48%. Fear about demand has done far more damage to silver value than the actual drop in demand.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;h3&gt;5. Investors Selling Silver ETFs&lt;/h3&gt;
&lt;p&gt;ETF stands for exchange-traded funds. These funds hold metal on their shareholders&amp;rsquo; behalf. That means when investors sell ETF shares, the fund may also sell silver. Heavy ETF selling &lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://invezz.com/za/news/2026/04/29/silver-price-at-risk-as-slv-etf-outflows-jump-ahead-of-fomc-decision/&amp;quot">https://invezz.com/za/news/2026/04/29/silver-price-at-risk-as-slv-etf-outflows-jump-ahead-of-fomc-decision/&amp;quot</a>;&gt;showed up several times in 2026&lt;/a&gt;, including before Fed meetings.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&lt;strong&gt;What to watch:&lt;/strong&gt; The ounces held by the &lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.ishares.com/us/products/239855/ishares-silver-trust-fund&amp;quot">https://www.ishares.com/us/products/239855/ishares-silver-trust-fund&amp;quot</a>;&gt;iShares Silver Trust (SLV)&lt;/a&gt;. Rising holdings suggest investors are coming back. Learn how ETFs differ from owning metal in our guide to &lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.moneymetals.com/investment/silver-etf-vs-physical-silver&amp;quot">https://www.moneymetals.com/investment/silver-etf-vs-physical-silver&amp;quot</a>;&gt;silver ETFs vs. physical silver&lt;/a&gt;.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;h3&gt;6. Profit-Taking After a Huge Rally&lt;/h3&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Silver was trading &lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://goldsilver.com/industry-news/article/what-are-margin-requirements-why-cmes-hike-triggered-a-silver-crash/&amp;quot">https://goldsilver.com/industry-news/article/what-are-margin-requirements-why-cmes-hike-triggered-a-silver-crash/&amp;quot</a>;&gt;near $30 an ounce in 2025&lt;/a&gt;. In January 2026, the price of silver topped $120, though exact figures vary slightly. Regardless of the final figure, that period saw the price rise to about four times its starting level.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Moves that fast attract many short-term traders. When the trend breaks, many of them sell at once in an attempt to lock in their gains. Typically, sharp pullbacks follow sharp rallies.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;h2&gt;Why Silver Falls Harder Than Gold&lt;/h2&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Silver and gold typically correlate to one another. However, while the two metals move in the same direction, silver swings much more. Our guide on &lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.moneymetals.com/price/do-gold-and-silver-prices-move-together&amp;quot">https://www.moneymetals.com/price/do-gold-and-silver-prices-move-together&amp;quot</a>;&gt;whether gold and silver prices move together&lt;/a&gt; covers this in depth.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;There are three main reasons:&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;ul&gt;
&lt;li&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Silver is a smaller market.&lt;/strong&gt; Less money flows through it, so big trades move the price more.&lt;/li&gt;
&lt;li&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Silver depends on industry.&lt;/strong&gt; Gold is mostly held as money. Silver is mostly used in products, so it reacts to economic fears.&lt;/li&gt;
&lt;li&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Silver attracts more speculators.&lt;/strong&gt; Its lower price and big swings draw short-term traders.&lt;/li&gt;
&lt;/ul&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Here is how the two metals compare in recent drops:&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;div class=&quot;mt-8 flow-root&quot;&gt;
&lt;div class=&quot;-mx-4 -my-2 overflow-x-auto sm:-mx-6 lg:-mx-8&quot;&gt;
&lt;div class=&quot;inline-block min-w-full py-2 align-middle sm:px-6 lg:px-8&quot;&gt;
&lt;div class=&quot;overflow-hidden rounded-lg border border-slate-800 w-full&quot;&gt;
&lt;table class=&quot;min-w-full divide-y divide-slate-300 not-prose&quot;&gt;
&lt;thead class=&quot;bg-slate-800 text-white&quot;&gt;
&lt;tr class=&quot;divide-x divide-slate-200&quot;&gt;
&lt;th class=&quot;p-3 text-left text-sm font-semibold&quot;&gt;Period&lt;/th&gt;
&lt;th class=&quot;p-3 text-left text-sm font-semibold&quot;&gt;Silver drop&lt;/th&gt;
&lt;th class=&quot;p-3 text-left text-sm font-semibold&quot;&gt;Gold drop&lt;/th&gt;
&lt;/tr&gt;
&lt;/thead&gt;
&lt;tbody class=&quot;divide-y divide-slate-200 bg-white&quot;&gt;
&lt;tr class=&quot;divide-x divide-slate-200 even:bg-slate-50&quot;&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;2026 peak to Sept. 16, 2026&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;About 48%&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;About 23%&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;/tr&gt;
&lt;tr class=&quot;divide-x divide-slate-200 even:bg-slate-50&quot;&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;Sources&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;&lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://investingnews.com/daily/resource-investing/precious-metals-investing/silver-investing/what-was-the-highest-price-for-silver/&amp;quot">https://investingnews.com/daily/resource-investing/precious-metals-investing/silver-investing/what-was-the-highest-price-for-silver/&amp;quot</a>;&gt;Investing News&lt;/a&gt;, &lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.kitco.com/news/article/2026-09-16/gold-silver-prices-fall-warsh-signals-more-tightening-ahead-kitco-pm-report&amp;quot">https://www.kitco.com/news/article/2026-09-16/gold-silver-prices-fall-warsh-signals-more-tightening-ahead-kitco-pm-report&amp;quot</a>;&gt;Kitco&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;&lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.cbsnews.com/news/what-fed-rate-hike-means-for-gold-silver-prices-september-2026/&amp;quot">https://www.cbsnews.com/news/what-fed-rate-hike-means-for-gold-silver-prices-september-2026/&amp;quot</a>;&gt;CBS News&lt;/a&gt;, &lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.kitco.com/news/article/2026-09-16/gold-silver-prices-fall-warsh-signals-more-tightening-ahead-kitco-pm-report&amp;quot">https://www.kitco.com/news/article/2026-09-16/gold-silver-prices-fall-warsh-signals-more-tightening-ahead-kitco-pm-report&amp;quot</a>;&gt;Kitco&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;/tr&gt;
&lt;/tbody&gt;
&lt;/table&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;h3&gt;What the Gold-Silver Ratio Says&lt;/h3&gt;
&lt;p&gt;The &lt;strong&gt;gold-silver ratio&lt;/strong&gt; tells you how many ounces of silver it takes to buy one ounce of gold. As of the September 16 market close, the ratio is roughly &lt;strong&gt;68.&lt;/strong&gt; The gold price was $4,261.80 divided by $62.82.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;A high ratio means silver is cheap compared to gold. In April 2025, the ratio was &lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.moneymetals.com/news/2025/04/21/gold-silver-ratio-over-103-indicates-silver-is-on-sale-003999&amp;quot">https://www.moneymetals.com/news/2025/04/21/gold-silver-ratio-over-103-indicates-silver-is-on-sale-003999&amp;quot</a>;&gt;above 103&lt;/a&gt;. Silver then went on a &lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.moneymetals.com/news/2025/07/25/how-the-gold-silver-ratio-predicted-silvers-surge-004222&amp;quot">https://www.moneymetals.com/news/2025/07/25/how-the-gold-silver-ratio-predicted-silvers-surge-004222&amp;quot</a>;&gt;historic run&lt;/a&gt;. Today&#039;s ratio is much lower, so silver isn&#039;t at an extreme bargain compared to gold, even after the drop. Learn more in &lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.moneymetals.com/news/2024/03/25/what-is-the-gold-silver-ratio-why-should-we-pay-attention-to-it-003075&amp;quot">https://www.moneymetals.com/news/2024/03/25/what-is-the-gold-silver-ratio-why-should-we-pay-attention-to-it-003075&amp;quot</a>;&gt;What Is the Gold-Silver Ratio?&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;h2&gt;The Paradox: Record Supply Deficits, Falling Prices&lt;/h2&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Here&#039;s the puzzle. The world is using more silver than it produces. Yet the price keeps falling. How does that work?&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;The &lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://silverinstitute.org/global-silver-investment-to-remain-strong-in-2026-against-the-backdrop-of-a-sixth-consecutive-annual-market-deficit/&amp;quot">https://silverinstitute.org/global-silver-investment-to-remain-strong-in-2026-against-the-backdrop-of-a-sixth-consecutive-annual-market-deficit/&amp;quot</a>;&gt;Silver Institute&lt;/a&gt; expects a 67 million ounce deficit in 2026. That would be the sixth year in a row of shortfalls.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Three things explain the gap between supply and price:&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&lt;strong&gt;1. Futures trading dwarfs physical metal.&lt;/strong&gt; Futures markets play a major role in discovering the spot price. Far more silver trades on paper each day than changes hands as real bars and coins in OTC markets. So in the short run, traders&#039; moves matter more than mine output.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&lt;strong&gt;2. There is a stockpile.&lt;/strong&gt; Years of mining have left silver sitting in vaults all around the world. A yearly deficit draws down that stockpile, but it takes time to run low.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&lt;strong&gt;3. Deficits work slowly.&lt;/strong&gt; A shortage shows up in the price only when stockpiles get tight. Watch for two signs of that. The first is rising &lt;strong&gt;lease rates&lt;/strong&gt;, which is the cost to borrow silver. The second is &lt;strong&gt;backwardation&lt;/strong&gt;. That is when silver for delivery today costs more than silver for delivery later.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;The takeaway: a deficit supports silver over years, not weeks. It won&#039;t stop a price drop driven by rates and forced selling.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;h2&gt;Paper Silver vs. Physical Silver: What Buyers Actually Pay&lt;/h2&gt;
&lt;p&gt;The silver price you see reported is the &lt;strong&gt;spot price&lt;/strong&gt;. It comes from a constantly fluctuating interplay between the OTC markets and futures markets. But you can&#039;t buy a coin at spot. Every physical product costs spot plus a &lt;strong&gt;premium&lt;/strong&gt;. The premium covers minting, shipping, and dealer costs.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;During a sharp drop, premiums often hold steady or even rise. That&#039;s because many buyers see a sale and rush in, while mints and wholesalers can&#039;t ramp up supply overnight.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Tips for buying during a drop:&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;ul&gt;
&lt;li&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Compare the premium, not just the price.&lt;/strong&gt; A low spot price means little if the premium is high.&lt;/li&gt;
&lt;li&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Know the buyback spread.&lt;/strong&gt; That is the gap between what you pay and what a dealer will pay you back. Smaller is better.&lt;/li&gt;
&lt;li&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Choose the right product.&lt;/strong&gt; Generic &lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.moneymetals.com/buy/silver/rounds&amp;quot">https://www.moneymetals.com/buy/silver/rounds&amp;quot</a>;&gt;silver rounds&lt;/a&gt; and larger &lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.moneymetals.com/buy/silver/bars&amp;quot">https://www.moneymetals.com/buy/silver/bars&amp;quot</a>;&gt;silver bars&lt;/a&gt; often cost less over spot than government coins like the &lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.moneymetals.com/buy/silver/coins/american-silver-eagle&amp;quot">https://www.moneymetals.com/buy/silver/coins/american-silver-eagle&amp;quot</a>;&gt;American Silver Eagle&lt;/a&gt;.&lt;/li&gt;
&lt;/ul&gt;
&lt;h2&gt;How Past Silver Crashes Played Out&lt;/h2&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Silver has crashed many times before. History shows two things. Drops can be brutal, and recovery times vary a lot.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;div class=&quot;mt-8 flow-root&quot;&gt;
&lt;div class=&quot;-mx-4 -my-2 overflow-x-auto sm:-mx-6 lg:-mx-8&quot;&gt;
&lt;div class=&quot;inline-block min-w-full py-2 align-middle sm:px-6 lg:px-8&quot;&gt;
&lt;div class=&quot;overflow-hidden rounded-lg border border-slate-800 w-full&quot;&gt;
&lt;table class=&quot;min-w-full divide-y divide-slate-300 not-prose&quot;&gt;
&lt;thead class=&quot;bg-slate-800 text-white&quot;&gt;
&lt;tr class=&quot;divide-x divide-slate-200&quot;&gt;
&lt;th class=&quot;p-3 text-left text-sm font-semibold&quot;&gt;Crash&lt;/th&gt;
&lt;th class=&quot;p-3 text-left text-sm font-semibold&quot;&gt;Peak&lt;/th&gt;
&lt;th class=&quot;p-3 text-left text-sm font-semibold&quot;&gt;Low&lt;/th&gt;
&lt;th class=&quot;p-3 text-left text-sm font-semibold&quot;&gt;Drop&lt;/th&gt;
&lt;th class=&quot;p-3 text-left text-sm font-semibold&quot;&gt;Time to regain peak&lt;/th&gt;
&lt;/tr&gt;
&lt;/thead&gt;
&lt;tbody class=&quot;divide-y divide-slate-200 bg-white&quot;&gt;
&lt;tr class=&quot;divide-x divide-slate-200 even:bg-slate-50&quot;&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;1980 (Hunt Brothers)&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;$49.45 (Jan. 1980)&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;$10.80 (Mar. 1980)&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;About 78%&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;About 45 years (Oct. 2025)&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;/tr&gt;
&lt;tr class=&quot;divide-x divide-slate-200 even:bg-slate-50&quot;&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;2008 (financial crisis)&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;$20.64 (Mar. 2008)&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;$8.94 (Oct. 2008)&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;About 57%&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;About 2.5 years&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;/tr&gt;
&lt;tr class=&quot;divide-x divide-slate-200 even:bg-slate-50&quot;&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;2011 to 2015 (QE peak)&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;$48.46 (Apr. 2011)&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;$13.74 (2015)&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;About 72%&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;About 14 years (Oct. 2025)&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;/tr&gt;
&lt;tr class=&quot;divide-x divide-slate-200 even:bg-slate-50&quot;&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;2020 (COVID-19)&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;About $18.90 (Feb. 2020)&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;$12.12 (Mar. 2020)&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;About 36%&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;About 4 months&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;/tr&gt;
&lt;tr class=&quot;divide-x divide-slate-200 even:bg-slate-50&quot;&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;2026 (so far)&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;$121.62 (Jan. 2026)&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;$57.43 (June 24, 2026)&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;About 53%&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;Not yet&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;/tr&gt;
&lt;/tbody&gt;
&lt;/table&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&lt;em&gt;Sources: 1980 peak from &lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.moneymetals.com/silver-price-history&amp;quot">https://www.moneymetals.com/silver-price-history&amp;quot</a>;&gt;Money Metals silver price history&lt;/a&gt;; 1980 low from &lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://metalcharts.org/silver-price-history&amp;quot">https://metalcharts.org/silver-price-history&amp;quot</a>;&gt;MetalCharts&lt;/a&gt;; 2008, 2011, 2015, and 2020 figures from &lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.jmbullion.com/charts/silver-prices/20-year/&amp;quot">https://www.jmbullion.com/charts/silver-prices/20-year/&amp;quot</a>;&gt;JM Bullion&lt;/a&gt;; 2026 figures from &lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://investingnews.com/daily/resource-investing/precious-metals-investing/silver-investing/what-was-the-highest-price-for-silver/&amp;quot">https://investingnews.com/daily/resource-investing/precious-metals-investing/silver-investing/what-was-the-highest-price-for-silver/&amp;quot</a>;&gt;Investing News&lt;/a&gt; and &lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.kitco.com/news/article/2026-09-16/gold-silver-prices-fall-warsh-signals-more-tightening-ahead-kitco-pm-report&amp;quot">https://www.kitco.com/news/article/2026-09-16/gold-silver-prices-fall-warsh-signals-more-tightening-ahead-kitco-pm-report&amp;quot</a>;&gt;Kitco&lt;/a&gt;. Recovery times are estimates.&lt;/em&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&lt;strong&gt;What history teaches:&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;ul&gt;
&lt;li&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Crashes driven by panic can recover fast.&lt;/strong&gt; The 2020 crash was a liquidity panic. Silver bounced back within months.&lt;/li&gt;
&lt;li&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Crashes driven by rising rates can last years.&lt;/strong&gt; After 2011, the Fed moved toward tighter policy and the dollar rose. Silver took years to find a bottom.&lt;/li&gt;
&lt;li&gt;&lt;strong&gt;2026 has features of both.&lt;/strong&gt; The January crash was a forced-selling panic. The drop since then has been driven by rate hikes. That second part looks more like 2011 to 2015 than 2020.&lt;/li&gt;
&lt;/ul&gt;
&lt;p&gt;No one can promise when silver will recover. Anyone who gives you an exact date is guessing.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;h2&gt;Is Silver Going to Keep Going Down? Signs a Bottom May Be Forming&lt;/h2&gt;
&lt;p&gt;No single signal can call a bottom. But when several of these line up, a turn becomes more likely.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;div class=&quot;mt-8 flow-root&quot;&gt;
&lt;div class=&quot;-mx-4 -my-2 overflow-x-auto sm:-mx-6 lg:-mx-8&quot;&gt;
&lt;div class=&quot;inline-block min-w-full py-2 align-middle sm:px-6 lg:px-8&quot;&gt;
&lt;div class=&quot;overflow-hidden rounded-lg border border-slate-800 w-full&quot;&gt;
&lt;table class=&quot;min-w-full divide-y divide-slate-300 not-prose&quot;&gt;
&lt;thead class=&quot;bg-slate-800 text-white&quot;&gt;
&lt;tr class=&quot;divide-x divide-slate-200&quot;&gt;
&lt;th class=&quot;p-3 text-left text-sm font-semibold&quot;&gt;Signal&lt;/th&gt;
&lt;th class=&quot;p-3 text-left text-sm font-semibold&quot;&gt;What it means&lt;/th&gt;
&lt;th class=&quot;p-3 text-left text-sm font-semibold&quot;&gt;Where to check&lt;/th&gt;
&lt;/tr&gt;
&lt;/thead&gt;
&lt;tbody class=&quot;divide-y divide-slate-200 bg-white&quot;&gt;
&lt;tr class=&quot;divide-x divide-slate-200 even:bg-slate-50&quot;&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;Large speculators cut their bets to low levels&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;Most forced sellers are already out&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;&lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.cftc.gov/MarketReports/CommitmentsofTraders/index.htm&amp;quot">https://www.cftc.gov/MarketReports/CommitmentsofTraders/index.htm&amp;quot</a>;&gt;CFTC Commitments of Traders report&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;/tr&gt;
&lt;tr class=&quot;divide-x divide-slate-200 even:bg-slate-50&quot;&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;Silver ETF holdings stop falling&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;Investors are done exiting&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;&lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.ishares.com/us/products/239855/ishares-silver-trust-fund&amp;quot">https://www.ishares.com/us/products/239855/ishares-silver-trust-fund&amp;quot</a>;&gt;iShares SLV holdings&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;/tr&gt;
&lt;tr class=&quot;divide-x divide-slate-200 even:bg-slate-50&quot;&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;Gold-silver ratio climbs toward 90 or higher&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;Silver is cheap compared to gold&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;&lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.moneymetals.com/precious-metals-charts&amp;quot">https://www.moneymetals.com/precious-metals-charts&amp;quot</a>;&gt;Money Metals charts&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;/tr&gt;
&lt;tr class=&quot;divide-x divide-slate-200 even:bg-slate-50&quot;&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;Premiums and retail demand rise while spot stays weak&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;Physical buyers see value&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;Dealer premium pages&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;/tr&gt;
&lt;tr class=&quot;divide-x divide-slate-200 even:bg-slate-50&quot;&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;Real yields peak and start to fall&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;The main headwind is fading&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;&lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/DFII10&amp;quot">https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/DFII10&amp;quot</a>;&gt;FRED 10-year TIPS yield&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;/tr&gt;
&lt;tr class=&quot;divide-x divide-slate-200 even:bg-slate-50&quot;&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;The Fed signals it is done hiking&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;Rate pressure is ending&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;Fed statements and dot plot&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;/tr&gt;
&lt;tr class=&quot;divide-x divide-slate-200 even:bg-slate-50&quot;&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;Exchange margins stop rising&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;Forced selling is easing&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;&lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/metals/precious/silver.margins.html&amp;quot">https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/metals/precious/silver.margins.html&amp;quot</a>;&gt;CME silver margins&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;/tr&gt;
&lt;/tbody&gt;
&lt;/table&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;p&gt;As of mid-September 2026, the Fed signal points the wrong way. Most officials still expect &lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.kitco.com/news/article/2026-09-16/gold-silver-prices-fall-warsh-signals-more-tightening-ahead-kitco-pm-report&amp;quot">https://www.kitco.com/news/article/2026-09-16/gold-silver-prices-fall-warsh-signals-more-tightening-ahead-kitco-pm-report&amp;quot</a>;&gt;another hike&lt;/a&gt; this year.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;h2&gt;Three Scenarios for Silver From Here&lt;/h2&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Scenario 1: Silver keeps falling.&lt;/strong&gt; This could happen if inflation stays high and the Fed hikes again. A recession that cuts factory demand would add pressure. So would more doubts about AI spending.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Scenario 2: Silver moves sideways.&lt;/strong&gt; The Fed may hike once more and then pause. Silver could trade in a range for a while. Forced sellers would finish exiting, and the deficit would slowly tighten supply.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Scenario 3: Silver recovers.&lt;/strong&gt; A clear signal that the Fed is done, a weaker dollar, or a geopolitical shock could spark a rebound. Tight physical supply could then add fuel.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;For outside views, big banks publish regular forecasts. See &lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.jpmorgan.com/insights/global-research/commodities/silver-prices&amp;quot">https://www.jpmorgan.com/insights/global-research/commodities/silver-prices&amp;quot</a>;&gt;J.P. Morgan&#039;s silver outlook&lt;/a&gt; for one example. Treat any forecast as a guess, not a promise.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;h2&gt;Should You Buy Silver When the Price Is Falling?&lt;/h2&gt;
&lt;p&gt;That depends on your goals and how long you plan to hold. Silver is a long-term store of value for many people. It isn&#039;t a quick trade for most.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;A few approaches can help:&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;ul&gt;
&lt;li&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Dollar-cost averaging.&lt;/strong&gt; Buy a set dollar amount on a regular schedule. You buy more ounces when prices are low and fewer when they are high. You don&#039;t have to guess the bottom. Our &lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.moneymetals.com/precious-metals-investing/gold-silver-savings&amp;quot">https://www.moneymetals.com/precious-metals-investing/gold-silver-savings&amp;quot</a>;&gt;monthly precious metals program&lt;/a&gt; makes this automatic.&lt;/li&gt;
&lt;li&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Buying in stages.&lt;/strong&gt; Split your planned purchase into three or four parts. Buy one part now and the rest over the coming months.&lt;/li&gt;
&lt;li&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Holding for retirement.&lt;/strong&gt; Some investors add silver to a &lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.moneymetals.com/programs/iras&amp;quot">https://www.moneymetals.com/programs/iras&amp;quot</a>;&gt;precious metals IRA&lt;/a&gt;.&lt;/li&gt;
&lt;/ul&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Common mistakes to avoid:&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;ul&gt;
&lt;li&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Using borrowed money.&lt;/strong&gt; Leverage is what turned the 2026 drop into a crash.&lt;/li&gt;
&lt;li&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Panic selling.&lt;/strong&gt; Selling after a big drop locks in losses.&lt;/li&gt;
&lt;li&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Overpaying on premiums.&lt;/strong&gt; Compare total cost per ounce.&lt;/li&gt;
&lt;li&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Reacting to headlines.&lt;/strong&gt; One Fed meeting doesn&#039;t set the long-term price.&lt;/li&gt;
&lt;/ul&gt;
&lt;p&gt;New to silver? Start with our guide to &lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.moneymetals.com/guides/buying-silver-for-beginners&amp;quot">https://www.moneymetals.com/guides/buying-silver-for-beginners&amp;quot</a>;&gt;buying silver for beginners&lt;/a&gt; or read &lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.moneymetals.com/guides/is-now-a-good-time-to-buy-silver&amp;quot">https://www.moneymetals.com/guides/is-now-a-good-time-to-buy-silver&amp;quot</a>;&gt;Is Now a Good Time to Buy Silver?&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&lt;em&gt;This article is for education only. It is not financial advice. Talk with a qualified advisor before making investment decisions.&lt;/em&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;h3&gt;Frequently Asked Questions&lt;/h3&gt;
&lt;div class=&quot;not-prose flex w-full flex-col gap-4&quot;&gt;
&lt;div x-data=&quot;{ isExpanded: false }&quot; class=&quot;overflow-hidden rounded-sm border border-slate-300 bg-white&quot;&gt;
&lt;h4 class=&quot;text-xl font-semibold&quot;&gt;&lt;button id=&quot;controlsAccordionItemOne&quot; type=&quot;button&quot; class=&quot;flex w-full cursor-pointer items-center justify-between gap-2 bg-slate-200 p-4 text-left underline-offset-2 duration-200 hover:bg-slate-100 focus-visible:bg-slate-50 focus-visible:underline focus-visible:outline-hidden&quot; aria-controls=&quot;accordionItemOne&quot; x-on:click=&quot;isExpanded = ! isExpanded&quot; x-bind:class=&quot;isExpanded ? &#039;font-bold&#039;  : &#039;font-medium&#039;&quot; x-bind:aria-expanded=&quot;isExpanded ? &#039;true&#039; : &#039;false&#039;&quot;&gt; &lt;span&gt;Why is silver going down today?&lt;/span&gt; &lt;svg xmlns=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.w3.org/2000/svg&amp;quot">http://www.w3.org/2000/svg&amp;quot</a>; viewbox=&quot;0 0 24 24&quot; fill=&quot;none&quot; stroke-width=&quot;2&quot; stroke=&quot;currentColor&quot; class=&quot;size-5 shrink-0 transition&quot; aria-hidden=&quot;true&quot; x-bind:class=&quot;isExpanded  ?  &#039;rotate-180&#039;  :  &#039;&#039;&quot;&gt; &lt;path stroke-linecap=&quot;round&quot; stroke-linejoin=&quot;round&quot; d=&quot;M19.5 8.25l-7.5 7.5-7.5-7.5&quot;&gt;&lt;/path&gt; &lt;/svg&gt; &lt;/button&gt;&lt;/h4&gt;
&lt;div x-cloak=&quot;&quot; x-show=&quot;isExpanded&quot; id=&quot;accordionItemOne&quot; role=&quot;region&quot; aria-labelledby=&quot;controlsAccordionItemOne&quot; x-collapse=&quot;&quot;&gt;
&lt;div class=&quot;p-4 text-sm text-pretty sm:text-base flex flex-col gap-4&quot;&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Silver&#039;s daily moves are mostly driven by interest rate news, the U.S. dollar, and futures trading. In mid-September 2026, silver fell after the Fed &lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.kitco.com/news/article/2026-09-16/gold-silver-prices-fall-warsh-signals-more-tightening-ahead-kitco-pm-report&amp;quot">https://www.kitco.com/news/article/2026-09-16/gold-silver-prices-fall-warsh-signals-more-tightening-ahead-kitco-pm-report&amp;quot</a>;&gt;raised rates and signaled more hikes&lt;/a&gt;. Check the &lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.moneymetals.com/silver-price&amp;quot">https://www.moneymetals.com/silver-price&amp;quot</a>;&gt;live silver price&lt;/a&gt; for today&#039;s move.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div x-data=&quot;{ isExpanded: false }&quot; class=&quot;overflow-hidden rounded-sm border border-slate-300 bg-white&quot;&gt;
&lt;h4 class=&quot;text-xl font-semibold&quot;&gt;&lt;button id=&quot;controlsAccordionItemTwo&quot; type=&quot;button&quot; class=&quot;flex w-full cursor-pointer items-center justify-between gap-2 bg-slate-200 p-4 text-left underline-offset-2 duration-200 hover:bg-slate-100 focus-visible:bg-slate-50 focus-visible:underline focus-visible:outline-hidden&quot; aria-controls=&quot;accordionItemTwo&quot; x-on:click=&quot;isExpanded = ! isExpanded&quot; x-bind:class=&quot;isExpanded ? &#039;font-bold&#039;  : &#039;font-medium&#039;&quot; x-bind:aria-expanded=&quot;isExpanded ? &#039;true&#039; : &#039;false&#039;&quot;&gt; &lt;span&gt;Will silver go back up?&lt;/span&gt; &lt;svg xmlns=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.w3.org/2000/svg&amp;quot">http://www.w3.org/2000/svg&amp;quot</a>; viewbox=&quot;0 0 24 24&quot; fill=&quot;none&quot; stroke-width=&quot;2&quot; stroke=&quot;currentColor&quot; class=&quot;size-5 shrink-0 transition&quot; aria-hidden=&quot;true&quot; x-bind:class=&quot;isExpanded  ?  &#039;rotate-180&#039;  :  &#039;&#039;&quot;&gt; &lt;path stroke-linecap=&quot;round&quot; stroke-linejoin=&quot;round&quot; d=&quot;M19.5 8.25l-7.5 7.5-7.5-7.5&quot;&gt;&lt;/path&gt; &lt;/svg&gt; &lt;/button&gt;&lt;/h4&gt;
&lt;div x-cloak=&quot;&quot; x-show=&quot;isExpanded&quot; id=&quot;accordionItemTwo&quot; role=&quot;region&quot; aria-labelledby=&quot;controlsAccordionItemTwo&quot; x-collapse=&quot;&quot;&gt;
&lt;div class=&quot;p-4 text-sm text-pretty sm:text-base flex flex-col gap-4&quot;&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Silver has recovered from every major past crash. But the timing has ranged from months to decades. The 2020 crash recovered in about four months. The 2011 peak took about 14 years to reclaim. A pause in Fed rate hikes would likely be the first sign of a lasting rebound.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div x-data=&quot;{ isExpanded: false }&quot; class=&quot;overflow-hidden rounded-sm border border-slate-300 bg-white&quot;&gt;
&lt;h4 class=&quot;text-xl font-semibold&quot;&gt;&lt;button id=&quot;controlsAccordionItemThree&quot; type=&quot;button&quot; class=&quot;flex w-full cursor-pointer items-center justify-between gap-2 bg-slate-200 p-4 text-left underline-offset-2 duration-200 hover:bg-slate-100 focus-visible:bg-slate-50 focus-visible:underline focus-visible:outline-hidden&quot; aria-controls=&quot;accordionItemThree&quot; x-on:click=&quot;isExpanded = ! isExpanded&quot; x-bind:class=&quot;isExpanded ? &#039;font-bold&#039;  : &#039;font-medium&#039;&quot; x-bind:aria-expanded=&quot;isExpanded ? &#039;true&#039; : &#039;false&#039;&quot;&gt; &lt;span&gt;Is now a good time to buy silver?&lt;/span&gt; &lt;svg xmlns=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.w3.org/2000/svg&amp;quot">http://www.w3.org/2000/svg&amp;quot</a>; viewbox=&quot;0 0 24 24&quot; fill=&quot;none&quot; stroke-width=&quot;2&quot; stroke=&quot;currentColor&quot; class=&quot;size-5 shrink-0 transition&quot; aria-hidden=&quot;true&quot; x-bind:class=&quot;isExpanded  ?  &#039;rotate-180&#039;  :  &#039;&#039;&quot;&gt; &lt;path stroke-linecap=&quot;round&quot; stroke-linejoin=&quot;round&quot; d=&quot;M19.5 8.25l-7.5 7.5-7.5-7.5&quot;&gt;&lt;/path&gt; &lt;/svg&gt; &lt;/button&gt;&lt;/h4&gt;
&lt;div x-cloak=&quot;&quot; x-show=&quot;isExpanded&quot; id=&quot;accordionItemThree&quot; role=&quot;region&quot; aria-labelledby=&quot;controlsAccordionItemThree&quot; x-collapse=&quot;&quot;&gt;
&lt;div class=&quot;p-4 text-sm text-pretty sm:text-base flex flex-col gap-4&quot;&gt;
&lt;p&gt;No one can time the bottom. Many long-term buyers use dollar-cost averaging to spread purchases out over time. Silver is about 48% below its January 2026 record, which some buyers see as a chance to add ounces. Read our full guide: &lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.moneymetals.com/guides/is-now-a-good-time-to-buy-silver&amp;quot">https://www.moneymetals.com/guides/is-now-a-good-time-to-buy-silver&amp;quot</a>;&gt;Is Now a Good Time to Buy Silver?&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div x-data=&quot;{ isExpanded: false }&quot; class=&quot;overflow-hidden rounded-sm border border-slate-300 bg-white&quot;&gt;
&lt;h4 class=&quot;text-xl font-semibold&quot;&gt;&lt;button id=&quot;controlsAccordionItemFour&quot; type=&quot;button&quot; class=&quot;flex w-full cursor-pointer items-center justify-between gap-2 bg-slate-200 p-4 text-left underline-offset-2 duration-200 hover:bg-slate-100 focus-visible:bg-slate-50 focus-visible:underline focus-visible:outline-hidden&quot; aria-controls=&quot;accordionItemFour&quot; x-on:click=&quot;isExpanded = ! isExpanded&quot; x-bind:class=&quot;isExpanded ? &#039;font-bold&#039;  : &#039;font-medium&#039;&quot; x-bind:aria-expanded=&quot;isExpanded ? &#039;true&#039; : &#039;false&#039;&quot;&gt; &lt;span&gt;Why did silver drop so much in one day?&lt;/span&gt; &lt;svg xmlns=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.w3.org/2000/svg&amp;quot">http://www.w3.org/2000/svg&amp;quot</a>; viewbox=&quot;0 0 24 24&quot; fill=&quot;none&quot; stroke-width=&quot;2&quot; stroke=&quot;currentColor&quot; class=&quot;size-5 shrink-0 transition&quot; aria-hidden=&quot;true&quot; x-bind:class=&quot;isExpanded  ?  &#039;rotate-180&#039;  :  &#039;&#039;&quot;&gt; &lt;path stroke-linecap=&quot;round&quot; stroke-linejoin=&quot;round&quot; d=&quot;M19.5 8.25l-7.5 7.5-7.5-7.5&quot;&gt;&lt;/path&gt; &lt;/svg&gt; &lt;/button&gt;&lt;/h4&gt;
&lt;div x-cloak=&quot;&quot; x-show=&quot;isExpanded&quot; id=&quot;accordionItemFour&quot; role=&quot;region&quot; aria-labelledby=&quot;controlsAccordionItemFour&quot; x-collapse=&quot;&quot;&gt;
&lt;div class=&quot;p-4 text-sm text-pretty sm:text-base flex flex-col gap-4&quot;&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Big one-day drops usually come from forced selling in futures markets. When exchanges raise margin rules, traders who can&#039;t add cash must sell. After silver hit its record in January 2026, it fell to &lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://investingnews.com/daily/resource-investing/precious-metals-investing/silver-investing/what-was-the-highest-price-for-silver/&amp;quot">https://investingnews.com/daily/resource-investing/precious-metals-investing/silver-investing/what-was-the-highest-price-for-silver/&amp;quot</a>;&gt;around $71 within days&lt;/a&gt; as leveraged traders were pushed out.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div x-data=&quot;{ isExpanded: false }&quot; class=&quot;overflow-hidden rounded-sm border border-slate-300 bg-white&quot;&gt;
&lt;h4 class=&quot;text-xl font-semibold&quot;&gt;&lt;button id=&quot;controlsAccordionItemFive&quot; type=&quot;button&quot; class=&quot;flex w-full cursor-pointer items-center justify-between gap-2 bg-slate-200 p-4 text-left underline-offset-2 duration-200 hover:bg-slate-100 focus-visible:bg-slate-50 focus-visible:underline focus-visible:outline-hidden&quot; aria-controls=&quot;accordionItemFive&quot; x-on:click=&quot;isExpanded = ! isExpanded&quot; x-bind:class=&quot;isExpanded ? &#039;font-bold&#039;  : &#039;font-medium&#039;&quot; x-bind:aria-expanded=&quot;isExpanded ? &#039;true&#039; : &#039;false&#039;&quot;&gt; &lt;span&gt;Could silver hit $200 an ounce?&lt;/span&gt; &lt;svg xmlns=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.w3.org/2000/svg&amp;quot">http://www.w3.org/2000/svg&amp;quot</a>; viewbox=&quot;0 0 24 24&quot; fill=&quot;none&quot; stroke-width=&quot;2&quot; stroke=&quot;currentColor&quot; class=&quot;size-5 shrink-0 transition&quot; aria-hidden=&quot;true&quot; x-bind:class=&quot;isExpanded  ?  &#039;rotate-180&#039;  :  &#039;&#039;&quot;&gt; &lt;path stroke-linecap=&quot;round&quot; stroke-linejoin=&quot;round&quot; d=&quot;M19.5 8.25l-7.5 7.5-7.5-7.5&quot;&gt;&lt;/path&gt; &lt;/svg&gt; &lt;/button&gt;&lt;/h4&gt;
&lt;div x-cloak=&quot;&quot; x-show=&quot;isExpanded&quot; id=&quot;accordionItemFive&quot; role=&quot;region&quot; aria-labelledby=&quot;controlsAccordionItemFive&quot; x-collapse=&quot;&quot;&gt;
&lt;div class=&quot;p-4 text-sm text-pretty sm:text-base flex flex-col gap-4&quot;&gt;
&lt;p&gt;It&#039;s possible over the long term, but no one knows. Silver would need to rise more than three times from today&amp;rsquo;s price. It has never traded above &lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://investingnews.com/daily/resource-investing/precious-metals-investing/silver-investing/what-was-the-highest-price-for-silver/&amp;quot">https://investingnews.com/daily/resource-investing/precious-metals-investing/silver-investing/what-was-the-highest-price-for-silver/&amp;quot</a>;&gt;$121.62&lt;/a&gt;. A move to $200 would likely need falling real rates, a weaker dollar, and tight physical supply all at once.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div x-data=&quot;{ isExpanded: false }&quot; class=&quot;overflow-hidden rounded-sm border border-slate-300 bg-white&quot;&gt;
&lt;h4 class=&quot;text-xl font-semibold&quot;&gt;&lt;button id=&quot;controlsAccordionItemSix&quot; type=&quot;button&quot; class=&quot;flex w-full cursor-pointer items-center justify-between gap-2 bg-slate-200 p-4 text-left underline-offset-2 duration-200 hover:bg-slate-100 focus-visible:bg-slate-50 focus-visible:underline focus-visible:outline-hidden&quot; aria-controls=&quot;accordionItemSix&quot; x-on:click=&quot;isExpanded = ! isExpanded&quot; x-bind:class=&quot;isExpanded ? &#039;font-bold&#039;  : &#039;font-medium&#039;&quot; x-bind:aria-expanded=&quot;isExpanded ? &#039;true&#039; : &#039;false&#039;&quot;&gt; &lt;span&gt;Is the silver price being manipulated?&lt;/span&gt; &lt;svg xmlns=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.w3.org/2000/svg&amp;quot">http://www.w3.org/2000/svg&amp;quot</a>; viewbox=&quot;0 0 24 24&quot; fill=&quot;none&quot; stroke-width=&quot;2&quot; stroke=&quot;currentColor&quot; class=&quot;size-5 shrink-0 transition&quot; aria-hidden=&quot;true&quot; x-bind:class=&quot;isExpanded  ?  &#039;rotate-180&#039;  :  &#039;&#039;&quot;&gt; &lt;path stroke-linecap=&quot;round&quot; stroke-linejoin=&quot;round&quot; d=&quot;M19.5 8.25l-7.5 7.5-7.5-7.5&quot;&gt;&lt;/path&gt; &lt;/svg&gt; &lt;/button&gt;&lt;/h4&gt;
&lt;div x-cloak=&quot;&quot; x-show=&quot;isExpanded&quot; id=&quot;accordionItemSix&quot; role=&quot;region&quot; aria-labelledby=&quot;controlsAccordionItemSix&quot; x-collapse=&quot;&quot;&gt;
&lt;div class=&quot;p-4 text-sm text-pretty sm:text-base flex flex-col gap-4&quot;&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Many silver investors believe large traders influence prices through futures markets. What is clear is that futures trading and leverage can push prices away from real supply and demand. That effect is strongest in the short run. Over the long run, supply and demand still matter.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;h5 class=&quot;text-2xl mt-8&quot;&gt;The Bottom Line&lt;/h5&gt;
&lt;ul&gt;
&lt;li&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Silver is down about 48% from its January 2026 record.&lt;/strong&gt; Rising rates, a firm dollar, and forced selling are the main causes.&lt;/li&gt;
&lt;li&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Silver falls harder than gold&lt;/strong&gt; because it is a smaller market tied to industry and speculation.&lt;/li&gt;
&lt;li&gt;&lt;strong&gt;History shows silver recovers, but not on a schedule.&lt;/strong&gt; Watch the Fed, real yields, and futures positioning for signs of a turn.&lt;/li&gt;
&lt;/ul&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Ready to take advantage of lower prices? &lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.moneymetals.com/silver-price&amp;quot">https://www.moneymetals.com/silver-price&amp;quot</a>;&gt;Check today&#039;s silver price&lt;/a&gt;, then &lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.moneymetals.com/buy/silver&amp;quot">https://www.moneymetals.com/buy/silver&amp;quot</a>;&gt;shop low-premium silver bullion&lt;/a&gt;.&lt;/p&gt;</p><Img align="left" border="0" height="1" width="1" alt="" style="border:0;float:left;margin:0;padding:0;width:1px!important;height:1px!important;" hspace="0" src="https://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/i/969650042/0/moneymetals">
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				<guid>https://www.moneymetals.com/price/why-is-silver-going-down</guid>
				<pubDate>Wed, 23 Sep 2026 00:00:00 EST</pubDate></item>
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<feedburner:origLink>https://www.moneymetals.com/price/who-sets-the-silver-price</feedburner:origLink>
				<title>Who Sets the Silver Price - How the Daily LBMA Silver Price Auction Works - Auction Participants, Silver Fix History, and Spot Price Differences - Money Metals</title>
				<description><![CDATA[No single entity sets the silver price. See how the daily 12:00 London LBMA Silver Price auction works, which 14 firms place orders, and how it replaced the old silver fix.<div style="clear:both;padding-top:0.2em;"><a href="https://feeds.feedblitz.com/_/28/969640883/moneymetals"><img height="20" src="https://assets.feedblitz.com/i/fblike20.png" style="border:0;margin:0;padding:0;"></a>&#160;<a href="https://feeds.feedblitz.com/_/29/969640883/moneymetals,"><img height="20" src="https://assets.feedblitz.com/i/pinterest20.png" style="border:0;margin:0;padding:0;"></a>&#160;<a href="https://feeds.feedblitz.com/_/24/969640883/moneymetals"><img height="20" src="https://assets.feedblitz.com/i/x.png" style="border:0;margin:0;padding:0;"></a>&#160;<a href="https://feeds.feedblitz.com/_/19/969640883/moneymetals"><img height="20" src="https://assets.feedblitz.com/i/email20.png" style="border:0;margin:0;padding:0;"></a>&#160;<a href="https://feeds.feedblitz.com/_/20/969640883/moneymetals"><img height="20" src="https://assets.feedblitz.com/i/rss20.png" style="border:0;margin:0;padding:0;"></a>&nbsp;&#160;</div>]]>
</description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>&lt;p&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Quick answer:&lt;/strong&gt; No single entity sets the price of silver. The official world benchmark comes from one online auction held each day at 12:00 London time. &lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.ice.com/iba/lbma-gold-silver-price&amp;quot">https://www.ice.com/iba/lbma-gold-silver-price&amp;quot</a>;&gt;ICE Benchmark Administration (IBA)&lt;/a&gt; runs the auction.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;The &lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.lbma.org.uk/prices-and-data/lbma-silver-price&amp;quot">https://www.lbma.org.uk/prices-and-data/lbma-silver-price&amp;quot</a>;&gt;London Bullion Market Association (LBMA)&lt;/a&gt; owns the benchmark. Fourteen banks and trading firms place the orders. The last LBMA Silver Price was $67.035 per ounce on September 18, 2026.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;The LBMA Silver Price is a once-daily benchmark, not a price that controls silver trading throughout the day. Silver price discovery continues around the clock through futures, over-the-counter (OTC), and physical markets, where buyers and sellers continuously transact at changing prices.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;You can follow the live market on our &lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.moneymetals.com/silver-price&amp;quot">https://www.moneymetals.com/silver-price&amp;quot</a>;&gt;silver price chart&lt;/a&gt;.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;The auction is not the whole story. The silver price you see on dealer sites moves all day, even after the London noon auction ends.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;We will explore both factors that play into the spot price discovery. You will learn who takes part in the auction and how each round works. You will also see what happened to the old &amp;ldquo;silver fix.&amp;rdquo; And you will learn what a UK regulator found when it tested the auction.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;h2&gt;Who Sets the Silver Price?&lt;/h2&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Four groups share the job. Each one has a clear role.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;div class=&quot;mt-8 flow-root&quot;&gt;
&lt;div class=&quot;-mx-4 -my-2 overflow-x-auto sm:-mx-6 lg:-mx-8&quot;&gt;
&lt;div class=&quot;inline-block min-w-full py-2 align-middle sm:px-6 lg:px-8&quot;&gt;
&lt;div class=&quot;overflow-hidden rounded-lg border border-slate-800 w-full&quot;&gt;
&lt;table class=&quot;min-w-full divide-y divide-slate-300 not-prose&quot;&gt;
&lt;thead class=&quot;bg-slate-800 text-white&quot;&gt;
&lt;tr class=&quot;divide-x divide-slate-200&quot;&gt;
&lt;th class=&quot;p-3 text-left text-sm font-semibold&quot;&gt;Role&lt;/th&gt;
&lt;th class=&quot;p-3 text-left text-sm font-semibold&quot;&gt;Who&lt;/th&gt;
&lt;th class=&quot;p-3 text-left text-sm font-semibold&quot;&gt;What they do&lt;/th&gt;
&lt;/tr&gt;
&lt;/thead&gt;
&lt;tbody class=&quot;divide-y divide-slate-200 bg-white&quot;&gt;
&lt;tr class=&quot;divide-x divide-slate-200 even:bg-slate-50&quot;&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;Administrator&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;ICE Benchmark Administration (IBA)&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;Runs the auction platform and publishes the price&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;/tr&gt;
&lt;tr class=&quot;divide-x divide-slate-200 even:bg-slate-50&quot;&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;Owner&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;London Bullion Market Association (LBMA)&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;Owns the rights to the name and the benchmark&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;/tr&gt;
&lt;tr class=&quot;divide-x divide-slate-200 even:bg-slate-50&quot;&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;Direct participants&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;14 banks and trading firms&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;Place buy and sell orders in each round&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;/tr&gt;
&lt;tr class=&quot;divide-x divide-slate-200 even:bg-slate-50&quot;&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;Indirect participants&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;Clients of the direct participants&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;Place their own orders through a direct participant&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;/tr&gt;
&lt;/tbody&gt;
&lt;/table&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;p&gt;The LBMA says it plainly: IBA &amp;ldquo;independently administers the price and provides the auction platform,&amp;rdquo; while the LBMA owns the &lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.lbma.org.uk/prices-and-data/lbma-silver-price&amp;quot">https://www.lbma.org.uk/prices-and-data/lbma-silver-price&amp;quot</a>;&gt;intellectual property rights&lt;/a&gt;.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Clients can also take part in this. ICE calls them indirect participants. They manage their own orders on the ICE platform.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;After the auction, each client settles its trade with its direct participant (&lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.ice.com/iba/lbma-gold-silver-price&amp;quot">https://www.ice.com/iba/lbma-gold-silver-price&amp;quot</a>;&gt;ICE&lt;/a&gt;). So when people ask who sets the silver price, the honest answer is this: a group of firms, making buy and sell offers in real time, in a public auction with written rules.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;h2&gt;The Firms in the Auction Room&lt;/h2&gt;
&lt;p&gt;As of September 22, 2026, ICE lists 14 direct participants in the &lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.ice.com/iba/lbma-gold-silver-price&amp;quot">https://www.ice.com/iba/lbma-gold-silver-price&amp;quot</a>;&gt;LBMA Silver Price auction&lt;/a&gt;:&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;ol&gt;
&lt;li&gt;Citibank, N.A. London Branch&lt;/li&gt;
&lt;li&gt;Coins &amp;rsquo;N Things Inc.&lt;/li&gt;
&lt;li&gt;DRW Investments, LLC&lt;/li&gt;
&lt;li&gt;Goldman Sachs&lt;/li&gt;
&lt;li&gt;HSBC Bank USA NA&lt;/li&gt;
&lt;li&gt;Jane Street Global Trading, LLC&lt;/li&gt;
&lt;li&gt;JPMorgan Chase Bank, N.A. London Branch&lt;/li&gt;
&lt;li&gt;Koch Supply and Trading LP&lt;/li&gt;
&lt;li&gt;Marex&lt;/li&gt;
&lt;li&gt;Morgan Stanley&lt;/li&gt;
&lt;li&gt;Standard Chartered Bank&lt;/li&gt;
&lt;li&gt;StoneX Financial Ltd&lt;/li&gt;
&lt;li&gt;Toronto-Dominion Bank&lt;/li&gt;
&lt;li&gt;Virtu Financial Global Markets, LLC&lt;/li&gt;
&lt;/ol&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Many readers expect a short list of big banking institutions. That&amp;rsquo;s not entirely wrong; there are big banks on this list. However, there are also trading firms like Jane Street, DRW, and Virtu. So are Koch Supply and Trading and Coins &amp;rsquo;N Things.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;The list also isn&amp;rsquo;t permanent. The LBMA&amp;rsquo;s own page lists &lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.lbma.org.uk/prices-and-data/lbma-silver-price&amp;quot">https://www.lbma.org.uk/prices-and-data/lbma-silver-price&amp;quot</a>;&gt;thirteen participants&lt;/a&gt; as of this writing. It&amp;rsquo;s best to check the ICE page for the current count.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Joining is not open to everyone. ICE says a direct participant must meet several tests.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;These include LBMA membership and the ability to settle silver held in London. A firm must also be able to clear trades through ICE&amp;rsquo;s daily silver futures contract (&lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.ice.com/iba/lbma-gold-silver-price&amp;quot">https://www.ice.com/iba/lbma-gold-silver-price&amp;quot</a>;&gt;ICE&lt;/a&gt;).&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;h2&gt;How the Noon Auction Works, Step by Step&lt;/h2&gt;
&lt;p&gt;The auction follows the same steps every London business day.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;ol&gt;
&lt;li&gt;&lt;strong&gt;The auction opens at 12:00 London time.&lt;/strong&gt; IBA posts a starting price. The LBMA says this price is &amp;ldquo;likely to be close to the spot price&amp;rdquo; (&lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.lbma.org.uk/prices-and-data/lbma-silver-price/lbma-silver-price-faq&amp;quot">https://www.lbma.org.uk/prices-and-data/lbma-silver-price/lbma-silver-price-faq&amp;quot</a>;&gt;LBMA FAQ&lt;/a&gt;).&lt;/li&gt;
&lt;li&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Firms enter orders.&lt;/strong&gt; Each firm enters how much it wants to buy or sell at that price. Orders are placed in &amp;ldquo;lakhs.&amp;rdquo; One lakh equals 100,000 troy ounces (&lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.ice.com/publicdocs/IBA_Silver_Auction_Specification.pdf&amp;quot">https://www.ice.com/publicdocs/IBA_Silver_Auction_Specification.pdf&amp;quot</a>;&gt;IBA specification&lt;/a&gt;).&lt;/li&gt;
&lt;li&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Each round lasts 30 seconds.&lt;/strong&gt; Firms can enter, change, or cancel orders during the round (&lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.ice.com/iba/lbma-gold-silver-price&amp;quot">https://www.ice.com/iba/lbma-gold-silver-price&amp;quot</a>;&gt;ICE&lt;/a&gt;).&lt;/li&gt;
&lt;li&gt;&lt;strong&gt;IBA checks the balance.&lt;/strong&gt; If buy and sell orders differ by more than 5 lakhs (500,000 ounces), the price moves. Then a new round starts. IBA can raise this limit to 10 lakhs in unusual cases (&lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.ice.com/publicdocs/IBA_Silver_Auction_Specification.pdf&amp;quot">https://www.ice.com/publicdocs/IBA_Silver_Auction_Specification.pdf&amp;quot</a>;&gt;IBA specification&lt;/a&gt;).&lt;/li&gt;
&lt;li&gt;&lt;strong&gt;The price is set.&lt;/strong&gt; Once the gap falls inside the limit, the auction ends. Any gap left over &amp;ldquo;is shared equally between all direct participants (even if they did not place orders or did not log in)&amp;rdquo; (&lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.ice.com/iba/lbma-gold-silver-price&amp;quot">https://www.ice.com/iba/lbma-gold-silver-price&amp;quot</a>;&gt;ICE&lt;/a&gt;).&lt;/li&gt;
&lt;li&gt;&lt;strong&gt;The price is published in U.S. dollars.&lt;/strong&gt; The price is quoted in dollars per troy ounce of silver that is 99.9% pure (&lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.lbma.org.uk/publications/the-otc-guide/precious-metal-benchmarks&amp;quot">https://www.lbma.org.uk/publications/the-otc-guide/precious-metal-benchmarks&amp;quot</a>;&gt;LBMA OTC Guide&lt;/a&gt;). Prices in pounds and euros are conversions. The auction itself settles only in dollars (&lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.ice.com/iba/lbma-gold-silver-price&amp;quot">https://www.ice.com/iba/lbma-gold-silver-price&amp;quot</a>;&gt;ICE&lt;/a&gt;).&lt;/li&gt;
&lt;/ol&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Most days, this whole process only takes a few rounds before it reaches completion. The basic principle at play is straightforward. The price continues moving until the amount of silver that firms want to buy is close to the amount they want to sell.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;A note on older sources: the LBMA&amp;rsquo;s FAQ still lists a limit of &lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.lbma.org.uk/prices-and-data/lbma-silver-price/lbma-silver-price-faq&amp;quot">https://www.lbma.org.uk/prices-and-data/lbma-silver-price/lbma-silver-price-faq&amp;quot</a>;&gt;3 lakhs&lt;/a&gt;. IBA&amp;rsquo;s January 2026 auction rules list 5 lakhs. IBA runs the auction, so its figure is the one that counts.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;h3&gt;What Time Is the Silver Price Set in U.S. Time?&lt;/h3&gt;
&lt;p&gt;The auction starts at noon, London time. For most of the year, that is 7:00 a.m. Eastern Time. There is a catch. The U.S. and the U.K. change their clocks on different days.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;The U.S. moves its clocks on the second Sunday of March and the first Sunday of November. The U.K. moves its clocks on the last Sunday of March and October (&lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.timeanddate.com/time/dst/&amp;quot">https://www.timeanddate.com/time/dst/&amp;quot</a>;&gt;timeanddate.com&lt;/a&gt;). That leaves a gap of a few weeks. During that time, the auction starts at 8:00 a.m. Eastern.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Some sites give one fixed U.S. time all year. That figure will be wrong a few weeks each spring and fall.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;h2&gt;From the London Silver Fix to the LBMA Silver Price: Three Eras&lt;/h2&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Many people still call the benchmark &amp;ldquo;the silver fix&amp;rdquo; or &amp;ldquo;the London fix.&amp;rdquo; That name comes from the system that ran for more than a century. It ended in 2014.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;div class=&quot;mt-8 flow-root&quot;&gt;
&lt;div class=&quot;-mx-4 -my-2 overflow-x-auto sm:-mx-6 lg:-mx-8&quot;&gt;
&lt;div class=&quot;inline-block min-w-full py-2 align-middle sm:px-6 lg:px-8&quot;&gt;
&lt;div class=&quot;overflow-hidden rounded-lg border border-slate-800 w-full&quot;&gt;
&lt;table class=&quot;min-w-full divide-y divide-slate-300 not-prose&quot;&gt;
&lt;thead class=&quot;bg-slate-800 text-white&quot;&gt;
&lt;tr class=&quot;divide-x divide-slate-200&quot;&gt;
&lt;th class=&quot;p-3 text-left text-sm font-semibold&quot;&gt;Era&lt;/th&gt;
&lt;th class=&quot;p-3 text-left text-sm font-semibold&quot;&gt;Who ran it&lt;/th&gt;
&lt;th class=&quot;p-3 text-left text-sm font-semibold&quot;&gt;How it worked&lt;/th&gt;
&lt;th class=&quot;p-3 text-left text-sm font-semibold&quot;&gt;Why it ended&lt;/th&gt;
&lt;/tr&gt;
&lt;/thead&gt;
&lt;tbody class=&quot;divide-y divide-slate-200 bg-white&quot;&gt;
&lt;tr class=&quot;divide-x divide-slate-200 even:bg-slate-50&quot;&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;1897 to August 14, 2014&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;The London silver fixing banks (last three: Deutsche Bank, HSBC, and Scotiabank)&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;A private daily phone call at noon&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;The fixing company shut it down amid a regulatory push to reform benchmarks&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;/tr&gt;
&lt;tr class=&quot;divide-x divide-slate-200 even:bg-slate-50&quot;&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;August 15, 2014 to October 1, 2017&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;CME Group (auction platform) and Thomson Reuters (administration)&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;An electronic auction&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;The LBMA moved the job to IBA&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;/tr&gt;
&lt;tr class=&quot;divide-x divide-slate-200 even:bg-slate-50&quot;&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;October 2, 2017 to today&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;ICE Benchmark Administration&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;An electronic auction on the ICE platform&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;Still in use&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;/tr&gt;
&lt;/tbody&gt;
&lt;/table&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&lt;strong&gt;The old fix (1897 to 2014).&lt;/strong&gt; The LBMA says the silver fixing had been &amp;ldquo;in existence since 1897&amp;rdquo; (&lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.lbma.org.uk/publications/the-otc-guide/precious-metal-benchmarks&amp;quot">https://www.lbma.org.uk/publications/the-otc-guide/precious-metal-benchmarks&amp;quot</a>;&gt;LBMA OTC Guide&lt;/a&gt;). By 2014, just three banks ran it: Deutsche Bank, HSBC, and Scotiabank. They set the price &amp;ldquo;by way of a daily conference call&amp;rdquo; (&lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.mining.com/cmethomson-reuters-win-race-to-replace-london-silver-fix-74918/&amp;quot">https://www.mining.com/cmethomson-reuters-win-race-to-replace-london-silver-fix-74918/&amp;quot</a>;&gt;Mining.com&lt;/a&gt;). In May 2014, the company that ran the fix said it would &lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2014-05-14/silver-fixing-company-will-stop-running-benchmark-on-aug-14&amp;quot">https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2014-05-14/silver-fixing-company-will-stop-running-benchmark-on-aug-14&amp;quot</a>;&gt;stop on August 14&lt;/a&gt;.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Regulators had been taking a hard look at benchmarks after the LIBOR rate-rigging scandal (&lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.mining.com/cmethomson-reuters-win-race-to-replace-london-silver-fix-74918/&amp;quot">https://www.mining.com/cmethomson-reuters-win-race-to-replace-london-silver-fix-74918/&amp;quot</a>;&gt;Mining.com&lt;/a&gt;). We covered the shift at the time in &amp;ldquo;&lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.moneymetals.com/news/2014/07/07/goldsilver-manipulation-proof-sends-banks-scrambling-000574&amp;quot">https://www.moneymetals.com/news/2014/07/07/goldsilver-manipulation-proof-sends-banks-scrambling-000574&amp;quot</a>;&gt;London Bullion Market Association Seeks to Fix Silver Manipulation&lt;/a&gt;.&amp;rdquo;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&lt;strong&gt;The CME and Thomson Reuters years (2014 to 2017).&lt;/strong&gt; In July 2014, the LBMA chose a joint bid. CME Group would run the auction platform. Thomson Reuters would handle administration (&lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.mining.com/cmethomson-reuters-win-race-to-replace-london-silver-fix-74918/&amp;quot">https://www.mining.com/cmethomson-reuters-win-race-to-replace-london-silver-fix-74918/&amp;quot</a>;&gt;Mining.com&lt;/a&gt;). On August 15, 2014, the old fix &amp;ldquo;was replaced by the LBMA Silver Price&amp;rdquo; (&lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.lbma.org.uk/publications/the-otc-guide/precious-metal-benchmarks&amp;quot">https://www.lbma.org.uk/publications/the-otc-guide/precious-metal-benchmarks&amp;quot</a>;&gt;LBMA&lt;/a&gt;). The benchmark came under UK regulation in April 2015 (&lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.fca.org.uk/publications/research/research-note-representativeness-lbma-silver-price&amp;quot">https://www.fca.org.uk/publications/research/research-note-representativeness-lbma-silver-price&amp;quot</a>;&gt;FCA&lt;/a&gt;).&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&lt;strong&gt;The IBA era (2017 to today).&lt;/strong&gt; In July 2017, the LBMA said IBA would take over (&lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.lbma.org.uk/articles/ice-benchmark-administration-to-become-administrator-for-the-lbma-silver-price&amp;quot">https://www.lbma.org.uk/articles/ice-benchmark-administration-to-become-administrator-for-the-lbma-silver-price&amp;quot</a>;&gt;LBMA&lt;/a&gt;). A filing with the SEC gives the exact date: &amp;ldquo;Effective from October 2, 2017, IBA will take over the administration of the LBMA Silver Price and operation of the underlying auction&amp;rdquo; (&lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1450922/000145092217000026/sivr-20171002x10q.htm&amp;quot">https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1450922/000145092217000026/sivr-20171002x10q.htm&amp;quot</a>;&gt;SEC filing, ETFS Silver Trust&lt;/a&gt;). IBA also runs the &lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.moneymetals.com/price/who-sets-the-gold-price&amp;quot">https://www.moneymetals.com/price/who-sets-the-gold-price&amp;quot</a>;&gt;LBMA Gold Price&lt;/a&gt;.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;h3&gt;Is There Still a Silver Fix?&lt;/h3&gt;
&lt;p&gt;No. The London silver fix ended on August 14, 2014. The LBMA Silver Price replaced it the next day. People still say &amp;ldquo;silver fix&amp;rdquo; out of habit. When they do, they almost always mean today&amp;rsquo;s LBMA Silver Price.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;h2&gt;LBMA Silver Price vs. the Spot Price You See Online&lt;/h2&gt;
&lt;p&gt;The LBMA Silver Price and the silver spot price are not the same thing.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;The LBMA Silver Price is set once a day. It is a fixed reference point. The spot price you see on dealer sites changes every few seconds.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;The spot price tracks live trading around the world, and it is led by the futures market. The COMEX allows near 24-hour electronic trading, which is why the spot price continues moving long after London&amp;rsquo;s auction ends. You can read more about this process in our &lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.moneymetals.com/investment/what-is-the-comex&amp;quot">https://www.moneymetals.com/investment/what-is-the-comex&amp;quot</a>;&gt;guide to the COMEX&lt;/a&gt;.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Our guide to &lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.moneymetals.com/price/gold-spot-price-vs-futures&amp;quot">https://www.moneymetals.com/price/gold-spot-price-vs-futures&amp;quot</a>;&gt;spot vs. futures prices&lt;/a&gt; explains how the two stay linked.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;div class=&quot;mt-8 flow-root&quot;&gt;
&lt;div class=&quot;-mx-4 -my-2 overflow-x-auto sm:-mx-6 lg:-mx-8&quot;&gt;
&lt;div class=&quot;inline-block min-w-full py-2 align-middle sm:px-6 lg:px-8&quot;&gt;
&lt;div class=&quot;overflow-hidden rounded-lg border border-slate-800 w-full&quot;&gt;
&lt;table class=&quot;min-w-full divide-y divide-slate-300 not-prose&quot;&gt;
&lt;thead class=&quot;bg-slate-800 text-white&quot;&gt;
&lt;tr class=&quot;divide-x divide-slate-200&quot;&gt;
&lt;th class=&quot;p-3 text-left text-sm font-semibold&quot;&gt;&lt;/th&gt;
&lt;th class=&quot;p-3 text-left text-sm font-semibold&quot;&gt;LBMA Silver Price&lt;/th&gt;
&lt;th class=&quot;p-3 text-left text-sm font-semibold&quot;&gt;Silver spot price&lt;/th&gt;
&lt;th class=&quot;p-3 text-left text-sm font-semibold&quot;&gt;Kitco Fix&lt;/th&gt;
&lt;/tr&gt;
&lt;/thead&gt;
&lt;tbody class=&quot;divide-y divide-slate-200 bg-white&quot;&gt;
&lt;tr class=&quot;divide-x divide-slate-200 even:bg-slate-50&quot;&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;Who publishes it&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;IBA, for the LBMA&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;Dealers and data firms, based on live trading&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;Kitco Metals&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;/tr&gt;
&lt;tr class=&quot;divide-x divide-slate-200 even:bg-slate-50&quot;&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;How often&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;Once each London business day, at noon&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;Nearly 24 hours a day on trading days&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;Once a day, around 10:30 a.m.&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;/tr&gt;
&lt;tr class=&quot;divide-x divide-slate-200 even:bg-slate-50&quot;&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;How it is made&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;Live auction with real orders&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;Live futures and cash market trades&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;Calculated from over-the-counter cash market data&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;/tr&gt;
&lt;tr class=&quot;divide-x divide-slate-200 even:bg-slate-50&quot;&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;Main use&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;Contracts, fund values, and settlements&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;Pricing coins and bars you buy and sell&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;A free daily reference for Kitco users&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;/tr&gt;
&lt;/tbody&gt;
&lt;/table&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&lt;strong&gt;What the LBMA price is used for.&lt;/strong&gt; The LBMA says its price is a global reference for industrial contracts and for some forward and option trades (&lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.lbma.org.uk/publications/the-otc-guide/precious-metal-benchmarks&amp;quot">https://www.lbma.org.uk/publications/the-otc-guide/precious-metal-benchmarks&amp;quot</a>;&gt;LBMA OTC Guide&lt;/a&gt;). Some silver funds use it to value their metal each day. One example is the ETFS Silver Trust, which values its silver using the LBMA Silver Price (&lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1450922/000145092217000026/sivr-20171002x10q.htm&amp;quot">https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1450922/000145092217000026/sivr-20171002x10q.htm&amp;quot</a>;&gt;SEC filing&lt;/a&gt;).&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&lt;strong&gt;What the Kitco Fix is.&lt;/strong&gt; Some search results show a &amp;ldquo;Kitco Fix&amp;rdquo; as the silver fix. That is a different benchmark. Kitco says its fix is calculated from the over-the-counter cash market and is released &amp;ldquo;every day around 10:30 am&amp;rdquo; (&lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.kitco.com/price/fixes/kitco-fix&amp;quot">https://www.kitco.com/price/fixes/kitco-fix&amp;quot</a>;&gt;Kitco&lt;/a&gt;). It is not the LBMA Silver Price.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&lt;strong&gt;What this means when you buy silver.&lt;/strong&gt; You can compare today&amp;rsquo;s spot price on our &lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.moneymetals.com/silver-price&amp;quot">https://www.moneymetals.com/silver-price&amp;quot</a>;&gt;silver price page&lt;/a&gt;.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;h2&gt;Does the Auction Reflect the Real Market? What the Regulator Found&lt;/h2&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Skeptics ask a fair question. Does a daily auction among only 14 firms really reflect the silver market?&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;The UK&amp;rsquo;s Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) tested this very question. In October 2018, it published a &lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.fca.org.uk/publication/research/research-note-on-the-representativeness-of-the-lbma-silver-auction.pdf&amp;quot">https://www.fca.org.uk/publication/research/research-note-on-the-representativeness-of-the-lbma-silver-auction.pdf&amp;quot</a>;&gt;research note on the LBMA Silver Price&lt;/a&gt;. The study examined 139 auctions and 321 rounds from March to September 2017. These were their findings:&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;ul&gt;
&lt;li&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Rounds:&lt;/strong&gt; The median auction took 2 rounds.&lt;/li&gt;
&lt;li&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Participants:&lt;/strong&gt; A median of 6 banks placed orders.&lt;/li&gt;
&lt;li&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Price gaps:&lt;/strong&gt; The FCA measured how far the auction price sat from the market price. The median of all 321 gaps was zero.&lt;/li&gt;
&lt;li&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Order size:&lt;/strong&gt; The median buy order total was 7.27 lakhs. The median sell order total was 10.65 lakhs.&lt;/li&gt;
&lt;/ul&gt;
&lt;p&gt;The FCA&amp;rsquo;s conclusion: price gaps &amp;ldquo;did not systematically compromise the representativeness of the LBMA Silver Price benchmark.&amp;rdquo;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;There are limits to this finding. The study covered only seven months, and it also came after the move to an electronic, regulated auction. The FCA noted that it could not compare the new system with the old one (&lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.fca.org.uk/publications/research/research-note-representativeness-lbma-silver-price&amp;quot">https://www.fca.org.uk/publications/research/research-note-representativeness-lbma-silver-price&amp;quot</a>;&gt;FCA&lt;/a&gt;).&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;h2&gt;What About Silver Price Manipulation?&lt;/h2&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Many silver investors worry that big banks, or even the federal government, intentionally manipulate the price of silver. Regulators and courts have taken action in several cases.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;In 2016, Deutsche Bank agreed to pay $38 million to settle a U.S. lawsuit over the old silver fix (&lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://fortune.com/2016/10/18/deutsche-bank-38-million-silver-price-fixing-case&amp;quot">https://fortune.com/2016/10/18/deutsche-bank-38-million-silver-price-fixing-case&amp;quot</a>;&gt;Fortune&lt;/a&gt;). In 2020, JPMorgan agreed to pay a record $920 million to U.S. regulators. The CFTC said its traders placed &amp;ldquo;hundreds of thousands of orders&amp;rdquo; in gold, silver, and other futures that they planned to cancel (&lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.cftc.gov/PressRoom/PressReleases/8260-20&amp;quot">https://www.cftc.gov/PressRoom/PressReleases/8260-20&amp;quot</a>;&gt;CFTC&lt;/a&gt;).&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Please note that the CFTC case involved the futures market, not the London auction. The auction has its own history of reform. The 2014 move to a regulated, electronic auction was meant to fix the flaws of the old phone call.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;If you&amp;rsquo;re interested in more details about this controversial topic, we cover it in depth in our guide to silver price manipulation.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;h3&gt;Frequently Asked Questions&lt;/h3&gt;
&lt;div class=&quot;not-prose flex w-full flex-col gap-4&quot;&gt;
&lt;div x-data=&quot;{ isExpanded: false }&quot; class=&quot;overflow-hidden rounded-sm border border-slate-300 bg-white&quot;&gt;
&lt;h4 class=&quot;text-xl font-semibold&quot;&gt;&lt;button id=&quot;controlsAccordionItemOne&quot; type=&quot;button&quot; class=&quot;flex w-full cursor-pointer items-center justify-between gap-2 bg-slate-200 p-4 text-left underline-offset-2 duration-200 hover:bg-slate-100 focus-visible:bg-slate-50 focus-visible:underline focus-visible:outline-hidden&quot; aria-controls=&quot;accordionItemOne&quot; x-on:click=&quot;isExpanded = ! isExpanded&quot; x-bind:class=&quot;isExpanded ? &#039;font-bold&#039;  : &#039;font-medium&#039;&quot; x-bind:aria-expanded=&quot;isExpanded ? &#039;true&#039; : &#039;false&#039;&quot;&gt; &lt;span&gt;How is the silver price decided?&lt;/span&gt; &lt;svg xmlns=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.w3.org/2000/svg&amp;quot">http://www.w3.org/2000/svg&amp;quot</a>; viewbox=&quot;0 0 24 24&quot; fill=&quot;none&quot; stroke-width=&quot;2&quot; stroke=&quot;currentColor&quot; class=&quot;size-5 shrink-0 transition&quot; aria-hidden=&quot;true&quot; x-bind:class=&quot;isExpanded  ?  &#039;rotate-180&#039;  :  &#039;&#039;&quot;&gt; &lt;path stroke-linecap=&quot;round&quot; stroke-linejoin=&quot;round&quot; d=&quot;M19.5 8.25l-7.5 7.5-7.5-7.5&quot;&gt;&lt;/path&gt; &lt;/svg&gt; &lt;/button&gt;&lt;/h4&gt;
&lt;div x-cloak=&quot;&quot; x-show=&quot;isExpanded&quot; id=&quot;accordionItemOne&quot; role=&quot;region&quot; aria-labelledby=&quot;controlsAccordionItemOne&quot; x-collapse=&quot;&quot;&gt;
&lt;div class=&quot;p-4 text-sm text-pretty sm:text-base flex flex-col gap-4&quot;&gt;
&lt;p&gt;The benchmark silver price is set in a daily auction at 12:00 pm London time. During that auction, fourteen financial institutions ranging from banks to trading firms enter buy and sell orders in 30-second rounds. The price continues moving until buying and selling are close to even. When you track the live spot price online, what you are seeing is a continual, all-day interplay between futures and cash market trading.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div x-data=&quot;{ isExpanded: false }&quot; class=&quot;overflow-hidden rounded-sm border border-slate-300 bg-white&quot;&gt;
&lt;h4 class=&quot;text-xl font-semibold&quot;&gt;&lt;button id=&quot;controlsAccordionItemTwo&quot; type=&quot;button&quot; class=&quot;flex w-full cursor-pointer items-center justify-between gap-2 bg-slate-200 p-4 text-left underline-offset-2 duration-200 hover:bg-slate-100 focus-visible:bg-slate-50 focus-visible:underline focus-visible:outline-hidden&quot; aria-controls=&quot;accordionItemTwo&quot; x-on:click=&quot;isExpanded = ! isExpanded&quot; x-bind:class=&quot;isExpanded ? &#039;font-bold&#039;  : &#039;font-medium&#039;&quot; x-bind:aria-expanded=&quot;isExpanded ? &#039;true&#039; : &#039;false&#039;&quot;&gt; &lt;span&gt;What does LBMA silver price stand for?&lt;/span&gt; &lt;svg xmlns=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.w3.org/2000/svg&amp;quot">http://www.w3.org/2000/svg&amp;quot</a>; viewbox=&quot;0 0 24 24&quot; fill=&quot;none&quot; stroke-width=&quot;2&quot; stroke=&quot;currentColor&quot; class=&quot;size-5 shrink-0 transition&quot; aria-hidden=&quot;true&quot; x-bind:class=&quot;isExpanded  ?  &#039;rotate-180&#039;  :  &#039;&#039;&quot;&gt; &lt;path stroke-linecap=&quot;round&quot; stroke-linejoin=&quot;round&quot; d=&quot;M19.5 8.25l-7.5 7.5-7.5-7.5&quot;&gt;&lt;/path&gt; &lt;/svg&gt; &lt;/button&gt;&lt;/h4&gt;
&lt;div x-cloak=&quot;&quot; x-show=&quot;isExpanded&quot; id=&quot;accordionItemTwo&quot; role=&quot;region&quot; aria-labelledby=&quot;controlsAccordionItemTwo&quot; x-collapse=&quot;&quot;&gt;
&lt;div class=&quot;p-4 text-sm text-pretty sm:text-base flex flex-col gap-4&quot;&gt;
&lt;p&gt;LBMA stands for London Bullion Market Association. The LBMA Silver Price is a widely used, global, daily benchmark for silver price. It takes place in a noon London auction and sets the price in U.S. dollars per troy ounce. ICE Benchmark Administration runs the auction, and the LBMA owns the benchmark.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div x-data=&quot;{ isExpanded: false }&quot; class=&quot;overflow-hidden rounded-sm border border-slate-300 bg-white&quot;&gt;
&lt;h4 class=&quot;text-xl font-semibold&quot;&gt;&lt;button id=&quot;controlsAccordionItemThree&quot; type=&quot;button&quot; class=&quot;flex w-full cursor-pointer items-center justify-between gap-2 bg-slate-200 p-4 text-left underline-offset-2 duration-200 hover:bg-slate-100 focus-visible:bg-slate-50 focus-visible:underline focus-visible:outline-hidden&quot; aria-controls=&quot;accordionItemThree&quot; x-on:click=&quot;isExpanded = ! isExpanded&quot; x-bind:class=&quot;isExpanded ? &#039;font-bold&#039;  : &#039;font-medium&#039;&quot; x-bind:aria-expanded=&quot;isExpanded ? &#039;true&#039; : &#039;false&#039;&quot;&gt; &lt;span&gt;What time is the silver fix?&lt;/span&gt; &lt;svg xmlns=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.w3.org/2000/svg&amp;quot">http://www.w3.org/2000/svg&amp;quot</a>; viewbox=&quot;0 0 24 24&quot; fill=&quot;none&quot; stroke-width=&quot;2&quot; stroke=&quot;currentColor&quot; class=&quot;size-5 shrink-0 transition&quot; aria-hidden=&quot;true&quot; x-bind:class=&quot;isExpanded  ?  &#039;rotate-180&#039;  :  &#039;&#039;&quot;&gt; &lt;path stroke-linecap=&quot;round&quot; stroke-linejoin=&quot;round&quot; d=&quot;M19.5 8.25l-7.5 7.5-7.5-7.5&quot;&gt;&lt;/path&gt; &lt;/svg&gt; &lt;/button&gt;&lt;/h4&gt;
&lt;div x-cloak=&quot;&quot; x-show=&quot;isExpanded&quot; id=&quot;accordionItemThree&quot; role=&quot;region&quot; aria-labelledby=&quot;controlsAccordionItemThree&quot; x-collapse=&quot;&quot;&gt;
&lt;div class=&quot;p-4 text-sm text-pretty sm:text-base flex flex-col gap-4&quot;&gt;
&lt;p&gt;The LBMA Silver Price is set at noon, London time, on each London business day. For most of the year, that is 7:00 a.m. Eastern. During the period when U.S. and U.K. clocks do not align, the auction happens at 8:00 a.m. Eastern.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div x-data=&quot;{ isExpanded: false }&quot; class=&quot;overflow-hidden rounded-sm border border-slate-300 bg-white&quot;&gt;
&lt;h4 class=&quot;text-xl font-semibold&quot;&gt;&lt;button id=&quot;controlsAccordionItemFour&quot; type=&quot;button&quot; class=&quot;flex w-full cursor-pointer items-center justify-between gap-2 bg-slate-200 p-4 text-left underline-offset-2 duration-200 hover:bg-slate-100 focus-visible:bg-slate-50 focus-visible:underline focus-visible:outline-hidden&quot; aria-controls=&quot;accordionItemFour&quot; x-on:click=&quot;isExpanded = ! isExpanded&quot; x-bind:class=&quot;isExpanded ? &#039;font-bold&#039;  : &#039;font-medium&#039;&quot; x-bind:aria-expanded=&quot;isExpanded ? &#039;true&#039; : &#039;false&#039;&quot;&gt; &lt;span&gt;Is the silver fix still used?&lt;/span&gt; &lt;svg xmlns=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.w3.org/2000/svg&amp;quot">http://www.w3.org/2000/svg&amp;quot</a>; viewbox=&quot;0 0 24 24&quot; fill=&quot;none&quot; stroke-width=&quot;2&quot; stroke=&quot;currentColor&quot; class=&quot;size-5 shrink-0 transition&quot; aria-hidden=&quot;true&quot; x-bind:class=&quot;isExpanded  ?  &#039;rotate-180&#039;  :  &#039;&#039;&quot;&gt; &lt;path stroke-linecap=&quot;round&quot; stroke-linejoin=&quot;round&quot; d=&quot;M19.5 8.25l-7.5 7.5-7.5-7.5&quot;&gt;&lt;/path&gt; &lt;/svg&gt; &lt;/button&gt;&lt;/h4&gt;
&lt;div x-cloak=&quot;&quot; x-show=&quot;isExpanded&quot; id=&quot;accordionItemFour&quot; role=&quot;region&quot; aria-labelledby=&quot;controlsAccordionItemFour&quot; x-collapse=&quot;&quot;&gt;
&lt;div class=&quot;p-4 text-sm text-pretty sm:text-base flex flex-col gap-4&quot;&gt;
&lt;p&gt;No. The London silver fix ran from 1897 until August 14, 2014. The LBMA Silver Price replaced it on August 15, 2014. However, many people still use the term &amp;ldquo;silver fix&amp;rdquo; to refer to the LBMA Silver Price.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div x-data=&quot;{ isExpanded: false }&quot; class=&quot;overflow-hidden rounded-sm border border-slate-300 bg-white&quot;&gt;
&lt;h4 class=&quot;text-xl font-semibold&quot;&gt;&lt;button id=&quot;controlsAccordionItemFive&quot; type=&quot;button&quot; class=&quot;flex w-full cursor-pointer items-center justify-between gap-2 bg-slate-200 p-4 text-left underline-offset-2 duration-200 hover:bg-slate-100 focus-visible:bg-slate-50 focus-visible:underline focus-visible:outline-hidden&quot; aria-controls=&quot;accordionItemFive&quot; x-on:click=&quot;isExpanded = ! isExpanded&quot; x-bind:class=&quot;isExpanded ? &#039;font-bold&#039;  : &#039;font-medium&#039;&quot; x-bind:aria-expanded=&quot;isExpanded ? &#039;true&#039; : &#039;false&#039;&quot;&gt; &lt;span&gt;Who are the LBMA silver price participants?&lt;/span&gt; &lt;svg xmlns=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.w3.org/2000/svg&amp;quot">http://www.w3.org/2000/svg&amp;quot</a>; viewbox=&quot;0 0 24 24&quot; fill=&quot;none&quot; stroke-width=&quot;2&quot; stroke=&quot;currentColor&quot; class=&quot;size-5 shrink-0 transition&quot; aria-hidden=&quot;true&quot; x-bind:class=&quot;isExpanded  ?  &#039;rotate-180&#039;  :  &#039;&#039;&quot;&gt; &lt;path stroke-linecap=&quot;round&quot; stroke-linejoin=&quot;round&quot; d=&quot;M19.5 8.25l-7.5 7.5-7.5-7.5&quot;&gt;&lt;/path&gt; &lt;/svg&gt; &lt;/button&gt;&lt;/h4&gt;
&lt;div x-cloak=&quot;&quot; x-show=&quot;isExpanded&quot; id=&quot;accordionItemFive&quot; role=&quot;region&quot; aria-labelledby=&quot;controlsAccordionItemFive&quot; x-collapse=&quot;&quot;&gt;
&lt;div class=&quot;p-4 text-sm text-pretty sm:text-base flex flex-col gap-4&quot;&gt;
&lt;p&gt;As of September 22, 2026, ICE lists 14 direct participants. They include large banks such as Citibank, Goldman Sachs, HSBC, and JPMorgan. They also include trading firms such as Jane Street, DRW, Virtu, Koch, StoneX, and Marex. The list changes, so check ICE for the current names.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div x-data=&quot;{ isExpanded: false }&quot; class=&quot;overflow-hidden rounded-sm border border-slate-300 bg-white&quot;&gt;
&lt;h4 class=&quot;text-xl font-semibold&quot;&gt;&lt;button id=&quot;controlsAccordionItemSix&quot; type=&quot;button&quot; class=&quot;flex w-full cursor-pointer items-center justify-between gap-2 bg-slate-200 p-4 text-left underline-offset-2 duration-200 hover:bg-slate-100 focus-visible:bg-slate-50 focus-visible:underline focus-visible:outline-hidden&quot; aria-controls=&quot;accordionItemSix&quot; x-on:click=&quot;isExpanded = ! isExpanded&quot; x-bind:class=&quot;isExpanded ? &#039;font-bold&#039;  : &#039;font-medium&#039;&quot; x-bind:aria-expanded=&quot;isExpanded ? &#039;true&#039; : &#039;false&#039;&quot;&gt; &lt;span&gt;Is the LBMA Silver Price the same as the spot price?&lt;/span&gt; &lt;svg xmlns=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.w3.org/2000/svg&amp;quot">http://www.w3.org/2000/svg&amp;quot</a>; viewbox=&quot;0 0 24 24&quot; fill=&quot;none&quot; stroke-width=&quot;2&quot; stroke=&quot;currentColor&quot; class=&quot;size-5 shrink-0 transition&quot; aria-hidden=&quot;true&quot; x-bind:class=&quot;isExpanded  ?  &#039;rotate-180&#039;  :  &#039;&#039;&quot;&gt; &lt;path stroke-linecap=&quot;round&quot; stroke-linejoin=&quot;round&quot; d=&quot;M19.5 8.25l-7.5 7.5-7.5-7.5&quot;&gt;&lt;/path&gt; &lt;/svg&gt; &lt;/button&gt;&lt;/h4&gt;
&lt;div x-cloak=&quot;&quot; x-show=&quot;isExpanded&quot; id=&quot;accordionItemSix&quot; role=&quot;region&quot; aria-labelledby=&quot;controlsAccordionItemSix&quot; x-collapse=&quot;&quot;&gt;
&lt;div class=&quot;p-4 text-sm text-pretty sm:text-base flex flex-col gap-4&quot;&gt;
&lt;p&gt;No. The LBMA Silver Price is set once a day in a London auction. The spot price changes all day with live trading. Dealers price coins and bars from the spot price, plus a premium. The two prices are usually close, but they are rarely identical.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;h5 class=&quot;text-2xl mt-8&quot;&gt;The Bottom Line&lt;/h5&gt;
&lt;p&gt;No one person or entity sets the silver price. The world&amp;rsquo;s main benchmark comes from a public, rules-based auction held each day at noon in London. IBA runs it. The LBMA owns it.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Fourteen firms trade in it. A UK regulator tested it and found no pattern of bias in the period it studied.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;The price you pay for physical silver follows the live spot price, plus a premium. To see where silver trades right now, visit our &lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.moneymetals.com/silver-price&amp;quot">https://www.moneymetals.com/silver-price&amp;quot</a>;&gt;live silver price chart&lt;/a&gt;. When you are ready, you can &lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.moneymetals.com/buy/silver&amp;quot">https://www.moneymetals.com/buy/silver&amp;quot</a>;&gt;buy silver coins, bars, and rounds&lt;/a&gt; from Money Metals at low premiums.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&lt;em&gt;This article is for education only. It is not investment advice.&lt;/em&gt;&lt;/p&gt;</p><Img align="left" border="0" height="1" width="1" alt="" style="border:0;float:left;margin:0;padding:0;width:1px!important;height:1px!important;" hspace="0" src="https://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/i/969640883/0/moneymetals">
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				<guid>https://www.moneymetals.com/price/who-sets-the-silver-price</guid>
				<pubDate>Wed, 23 Sep 2026 00:00:00 EST</pubDate></item>
<item>
<feedburner:origLink>https://www.moneymetals.com/podcasts/2026/09/23/back-to-the-futures-whats-going-on-with-silver-at-the-comex-005227</feedburner:origLink>
				<title>Back to the Futures! What&amp;#039;s Going On With Silver at the COMEX?</title>
				<description><![CDATA[A lot of silver left COMEX vaults last week. Mike breaks down the numbers and explains the ramifications.<div style="clear:both;padding-top:0.2em;"><a href="https://feeds.feedblitz.com/_/28/969588290/moneymetals"><img height="20" src="https://assets.feedblitz.com/i/fblike20.png" style="border:0;margin:0;padding:0;"></a>&#160;<a href="https://feeds.feedblitz.com/_/29/969588290/moneymetals,https%3a%2f%2fwww.moneymetals.com%2fuploads%2fcontent%2fgold-price-vs-10-year-treasury-yield-1969-1980.png"><img height="20" src="https://assets.feedblitz.com/i/pinterest20.png" style="border:0;margin:0;padding:0;"></a>&#160;<a href="https://feeds.feedblitz.com/_/24/969588290/moneymetals"><img height="20" src="https://assets.feedblitz.com/i/x.png" style="border:0;margin:0;padding:0;"></a>&#160;<a href="https://feeds.feedblitz.com/_/19/969588290/moneymetals"><img height="20" src="https://assets.feedblitz.com/i/email20.png" style="border:0;margin:0;padding:0;"></a>&#160;<a href="https://feeds.feedblitz.com/_/20/969588290/moneymetals"><img height="20" src="https://assets.feedblitz.com/i/rss20.png" style="border:0;margin:0;padding:0;"></a>&nbsp;&#160;</div>]]>
</description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>&lt;p&gt;Something unusual happened at the COMEX last week. A large amount of silver left the CME vaults.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;In this episode of the Money Metals Midweek Memo, host Mike Maharrey breaks down the numbers. He explains exactly what happened and the ramifications, highlighting the silver market&#039;s tight supply.&amp;nbsp;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;This week, Mike also engaged in some myth-busting, explaining why higher interest rates aren&#039;t necessarily bearish for gold and silver.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;div x-data=&quot;{ item_id: undefined, view: null }&quot; x-html=&quot;view || &#039;Product-Random-Featured&#039;&quot; x-init=&quot;view = await (await fetch(&#039;/shortcodes/product/random/featured?category=1&#039;)).text()&quot;&gt;!!--Product-Random-Featured-1--!!&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Mike opens the show with a trip down memory lane.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;blockquote&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&quot;It was December 1930, early in the Great Depression. The Bank of the United States in New York was in deep trouble. Despite implications you might draw from the name, the Bank of the United States was a private institution serving a large number of immigrant families and small businesses.&amp;nbsp;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&quot;As confidence in the institution crumbled and negotiations for a rescue merger failed, depositors rushed to withdraw their savings. On December 11, state banking authorities closed the bank. With more than 400,000 depositors, it was the largest U.S. bank failure up to that point measured by deposits.&amp;nbsp;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&quot;As Time reported, the run followed weeks of quiet withdrawals, months of rumors, and failed merger efforts.&quot;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;/blockquote&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Mike notes that panics are a feature in a fractional reserve banking system because everybody knows all of the money they depositied isn&#039;t there. Banks are only required to hold a portion of customer deposits as a reserve. The rest can be loaned out.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;blockquote&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&quot;We can debate the pros and cons of such a system, but regardless of your position, you have to admit that it comes with inherent risks.&quot;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;/blockquote&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Then Mike drops the bombshell.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;blockquote&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&quot;Did you know we have basically the same kind of system in the silver futures market?&quot;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;/blockquote&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Mike explains that a&amp;nbsp;futures contract promises the delivery of a certain amount of silver at a certain price at a certain time.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;blockquote&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&quot;Most of the time, futures traders don&amp;rsquo;t take physical delivery of the metal. They just roll over the contract. As a result, there is a lot more paper than there is metal. Like our fractional reserve banking example, it&amp;rsquo;s all well and good until a lot of people suddenly want their metal.&quot;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;/blockquote&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Mike notes that it&#039;s unclear exactly how many paper claims exist for every ounce of silver. We often see numbers as high as 250:1.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;blockquote&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&quot;I wouldn&amp;rsquo;t be surprised if that&amp;rsquo;s true, but I&amp;rsquo;ve not been able to find verifiable data to back this up. What I did find is that mid-September, there was a little over five paper ounces of silver circulating for every ounce of registered physical silver in COMEX vaults. You can see the problem. If even half of those holding contracts demanded physical delivery, the COMEX would devolve into meltdown mode.&quot;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;/blockquote&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Mike parses the data, revealing that over 7 million ounces of silver flowed out of the COMEX system between Sept. 10 and Sept. 17.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;blockquote&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&quot;For perspective, the 7.2-million-ounce silver outflow equals about 223 tonnes, roughly 2.1 percent of the total COMEX inventory. This doesn&amp;rsquo;t indicate a looming silver shortage, but it is a notable metal outflow. It could become significant if physical deliveries become a trend.&quot;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;/blockquote&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Mike proceeds to explain how the COMEX futures market operates, distinguising between registered silver, eligible silver, and total physical inventory, providing context for the silver drawdown. He also points out that the amount of silver leaving the COMEX last week was 25 percent higher than during the first week of the October silver squeeze, but about half the outflow of the peak week.&amp;nbsp;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;blockquote&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&quot;However, it&amp;rsquo;s important to note that unlike during the October squeeze, registered inventories (silver available for delivery) increased last week. The squeeze drained nearly 14.2 million ounces from the registered category. In other words, last week&amp;rsquo;s movement signals strong physical withdrawals from COMEX vaults. However, it is not putting the same pressure on COMEX&amp;rsquo;s deliverable supply as we saw in October because plenty of registered metal remains.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&quot;Looking at the big picture, last week&amp;rsquo;s drawdown does not indicate an imminent shortage of physical metal. It could be a one-off event. However, if this level of silver outflow becomes a trend, it could lead to another silver squeeze.&quot;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;/blockquote&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Mike then puts the futures activity in context with supply and demand dynamics and the broader silver markets, noting that demand has outstripped supply for five straight years, with another market deficit forecast for 2026.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;blockquote&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&quot;When the market runs a supply deficit, people who need metal have to source it from existing above-ground stocks. That generally requires higher prices to incentivize those who hold it to release it.&quot;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;/blockquote&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Mike notes that the drawdown in above-ground silver supply of around 473 million ounces over the last 15 years.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;blockquote&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&quot;All of this to say that the supply-demand dynamics are extremely bullish for silver, and the tightness in the physical market means there is always the underlying chance for another squeeze. It just takes the right confluence of dynamics to light the fuse.&quot;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;/blockquote&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Mike also argues that silver is underpriced right now, creating a buying opportunity for investors. He highlights some Money Metals &lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.moneymetals.com/buy/specials&amp;quot">https://www.moneymetals.com/buy/specials&amp;quot</a>;&gt;specials&lt;/a&gt; for folks interested in taking advantage of &quot;silver on sale.&quot;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;div x-data=&quot;{ item_id: undefined, view: null }&quot; x-html=&quot;view || &#039;Product-Random-Featured&#039;&quot; x-init=&quot;view = await (await fetch(&#039;/shortcodes/product/random/featured?category=2&#039;)).text()&quot;&gt;!!--Product-Random-Featured-2--!!&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Mike wraps up the show with a little myth-busting.&amp;nbsp;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;blockquote&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&quot;Conventional wisdom holds that because they are non-yielding assets, gold and silver become less attractive in a high-interest-rate environment and tend to face significant price headwinds. However, conventional wisdom isn&amp;rsquo;t always wise. A higher-rate environment can indeed be bearish for gold and silver, but historically, that hasn&amp;rsquo;t always been the case.&quot;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;/blockquote&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Mike&amp;nbsp;points out that there are many parallels between the 1970s and today, with stagflation, high inflation, and rising interest rates, and uses data from the era to show how interest rates and the gold price rose in tandem.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;blockquote&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&quot;So, conventional wisdom clearly broke down in the 1970s. A high interest rate environment was not bearish for gold. Interest rates and gold rose in tandem.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&quot;But why?&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&quot;Because you must account for &lt;strong&gt;real&lt;/strong&gt; interest rates.&quot;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;/blockquote&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Mike explains real rates and how to calculate them. He then uses data Adam Sharp parsed to show that real rates were low in the 70s due to persistently elevated inflation.&amp;nbsp;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;So, yes, nominal rates are going up. But so is inflation. That means real rates aren&#039;t nearly as high as they seem if you&#039;re listening to talking heads on TV.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;blockquote&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&quot;The lesson here is don&amp;rsquo;t sell your gold just because you think the Fed is going to raise rates. You might be sorry!&quot;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;/blockquote&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Mike closes the show with a call to action, urging listeners to call &lt;strong&gt;800-800-1865&lt;/strong&gt; and talk with a Money Metals precious metals specialist today.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;h2&gt;Articles Mentioned in the Show&lt;/h2&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.moneymetals.com/news/2026/09/14/beyond-the-cpi-the-complete-inflation-story-august-2026-005198&amp;quot">https://www.moneymetals.com/news/2026/09/14/beyond-the-cpi-the-complete-inflation-story-august-2026-005198&amp;quot</a>;&gt;Beyond the CPI: The Complete Inflation Story -- August 2026&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.cmegroup.com/solutions/clearing/operations-and-deliveries/nymex-delivery-notices.html?utm_source=chatgpt.com&amp;quot">https://www.cmegroup.com/solutions/clearing/operations-and-deliveries/nymex-delivery-notices.html?utm_source=chatgpt.com&amp;quot</a>; target=&quot;_blank&quot; rel=&quot;noopener&quot;&gt;The CME&amp;rsquo;s delivery notice and warehouse report&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&lt;img src=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.moneymetals.com/uploads/content/gold-price-vs-10-year-treasury-yield-1969-1980.png&amp;quot">https://www.moneymetals.com/uploads/content/gold-price-vs-10-year-treasury-yield-1969-1980.png&amp;quot</a>; width=&quot;700&quot; height=&quot;409&quot; class=&quot;mx-auto float-left p-3&quot; alt=&quot;&quot; /&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&lt;/p&gt;</p><Img align="left" border="0" height="1" width="1" alt="" style="border:0;float:left;margin:0;padding:0;width:1px!important;height:1px!important;" hspace="0" src="https://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/i/969588290/0/moneymetals">
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</content:encoded>
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				<guid>https://www.moneymetals.com/podcasts/2026/09/23/back-to-the-futures-whats-going-on-with-silver-at-the-comex-005227</guid>
				<pubDate>Wed, 23 Sep 2026 00:00:00 EST</pubDate></item>
<item>
<feedburner:origLink>https://www.moneymetals.com/price/gold-demand</feedburner:origLink>
				<title>Gold Demand - Jewelry, Investment, Central Bank, and Technology Buyers by Sector - Price-Setting vs. Price-Following Demand, Recycling Supply, and Retail Premiums - Money Metals</title>
				<description><![CDATA[Gold demand hit a record 5,002 tonnes in 2025. See who buys gold by sector, why jewelry retreats while central banks and investors buy into rising prices, and how demand spikes move bullion premiums.<div style="clear:both;padding-top:0.2em;"><a href="https://feeds.feedblitz.com/_/28/969495449/moneymetals"><img height="20" src="https://assets.feedblitz.com/i/fblike20.png" style="border:0;margin:0;padding:0;"></a>&#160;<a href="https://feeds.feedblitz.com/_/29/969495449/moneymetals,"><img height="20" src="https://assets.feedblitz.com/i/pinterest20.png" style="border:0;margin:0;padding:0;"></a>&#160;<a href="https://feeds.feedblitz.com/_/24/969495449/moneymetals"><img height="20" src="https://assets.feedblitz.com/i/x.png" style="border:0;margin:0;padding:0;"></a>&#160;<a href="https://feeds.feedblitz.com/_/19/969495449/moneymetals"><img height="20" src="https://assets.feedblitz.com/i/email20.png" style="border:0;margin:0;padding:0;"></a>&#160;<a href="https://feeds.feedblitz.com/_/20/969495449/moneymetals"><img height="20" src="https://assets.feedblitz.com/i/rss20.png" style="border:0;margin:0;padding:0;"></a>&nbsp;&#160;</div>]]>
</description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>&lt;p&gt;The world bought more than 5,000 tonnes of gold in 2025, a record haul worth roughly $555 billion (&lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.gold.org/goldhub/research/gold-demand-trends/gold-demand-trends-full-year-2025&amp;quot">https://www.gold.org/goldhub/research/gold-demand-trends/gold-demand-trends-full-year-2025&amp;quot</a>;&gt;World Gold Council&lt;/a&gt;). Those figures get quoted quite often online, but on their own they explain very little about the gold market.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;There is a more helpful question instead: who bought that gold? You can also go one step further: did those buyers care what it cost?&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Some sources of gold demand retreat when prices climb. Others can accelerate into rising prices. That distinction explains most of what confuses people in the headlines, including how the gold price can set records in the same quarter that total tonnage falls.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;This page will break down all four sources of gold demand. We will also explore the supply that meets them, and what global demand actually means when you go to buy a coin or a bar yourself.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;h2&gt;Key Takeaways&lt;/h2&gt;
&lt;ul&gt;
&lt;li&gt;Total gold demand reached 5,002.3 tonnes in 2025, the first year ever above 5,000 tonnes (&lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.gold.org/goldhub/research/gold-demand-trends/gold-demand-trends-full-year-2025&amp;quot">https://www.gold.org/goldhub/research/gold-demand-trends/gold-demand-trends-full-year-2025&amp;quot</a>;&gt;WGC&lt;/a&gt;)&lt;/li&gt;
&lt;li&gt;Four sectors buy gold: jewelry, investment, central banks, and technology&lt;/li&gt;
&lt;li&gt;Jewelry remains the largest sector by weight, but it contracts sharply when prices rise&lt;/li&gt;
&lt;li&gt;Central banks and investors can continue buying as prices rise, making their demand more likely to drive price moves than price-sensitive jewelry demand&lt;/li&gt;
&lt;li&gt;Mining supplies roughly 3,670 tonnes annually, and recycled scrap contributes another 1,400 tonnes&lt;/li&gt;
&lt;li&gt;Demand data explains the past well, but it does not predict the gold price on its own&lt;/li&gt;
&lt;/ul&gt;
&lt;h2&gt;How Much Gold Does the World Buy Each Year?&lt;/h2&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Total gold demand came to 5,002.3 tonnes in 2025, an increase of 1% over the prior year. The value of that gold reached $555 billion, a 45% jump, because the average price climbed 44% to $3,431.50 per ounce (&lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.gold.org/goldhub/research/gold-demand-trends/gold-demand-trends-full-year-2025&amp;quot">https://www.gold.org/goldhub/research/gold-demand-trends/gold-demand-trends-full-year-2025&amp;quot</a>;&gt;WGC&lt;/a&gt;).&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;There is a gap between weight and value, and it matters a great deal. The reason for this is that demand sometimes looks flat when it is measured in tonnes. However, when you measure it in dollars, it can set records. That&#039;s why it&#039;s important to look into what metric a writer used when they write that gold demand hit an all-time high. The answer could make a substantive difference.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;h3&gt;The Two Totals You Will See Quoted&lt;/h3&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Here is the detail that trips up most readers, including plenty of financial journalists. The World Gold Council publishes two different totals for gold demand. Crucially, these are not interchangeable.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;One total excludes over-the-counter trading and the other includes it. Over-the-counter transactions, often shortened to OTC, refers to gold traded directly between large institutions instead of an exchange.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;The two totals diverged dramatically in the second quarter of 2026. Demand excluding OTC came to 941.8 tonnes, a decline of 14% from a year earlier, while demand including OTC came to 1,268.9 tonnes, essentially unchanged year over year (&lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.gold.org/goldhub/research/gold-demand-trends/gold-demand-trends-q2-2026&amp;quot">https://www.gold.org/goldhub/research/gold-demand-trends/gold-demand-trends-q2-2026&amp;quot</a>;&gt;WGC&lt;/a&gt;).&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;This is where many people get confused. These figures come from the same quarter and same source. Nevertheless, one figure suggests decline, and one suggests stasis. That is because of differences in how the figures were measured.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Use the number that excludes OTC when comparing the four consumer and investor sources against each other. Use the number that includes OTC when you want the fullest picture of gold moving through the global market. If you read two pieces from relatively recent times that seem to contradict each other about gold demand, the discrepancy about OTC is usually the reason.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;h3&gt;Gold Demand by Sector&lt;/h3&gt;
&lt;div class=&quot;mt-8 flow-root&quot;&gt;
&lt;div class=&quot;-mx-4 -my-2 overflow-x-auto sm:-mx-6 lg:-mx-8&quot;&gt;
&lt;div class=&quot;inline-block min-w-full py-2 align-middle sm:px-6 lg:px-8&quot;&gt;
&lt;div class=&quot;overflow-hidden rounded-lg border border-slate-800 w-full&quot;&gt;
&lt;table class=&quot;min-w-full divide-y divide-slate-300 not-prose&quot;&gt;
&lt;thead class=&quot;bg-slate-800 text-white&quot;&gt;
&lt;tr class=&quot;divide-x divide-slate-200&quot;&gt;
&lt;th class=&quot;p-3 text-left text-sm font-semibold&quot;&gt;Sector&lt;/th&gt;
&lt;th class=&quot;p-3 text-left text-sm font-semibold&quot;&gt;Q2 2026 (tonnes)&lt;/th&gt;
&lt;th class=&quot;p-3 text-left text-sm font-semibold&quot;&gt;Change vs. Q2 2025&lt;/th&gt;
&lt;/tr&gt;
&lt;/thead&gt;
&lt;tbody class=&quot;divide-y divide-slate-200 bg-white&quot;&gt;
&lt;tr class=&quot;divide-x divide-slate-200 even:bg-slate-50&quot;&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;Jewelry&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;278.2&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;-17%&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;/tr&gt;
&lt;tr class=&quot;divide-x divide-slate-200 even:bg-slate-50&quot;&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;Central banks&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;288.9&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;+62%&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;/tr&gt;
&lt;tr class=&quot;divide-x divide-slate-200 even:bg-slate-50&quot;&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;Total investment&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;262.2&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;-46%&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;/tr&gt;
&lt;tr class=&quot;divide-x divide-slate-200 even:bg-slate-50&quot;&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;Bar and coin&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;307.1&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;-3%&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;/tr&gt;
&lt;tr class=&quot;divide-x divide-slate-200 even:bg-slate-50&quot;&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;Gold ETFs&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;-44.8&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;Outflow, versus +171.1 a year earlier&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;/tr&gt;
&lt;tr class=&quot;divide-x divide-slate-200 even:bg-slate-50&quot;&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;Technology&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;80.4&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;+2%&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;/tr&gt;
&lt;/tbody&gt;
&lt;/table&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&lt;em&gt;Source: &lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.gold.org/goldhub/research/gold-demand-trends/gold-demand-trends-q2-2026&amp;quot">https://www.gold.org/goldhub/research/gold-demand-trends/gold-demand-trends-q2-2026&amp;quot</a>;&gt;World Gold Council, Gold Demand Trends Q2 2026&lt;/a&gt;. Bar and coin demand and ETF flows are the two components of total investment, which is why total investment can collapse while bar and coin demand holds steady.&lt;/em&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;figure style=&quot;margin: 2rem 0;&quot;&gt;&lt;svg viewbox=&quot;0 0 760 470&quot; style=&quot;width: 100%; height: auto; display: block;&quot; role=&quot;img&quot; aria-labelledby=&quot;gdb-title gdb-desc&quot; xmlns=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.w3.org/2000/svg&amp;quot">http://www.w3.org/2000/svg&amp;quot</a>;&gt; 
&lt;title id=&quot;gdb-title&quot;&gt;Gold demand by sector, Q2 2026 (tonnes)&lt;/title&gt;
&lt;desc id=&quot;gdb-desc&quot;&gt;Horizontal bar chart of global gold demand by sector in Q2 2026, in tonnes, with change versus Q2 2025. Bar and coin: 307.1 tonnes, down 3%. Central banks: 288.9 tonnes, up 62%. Jewelry: 278.2 tonnes, down 17%. Technology: 80.4 tonnes, up 2%. Gold ETFs: an outflow of 44.8 tonnes, versus an inflow of 171.1 tonnes a year earlier. Source: World Gold Council, Gold Demand Trends Q2 2026.&lt;/desc&gt;
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&lt;text class=&quot;gdb-t gdb-h&quot; x=&quot;266.2&quot; y=&quot;56&quot; text-anchor=&quot;start&quot;&gt;Tonnes, Q2 2026&lt;/text&gt; &lt;text class=&quot;gdb-t gdb-h&quot; x=&quot;740&quot; y=&quot;56&quot; text-anchor=&quot;end&quot;&gt;vs. Q2 2025&lt;/text&gt; &lt;line class=&quot;gdb-zero&quot; x1=&quot;266.2&quot; y1=&quot;80&quot; x2=&quot;266.2&quot; y2=&quot;404&quot;&gt;&lt;/line&gt; &lt;text class=&quot;gdb-t gdb-ax&quot; x=&quot;266.2&quot; y=&quot;424&quot; text-anchor=&quot;middle&quot;&gt;0&lt;/text&gt; &lt;line class=&quot;gdb-grid&quot; x1=&quot;368.8&quot; y1=&quot;80&quot; x2=&quot;368.8&quot; y2=&quot;404&quot;&gt;&lt;/line&gt; &lt;text class=&quot;gdb-t gdb-ax&quot; x=&quot;368.8&quot; y=&quot;424&quot; text-anchor=&quot;middle&quot;&gt;100&lt;/text&gt; &lt;line class=&quot;gdb-grid&quot; x1=&quot;471.2&quot; y1=&quot;80&quot; x2=&quot;471.2&quot; y2=&quot;404&quot;&gt;&lt;/line&gt; &lt;text class=&quot;gdb-t gdb-ax&quot; x=&quot;471.2&quot; y=&quot;424&quot; text-anchor=&quot;middle&quot;&gt;200&lt;/text&gt; &lt;line class=&quot;gdb-grid&quot; x1=&quot;573.8&quot; y1=&quot;80&quot; x2=&quot;573.8&quot; y2=&quot;404&quot;&gt;&lt;/line&gt; &lt;text class=&quot;gdb-t gdb-ax&quot; x=&quot;573.8&quot; y=&quot;424&quot; text-anchor=&quot;middle&quot;&gt;300&lt;/text&gt; &lt;g class=&quot;gdb-row&quot;&gt; 
&lt;title&gt;Bar and coin: 307.1 tonnes in Q2 2026 (change vs. Q2 2025: -3%)&lt;/title&gt;
&lt;rect x=&quot;0&quot; y=&quot;80&quot; width=&quot;760&quot; height=&quot;60&quot; fill=&quot;transparent&quot;&gt;&lt;/rect&gt; &lt;text class=&quot;gdb-t gdb-cat&quot; x=&quot;200&quot; y=&quot;115.0&quot; text-anchor=&quot;end&quot;&gt;Bar and coin&lt;/text&gt; &lt;path class=&quot;gdb-bar&quot; d=&quot;M266.2,92 H577.0 Q581.0,92 581.0,96 V124 Q581.0,128 577.0,128 H266.2 Z&quot;&gt;&lt;/path&gt; &lt;text class=&quot;gdb-t gdb-v&quot; x=&quot;589.0&quot; y=&quot;115.0&quot; text-anchor=&quot;start&quot;&gt;307.1 t&lt;/text&gt; &lt;text class=&quot;gdb-t gdb-c&quot; x=&quot;740&quot; y=&quot;115.0&quot; text-anchor=&quot;end&quot;&gt;&amp;minus;3%&lt;/text&gt; &lt;/g&gt; &lt;g class=&quot;gdb-row&quot;&gt; 
&lt;title&gt;Central banks: 288.9 tonnes in Q2 2026 (change vs. Q2 2025: +62%)&lt;/title&gt;
&lt;rect x=&quot;0&quot; y=&quot;146&quot; width=&quot;760&quot; height=&quot;60&quot; fill=&quot;transparent&quot;&gt;&lt;/rect&gt; &lt;text class=&quot;gdb-t gdb-cat&quot; x=&quot;200&quot; y=&quot;181.0&quot; text-anchor=&quot;end&quot;&gt;Central banks&lt;/text&gt; &lt;path class=&quot;gdb-bar&quot; d=&quot;M266.2,158 H558.4 Q562.4,158 562.4,162 V190 Q562.4,194 558.4,194 H266.2 Z&quot;&gt;&lt;/path&gt; &lt;text class=&quot;gdb-t gdb-v&quot; x=&quot;570.4&quot; y=&quot;181.0&quot; text-anchor=&quot;start&quot;&gt;288.9 t&lt;/text&gt; &lt;text class=&quot;gdb-t gdb-c&quot; x=&quot;740&quot; y=&quot;181.0&quot; text-anchor=&quot;end&quot;&gt;+62%&lt;/text&gt; &lt;/g&gt; &lt;g class=&quot;gdb-row&quot;&gt; 
&lt;title&gt;Jewelry: 278.2 tonnes in Q2 2026 (change vs. Q2 2025: -17%)&lt;/title&gt;
&lt;rect x=&quot;0&quot; y=&quot;212&quot; width=&quot;760&quot; height=&quot;60&quot; fill=&quot;transparent&quot;&gt;&lt;/rect&gt; &lt;text class=&quot;gdb-t gdb-cat&quot; x=&quot;200&quot; y=&quot;247.0&quot; text-anchor=&quot;end&quot;&gt;Jewelry&lt;/text&gt; &lt;path class=&quot;gdb-bar&quot; d=&quot;M266.2,224 H547.4 Q551.4,224 551.4,228 V256 Q551.4,260 547.4,260 H266.2 Z&quot;&gt;&lt;/path&gt; &lt;text class=&quot;gdb-t gdb-v&quot; x=&quot;559.4&quot; y=&quot;247.0&quot; text-anchor=&quot;start&quot;&gt;278.2 t&lt;/text&gt; &lt;text class=&quot;gdb-t gdb-c&quot; x=&quot;740&quot; y=&quot;247.0&quot; text-anchor=&quot;end&quot;&gt;&amp;minus;17%&lt;/text&gt; &lt;/g&gt; &lt;g class=&quot;gdb-row&quot;&gt; 
&lt;title&gt;Technology: 80.4 tonnes in Q2 2026 (change vs. Q2 2025: +2%)&lt;/title&gt;
&lt;rect x=&quot;0&quot; y=&quot;278&quot; width=&quot;760&quot; height=&quot;60&quot; fill=&quot;transparent&quot;&gt;&lt;/rect&gt; &lt;text class=&quot;gdb-t gdb-cat&quot; x=&quot;200&quot; y=&quot;313.0&quot; text-anchor=&quot;end&quot;&gt;Technology&lt;/text&gt; &lt;path class=&quot;gdb-bar&quot; d=&quot;M266.2,290 H344.7 Q348.7,290 348.7,294 V322 Q348.7,326 344.7,326 H266.2 Z&quot;&gt;&lt;/path&gt; &lt;text class=&quot;gdb-t gdb-v&quot; x=&quot;356.7&quot; y=&quot;313.0&quot; text-anchor=&quot;start&quot;&gt;80.4 t&lt;/text&gt; &lt;text class=&quot;gdb-t gdb-c&quot; x=&quot;740&quot; y=&quot;313.0&quot; text-anchor=&quot;end&quot;&gt;+2%&lt;/text&gt; &lt;/g&gt; &lt;g class=&quot;gdb-row&quot;&gt; 
&lt;title&gt;Gold ETFs: -44.8 tonnes in Q2 2026 (outflow; change vs. Q2 2025: vs. +171.1 t)&lt;/title&gt;
&lt;rect x=&quot;0&quot; y=&quot;344&quot; width=&quot;760&quot; height=&quot;60&quot; fill=&quot;transparent&quot;&gt;&lt;/rect&gt; &lt;text class=&quot;gdb-t gdb-cat&quot; x=&quot;200&quot; y=&quot;379.0&quot; text-anchor=&quot;end&quot;&gt;Gold ETFs&lt;/text&gt; &lt;path class=&quot;gdb-bar gdb-neg&quot; d=&quot;M266.2,356 H224.3 Q220.3,356 220.3,360 V388 Q220.3,392 224.3,392 H266.2 Z&quot;&gt;&lt;/path&gt; &lt;text class=&quot;gdb-t gdb-v&quot; x=&quot;274.2&quot; y=&quot;379.0&quot; text-anchor=&quot;start&quot;&gt;&amp;minus;44.8 t (outflow)&lt;/text&gt; &lt;text class=&quot;gdb-t gdb-c&quot; x=&quot;740&quot; y=&quot;379.0&quot; text-anchor=&quot;end&quot;&gt;vs. +171.1 t&lt;/text&gt; &lt;/g&gt; &lt;/svg&gt;
&lt;figcaption style=&quot;font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, &#039;Segoe UI&#039;, Roboto, sans-serif; font-size: 0.875rem; color: #4b5563; text-align: center; margin-top: 0.5rem;&quot;&gt;Gold demand by sector, Q2 2026. Bar and coin demand and ETF flows together make up total investment (262.2 t, down 46%), which is why investment fell even as bar and coin buying held steady. Source: World Gold Council, &lt;em&gt;Gold Demand Trends Q2 2026&lt;/em&gt;.&lt;/figcaption&gt;
&lt;/figure&gt;
&lt;h2&gt;Why Do People Buy Gold, and What Drives Gold Demand?&lt;/h2&gt;
&lt;h3&gt;Central Bank Demand&lt;/h3&gt;
&lt;p&gt;The central banks of several nations have purchased gold for their national reserves, with China leading the charge. Central banks accumulated 863.3 tonnes of gold in 2025. That was 21% below the prior year&#039;s pace, though it remained far above anything considered normal before 2022 (&lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.gold.org/goldhub/research/gold-demand-trends/gold-demand-trends-full-year-2025&amp;quot">https://www.gold.org/goldhub/research/gold-demand-trends/gold-demand-trends-full-year-2025&amp;quot</a>;&gt;WGC&lt;/a&gt;).&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Official sector buying then picked up again. In the second quarter of 2026, central bank gold buying reached 288.9 tonnes. That represents a 62% jump over the same quarter a year earlier (&lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.gold.org/goldhub/research/gold-demand-trends/gold-demand-trends-q2-2026&amp;quot">https://www.gold.org/goldhub/research/gold-demand-trends/gold-demand-trends-q2-2026&amp;quot</a>;&gt;WGC&lt;/a&gt;).&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Central banks buy gold according to policy timelines, not price charts or sudden market shifts. When central banks decide to buy more gold, they tend to do so based on a specific buying plan. While they &lt;em&gt;may&lt;/em&gt; adjust the strategy if significant changes occur in the gold price, they are generally far less price-sensitive than private investors.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;We cover the reasons behind this shift in detail on our page about &lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.moneymetals.com/investment/central-banks-buying-gold&amp;quot">https://www.moneymetals.com/investment/central-banks-buying-gold&amp;quot</a>;&gt;central banks buying gold&lt;/a&gt;, and we track the monthly totals in our &lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.moneymetals.com/news/2026/02/01/central-bank-gold-buying-moderated-in-25-but-remained-well-above-historical-levels-004653&amp;quot">https://www.moneymetals.com/news/2026/02/01/central-bank-gold-buying-moderated-in-25-but-remained-well-above-historical-levels-004653&amp;quot</a>;&gt;ongoing news coverage&lt;/a&gt;.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;h3&gt;Investment Demand&lt;/h3&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Investment demand combines two groups that behave very differently. One buys physical metal, and the other buys fund shares.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Bar and coin demand represents physical gold purchased by individuals, and it reached 1,374.1 tonnes in 2025, an increase of 16% (&lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.gold.org/goldhub/research/gold-demand-trends/gold-demand-trends-full-year-2025&amp;quot">https://www.gold.org/goldhub/research/gold-demand-trends/gold-demand-trends-full-year-2025&amp;quot</a>;&gt;WGC&lt;/a&gt;). This is the most durable category of investment demand, and it is the one Money Metals serves every day.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Gold ETFs are exchange-traded funds that hold bullion and trade like stocks. While they can certainly be worthwhile investments, their flows swing far more violently. These funds absorbed 801.2 tonnes in 2025 after a slightly negative 2024, then reversed and shed 44.8 tonnes in the second quarter of 2026 (&lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.gold.org/goldhub/research/gold-demand-trends/gold-demand-trends-q2-2026&amp;quot">https://www.gold.org/goldhub/research/gold-demand-trends/gold-demand-trends-q2-2026&amp;quot</a>;&gt;WGC&lt;/a&gt;).&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;That reversal is why total investment demand dropped 46% in the quarter. At the same time, however, bar and coin demand only dropped by 3%. Institutional fund money exited. Simultaneously, physical buyers largely stayed where they were.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;h3&gt;Jewelry Demand&lt;/h3&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Jewelry remains the single largest use of gold by weight, with consumers taking 1,542.3 tonnes in 2025, although that represented an 18% decline from the prior year (&lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.gold.org/goldhub/research/gold-demand-trends/gold-demand-trends-full-year-2025&amp;quot">https://www.gold.org/goldhub/research/gold-demand-trends/gold-demand-trends-full-year-2025&amp;quot</a>;&gt;WGC&lt;/a&gt;). The contraction continued into 2026, with jewelry demand falling another 17% in the second quarter (&lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.gold.org/goldhub/research/gold-demand-trends/gold-demand-trends-q2-2026&amp;quot">https://www.gold.org/goldhub/research/gold-demand-trends/gold-demand-trends-q2-2026&amp;quot</a>;&gt;WGC&lt;/a&gt;).&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Much of that demand comes from India and China. Gold jewelry demand in India and China has strong seasonal patterns. Indian wedding season and festivals such as Diwali lift demand in the autumn. Chinese New Year lifts the demand again earlier in the year.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Jewelry buyers are usually shopping against a budget. When gold costs more per gram, they buy a lighter chain or postpone the purchase entirely. Falling jewelry demand is therefore not a warning signal about gold. It is a straightforward price response.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;h3&gt;Technology and Industrial Demand&lt;/h3&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Technology is the smallest of the four sectors, consuming 322.8 tonnes in 2025 and 80.4 tonnes in the second quarter of 2026 (&lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.gold.org/goldhub/research/gold-demand-trends/gold-demand-trends-q2-2026&amp;quot">https://www.gold.org/goldhub/research/gold-demand-trends/gold-demand-trends-q2-2026&amp;quot</a>;&gt;WGC&lt;/a&gt;).&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Gold conducts electricity very well and resists corrosion. That is why it turns up in connectors, circuit boards, and sensors, plus a range of medical and dental uses. The sector is small, but it has been holding up while jewelry contracts, helped by demand for hardware tied to artificial intelligence.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Makers cannot easily extricate gold from finished circuit boards. As a result, industrial use for gold tends to remain consistent even with high market prices.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;h2&gt;Price-Setting Demand vs. Price-Following Demand&lt;/h2&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Most articles hand you a pie chart with four slices and stop there. That hides the most important fact about gold demand: the slices are not equal in how they influence the price.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;A better way to divide them is to ask a single question. Which buyers purchase less when gold gets expensive, and which ones purchase more?&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;h3&gt;Demand That Follows the Price&lt;/h3&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Jewelry and technology both tighten their usage when gold prices rise. That pattern shows in some of the figures cited above.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;For example, notice that in 2025, gold&#039;s average price climbed 44%. At the same time, jewelry demand fell 18% across the same twelve months.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;This is ordinary shopper behavior: prices rise, purchases fall. That does not mean anything has changed in the gold market. It simply means that a buyer working from a fixed budget ends up with less metal when metal costs more. These sectors react to the price, they do not establish it.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;h3&gt;Demand That Sets the Price&lt;/h3&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Central banks and investors behave in the opposite direction. Investment demand surged 84% in 2025 to 2,175.3 tonnes during the very stretch when prices rose 44%, meaning higher prices attracted buyers rather than deterring them (&lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.gold.org/goldhub/research/gold-demand-trends/gold-demand-trends-full-year-2025&amp;quot">https://www.gold.org/goldhub/research/gold-demand-trends/gold-demand-trends-full-year-2025&amp;quot</a>;&gt;WGC&lt;/a&gt;).&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Central banks are not price shoppers either, because they accumulate according to reserve strategies that unfold over years.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;This distinction is the key to reading gold headlines correctly. When total demand falls while prices set records, you are watching two things at once. Price-sensitive buyers step back just as price-insensitive buyers step forward. The total can decline even as the buyers who really move the market turn more aggressive.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;For anyone actually buying gold, that makes the headline total the least informative figure in the entire report. Watch the central bank line and the bar and coin line instead.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;h2&gt;Where Gold Supply Comes From&lt;/h2&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Demand figures do not mean much without the supply they compete for. Gold reaches the market from two sources: newly mined production and recycled scrap metal.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;h3&gt;Mine Production&lt;/h3&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Mines produced 3,671.6 tonnes in 2025, up just 1%. Output has stayed near flat for years (&lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.gold.org/goldhub/research/gold-demand-trends/gold-demand-trends-full-year-2025&amp;quot">https://www.gold.org/goldhub/research/gold-demand-trends/gold-demand-trends-full-year-2025&amp;quot</a>;&gt;WGC&lt;/a&gt;).&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;The trouble with gold mining is that it cannot respond quickly to price signals. Mining operations can take a decade or more to discover gold ore, permit for a mine, and develop a mine production. The gold that comes from mining production then takes time to refine and enter the market.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;In short, the process cannot keep up with temporary spikes or dips in demand. A high gold price today produces no additional metal this year, and probably none next year either.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;h3&gt;Recycling, the Flexible Valve&lt;/h3&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Recycled gold is the part of supply that does move fast, and it reached 1,404.3 tonnes in 2025, up 3% (&lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.gold.org/goldhub/research/gold-demand-trends/gold-demand-trends-full-year-2025&amp;quot">https://www.gold.org/goldhub/research/gold-demand-trends/gold-demand-trends-full-year-2025&amp;quot</a>;&gt;WGC&lt;/a&gt;).&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Recycling functions as a pressure valve on the market. Rising prices often convince households and businesses to sell their old jewelry or scrap metal to get a piece of the gold price. Those decisions can add supply at the moment demand runs hottest. The extra metal helps to absorb part of the buying pressure.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;That mechanism is one important reason a surge in demand does not automatically produce a matching surge in price.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;h3&gt;The Supply and Demand Balance&lt;/h3&gt;
&lt;div class=&quot;mt-8 flow-root&quot;&gt;
&lt;div class=&quot;-mx-4 -my-2 overflow-x-auto sm:-mx-6 lg:-mx-8&quot;&gt;
&lt;div class=&quot;inline-block min-w-full py-2 align-middle sm:px-6 lg:px-8&quot;&gt;
&lt;div class=&quot;overflow-hidden rounded-lg border border-slate-800 w-full&quot;&gt;
&lt;table class=&quot;min-w-full divide-y divide-slate-300 not-prose&quot;&gt;
&lt;thead class=&quot;bg-slate-800 text-white&quot;&gt;
&lt;tr class=&quot;divide-x divide-slate-200&quot;&gt;
&lt;th class=&quot;p-3 text-left text-sm font-semibold&quot;&gt;Full year 2025&lt;/th&gt;
&lt;th class=&quot;p-3 text-left text-sm font-semibold&quot;&gt;Tonnes&lt;/th&gt;
&lt;/tr&gt;
&lt;/thead&gt;
&lt;tbody class=&quot;divide-y divide-slate-200 bg-white&quot;&gt;
&lt;tr class=&quot;divide-x divide-slate-200 even:bg-slate-50&quot;&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;Mine production&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;3,671.6&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;/tr&gt;
&lt;tr class=&quot;divide-x divide-slate-200 even:bg-slate-50&quot;&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;Recycled gold&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;1,404.3&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;/tr&gt;
&lt;tr class=&quot;divide-x divide-slate-200 even:bg-slate-50&quot;&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Total supply&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;&lt;strong&gt;5,002.3&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;/tr&gt;
&lt;tr class=&quot;divide-x divide-slate-200 even:bg-slate-50&quot;&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Total demand (including OTC)&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;td class=&quot;p-3 text-sm text-slate-700&quot;&gt;&lt;strong&gt;5,002.3&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;/td&gt;
&lt;/tr&gt;
&lt;/tbody&gt;
&lt;/table&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&lt;em&gt;Source: &lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.gold.org/goldhub/research/gold-demand-trends/gold-demand-trends-full-year-2025&amp;quot">https://www.gold.org/goldhub/research/gold-demand-trends/gold-demand-trends-full-year-2025&amp;quot</a>;&gt;World Gold Council&lt;/a&gt;. Supply and demand match by definition in this accounting, since every ounce sold is an ounce purchased, and the price is the variable that adjusts to bring them together.&lt;/em&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;h3&gt;Why Gold Is Not Like Oil or Wheat&lt;/h3&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Gold is never used up the way other commodities are. Nearly every ounce ever mined still exists somewhere in the world.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Roughly 222,600 tonnes of gold have been mined across all of human history, worth about $29 trillion as of mid-2026. Jewelry accounts for about 99,700 tonnes of that stock, private investors hold around 51,800 tonnes in bars, coins, and ETFs, and central banks hold about 39,000 tonnes (&lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.gold.org/goldhub/data/above-ground-stocks&amp;quot">https://www.gold.org/goldhub/data/above-ground-stocks&amp;quot</a>;&gt;WGC&lt;/a&gt;).&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Measure that stockpile against the roughly 3,670 tonnes mined annually. New mining adds less than 2% to the global gold supply each year. The real supply is the huge stock already above ground. Any part of it can return to the market at the right price.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;h2&gt;Does Rising Gold Demand Mean a Higher Gold Price?&lt;/h2&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Not directly, and not reliably enough to trade on.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Gold trades in a deep and liquid global market. The price is set at the margin by whoever is buying and selling right now, not by annual tonnage totals. Those totals sum up what already happened rather than a forecast of what comes next.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Three more limits are worth knowing. Demand data looks backward. Then it gets revised after its publication. Large parts of it come from estimates rather than solid counts.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Use demand data to understand the market rather than to time it. For our view on what actually moves the price, see &lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.moneymetals.com/price/why-gold-price-is-going-up&amp;quot">https://www.moneymetals.com/price/why-gold-price-is-going-up&amp;quot</a>;&gt;why the gold price is going up&lt;/a&gt; and &lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.moneymetals.com/price/will-the-price-of-gold-go-up&amp;quot">https://www.moneymetals.com/price/will-the-price-of-gold-go-up&amp;quot</a>;&gt;will the price of gold go up&lt;/a&gt;.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;h2&gt;What Global Gold Demand Means When You Buy&lt;/h2&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Global demand data is measured in tonnes, but you do not buy tonnes. You buy a one-ounce coin or a ten-ounce bar, and you pay a &lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.moneymetals.com/price/gold-premium&amp;quot">https://www.moneymetals.com/price/gold-premium&amp;quot</a>;&gt;premium over spot&lt;/a&gt; to get it.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Here is how a demand surge travels from the global market down to your individual order.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;h3&gt;Premiums Widen First&lt;/h3&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Retail buying spikes hit dealer inventory long before they show up in any quarterly report. When physical demand runs hot, premiums over &lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.moneymetals.com/gold-price&amp;quot">https://www.moneymetals.com/gold-price&amp;quot</a>;&gt;spot&lt;/a&gt; tend to widen.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Those premiums do not widen evenly across the product range. Common bullion products usually hold their premiums best, because more of them exist and more of them change hands. Fractional coins and specialty pieces tighten faster, since each small coin already carries more minting cost per ounce.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;h3&gt;Availability and Lead Times&lt;/h3&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Sovereign mints work on production schedules set far in advance. They cannot double output in a month. During periods of heavy demand, mints have rationed popular coins to their authorized buyers.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Large &lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.moneymetals.com/buy/gold/bars&amp;quot">https://www.moneymetals.com/buy/gold/bars&amp;quot</a>;&gt;gold bars&lt;/a&gt; typically remain available the longest, because bar production is far more flexible than government coin production.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;h3&gt;Buyback Spreads Move Too&lt;/h3&gt;
&lt;p&gt;The same pressure works in your favor when you decide to sell. Strong retail demand leaves dealers needing inventory, which firms up buyback bids, while quiet retail demand widens those spreads back out. You can review current pricing any time on our &lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.moneymetals.com/sell-to-us&amp;quot">https://www.moneymetals.com/sell-to-us&amp;quot</a>;&gt;sell to us&lt;/a&gt; page.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;h3&gt;What We See on Our Own Orders&lt;/h3&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Money Metals has served more than 750,000 customers since 2010. That gives us a direct view of retail demand that no quarterly report captures.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Two patterns recur during demand surges. Low-premium common bullion sells out before premium-priced specialty products, because experienced buyers chase ounces rather than designs. Retail buying also tends to accelerate into rising prices rather than retreat from them, which matches exactly what the global bar and coin figures show.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;h3&gt;A Checklist for Buying Into a Demand Spike&lt;/h3&gt;
&lt;ul&gt;
&lt;li&gt;Compare the total price per ounce rather than the spot price alone, since premium is the component you can actually control&lt;/li&gt;
&lt;li&gt;Favor common, widely traded bullion whenever premiums are elevated across the market&lt;/li&gt;
&lt;li&gt;Check the buyback spread before you purchase, not after&lt;/li&gt;
&lt;li&gt;Avoid chasing an out-of-stock product when a similar one is in stock at a lower premium&lt;/li&gt;
&lt;li&gt;Remember that premium costs you real money entering and exiting the position, while spot timing is largely beyond your control&lt;/li&gt;
&lt;/ul&gt;
&lt;p&gt;You can compare current products and premiums any time on our &lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.moneymetals.com/buy/gold&amp;quot">https://www.moneymetals.com/buy/gold&amp;quot</a>;&gt;gold bullion page&lt;/a&gt;.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;h2&gt;How to Read the Gold Demand Report Yourself&lt;/h2&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Almost every gold demand figure you see comes from one place: the World Gold Council&#039;s quarterly &lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.gold.org/goldhub/research/gold-demand-trends&amp;quot">https://www.gold.org/goldhub/research/gold-demand-trends&amp;quot</a>;&gt;Gold Demand Trends&lt;/a&gt; report, compiled with data from Metals Focus. It is free to read.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;If you read the report, the first thing to look for is the summary table. It lists each sector in tonnes, next to the same quarter from the prior year and the percent change between them.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;h3&gt;Three Common Mistakes&lt;/h3&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Quoting the wrong total.&lt;/strong&gt; As explained above, two totals exist. One of these includes OTC, while the other excludes it. Check which metric a writer used before you trust any comparison.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Mixing tonnes and dollars.&lt;/strong&gt; Demand can decline in tonnes and rise in dollars during the same period. Both statements are accurate, but only because they measure different things.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Treating one quarter as a trend.&lt;/strong&gt; Gold demand is seasonal and lumpy, and a single large central bank purchase can visibly move a quarterly number. It&#039;s important to examine the performance for several quarters before calling anything a trend.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;h3&gt;Frequently Asked Questions&lt;/h3&gt;
&lt;div class=&quot;not-prose flex w-full flex-col gap-4&quot;&gt;
&lt;div x-data=&quot;{ isExpanded: false }&quot; class=&quot;overflow-hidden rounded-sm border border-slate-300 bg-white&quot;&gt;
&lt;h4 class=&quot;text-xl font-semibold&quot;&gt;&lt;button id=&quot;controlsAccordionItemOne&quot; type=&quot;button&quot; class=&quot;flex w-full cursor-pointer items-center justify-between gap-2 bg-slate-200 p-4 text-left underline-offset-2 duration-200 hover:bg-slate-100 focus-visible:bg-slate-50 focus-visible:underline focus-visible:outline-hidden&quot; aria-controls=&quot;accordionItemOne&quot; x-on:click=&quot;isExpanded = ! isExpanded&quot; x-bind:class=&quot;isExpanded ? &#039;font-bold&#039;  : &#039;font-medium&#039;&quot; x-bind:aria-expanded=&quot;isExpanded ? &#039;true&#039; : &#039;false&#039;&quot;&gt; &lt;span&gt;How much gold is bought each year?&lt;/span&gt; &lt;svg xmlns=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.w3.org/2000/svg&amp;quot">http://www.w3.org/2000/svg&amp;quot</a>; viewbox=&quot;0 0 24 24&quot; fill=&quot;none&quot; stroke-width=&quot;2&quot; stroke=&quot;currentColor&quot; class=&quot;size-5 shrink-0 transition&quot; aria-hidden=&quot;true&quot; x-bind:class=&quot;isExpanded  ?  &#039;rotate-180&#039;  :  &#039;&#039;&quot;&gt; &lt;path stroke-linecap=&quot;round&quot; stroke-linejoin=&quot;round&quot; d=&quot;M19.5 8.25l-7.5 7.5-7.5-7.5&quot;&gt;&lt;/path&gt; &lt;/svg&gt; &lt;/button&gt;&lt;/h4&gt;
&lt;div x-cloak=&quot;&quot; x-show=&quot;isExpanded&quot; id=&quot;accordionItemOne&quot; role=&quot;region&quot; aria-labelledby=&quot;controlsAccordionItemOne&quot; x-collapse=&quot;&quot;&gt;
&lt;div class=&quot;p-4 text-sm text-pretty sm:text-base flex flex-col gap-4&quot;&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Total gold demand reached 5,002.3 tonnes in 2025, the first year it exceeded 5,000 tonnes. That gold was worth about $555 billion at an average price of $3,431.50 per ounce (&lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.gold.org/goldhub/research/gold-demand-trends/gold-demand-trends-full-year-2025&amp;quot">https://www.gold.org/goldhub/research/gold-demand-trends/gold-demand-trends-full-year-2025&amp;quot</a>;&gt;WGC&lt;/a&gt;).&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div x-data=&quot;{ isExpanded: false }&quot; class=&quot;overflow-hidden rounded-sm border border-slate-300 bg-white&quot;&gt;
&lt;h4 class=&quot;text-xl font-semibold&quot;&gt;&lt;button id=&quot;controlsAccordionItemTwo&quot; type=&quot;button&quot; class=&quot;flex w-full cursor-pointer items-center justify-between gap-2 bg-slate-200 p-4 text-left underline-offset-2 duration-200 hover:bg-slate-100 focus-visible:bg-slate-50 focus-visible:underline focus-visible:outline-hidden&quot; aria-controls=&quot;accordionItemTwo&quot; x-on:click=&quot;isExpanded = ! isExpanded&quot; x-bind:class=&quot;isExpanded ? &#039;font-bold&#039;  : &#039;font-medium&#039;&quot; x-bind:aria-expanded=&quot;isExpanded ? &#039;true&#039; : &#039;false&#039;&quot;&gt; &lt;span&gt;Who is the biggest buyer of gold in the world?&lt;/span&gt; &lt;svg xmlns=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.w3.org/2000/svg&amp;quot">http://www.w3.org/2000/svg&amp;quot</a>; viewbox=&quot;0 0 24 24&quot; fill=&quot;none&quot; stroke-width=&quot;2&quot; stroke=&quot;currentColor&quot; class=&quot;size-5 shrink-0 transition&quot; aria-hidden=&quot;true&quot; x-bind:class=&quot;isExpanded  ?  &#039;rotate-180&#039;  :  &#039;&#039;&quot;&gt; &lt;path stroke-linecap=&quot;round&quot; stroke-linejoin=&quot;round&quot; d=&quot;M19.5 8.25l-7.5 7.5-7.5-7.5&quot;&gt;&lt;/path&gt; &lt;/svg&gt; &lt;/button&gt;&lt;/h4&gt;
&lt;div x-cloak=&quot;&quot; x-show=&quot;isExpanded&quot; id=&quot;accordionItemTwo&quot; role=&quot;region&quot; aria-labelledby=&quot;controlsAccordionItemTwo&quot; x-collapse=&quot;&quot;&gt;
&lt;div class=&quot;p-4 text-sm text-pretty sm:text-base flex flex-col gap-4&quot;&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Measured by sector, jewelry consumers take the most gold by weight, at 1,542.3 tonnes in 2025. Investment demand was larger that year at 2,175.3 tonnes, but that figure combines physical bars and coins with ETF flows (&lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.gold.org/goldhub/research/gold-demand-trends/gold-demand-trends-full-year-2025&amp;quot">https://www.gold.org/goldhub/research/gold-demand-trends/gold-demand-trends-full-year-2025&amp;quot</a>;&gt;WGC&lt;/a&gt;). Among individual nations, India and China lead consumer demand.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div x-data=&quot;{ isExpanded: false }&quot; class=&quot;overflow-hidden rounded-sm border border-slate-300 bg-white&quot;&gt;
&lt;h4 class=&quot;text-xl font-semibold&quot;&gt;&lt;button id=&quot;controlsAccordionItemThree&quot; type=&quot;button&quot; class=&quot;flex w-full cursor-pointer items-center justify-between gap-2 bg-slate-200 p-4 text-left underline-offset-2 duration-200 hover:bg-slate-100 focus-visible:bg-slate-50 focus-visible:underline focus-visible:outline-hidden&quot; aria-controls=&quot;accordionItemThree&quot; x-on:click=&quot;isExpanded = ! isExpanded&quot; x-bind:class=&quot;isExpanded ? &#039;font-bold&#039;  : &#039;font-medium&#039;&quot; x-bind:aria-expanded=&quot;isExpanded ? &#039;true&#039; : &#039;false&#039;&quot;&gt; &lt;span&gt;What percentage of gold demand is jewelry?&lt;/span&gt; &lt;svg xmlns=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.w3.org/2000/svg&amp;quot">http://www.w3.org/2000/svg&amp;quot</a>; viewbox=&quot;0 0 24 24&quot; fill=&quot;none&quot; stroke-width=&quot;2&quot; stroke=&quot;currentColor&quot; class=&quot;size-5 shrink-0 transition&quot; aria-hidden=&quot;true&quot; x-bind:class=&quot;isExpanded  ?  &#039;rotate-180&#039;  :  &#039;&#039;&quot;&gt; &lt;path stroke-linecap=&quot;round&quot; stroke-linejoin=&quot;round&quot; d=&quot;M19.5 8.25l-7.5 7.5-7.5-7.5&quot;&gt;&lt;/path&gt; &lt;/svg&gt; &lt;/button&gt;&lt;/h4&gt;
&lt;div x-cloak=&quot;&quot; x-show=&quot;isExpanded&quot; id=&quot;accordionItemThree&quot; role=&quot;region&quot; aria-labelledby=&quot;controlsAccordionItemThree&quot; x-collapse=&quot;&quot;&gt;
&lt;div class=&quot;p-4 text-sm text-pretty sm:text-base flex flex-col gap-4&quot;&gt;
&lt;p&gt;In 2025, gold demand reports measured in tonnes found that jewelry was roughly 31% of total gold demand. It came in at 1,542.3 tonnes out of 5,002.3 tonnes. Its share has been declining as elevated prices push jewelry consumers back while drawing investors in.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div x-data=&quot;{ isExpanded: false }&quot; class=&quot;overflow-hidden rounded-sm border border-slate-300 bg-white&quot;&gt;
&lt;h4 class=&quot;text-xl font-semibold&quot;&gt;&lt;button id=&quot;controlsAccordionItemFour&quot; type=&quot;button&quot; class=&quot;flex w-full cursor-pointer items-center justify-between gap-2 bg-slate-200 p-4 text-left underline-offset-2 duration-200 hover:bg-slate-100 focus-visible:bg-slate-50 focus-visible:underline focus-visible:outline-hidden&quot; aria-controls=&quot;accordionItemFour&quot; x-on:click=&quot;isExpanded = ! isExpanded&quot; x-bind:class=&quot;isExpanded ? &#039;font-bold&#039;  : &#039;font-medium&#039;&quot; x-bind:aria-expanded=&quot;isExpanded ? &#039;true&#039; : &#039;false&#039;&quot;&gt; &lt;span&gt;Is gold demand rising or falling?&lt;/span&gt; &lt;svg xmlns=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.w3.org/2000/svg&amp;quot">http://www.w3.org/2000/svg&amp;quot</a>; viewbox=&quot;0 0 24 24&quot; fill=&quot;none&quot; stroke-width=&quot;2&quot; stroke=&quot;currentColor&quot; class=&quot;size-5 shrink-0 transition&quot; aria-hidden=&quot;true&quot; x-bind:class=&quot;isExpanded  ?  &#039;rotate-180&#039;  :  &#039;&#039;&quot;&gt; &lt;path stroke-linecap=&quot;round&quot; stroke-linejoin=&quot;round&quot; d=&quot;M19.5 8.25l-7.5 7.5-7.5-7.5&quot;&gt;&lt;/path&gt; &lt;/svg&gt; &lt;/button&gt;&lt;/h4&gt;
&lt;div x-cloak=&quot;&quot; x-show=&quot;isExpanded&quot; id=&quot;accordionItemFour&quot; role=&quot;region&quot; aria-labelledby=&quot;controlsAccordionItemFour&quot; x-collapse=&quot;&quot;&gt;
&lt;div class=&quot;p-4 text-sm text-pretty sm:text-base flex flex-col gap-4&quot;&gt;
&lt;p&gt;That depends on the sector and the measure. Total demand set a record in 2025, then held flat year over year in the second quarter of 2026 on an OTC-inclusive basis while falling 14% excluding OTC. Within that quarter, central bank buying rose 62% and jewelry demand fell 17% (&lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.gold.org/goldhub/research/gold-demand-trends/gold-demand-trends-q2-2026&amp;quot">https://www.gold.org/goldhub/research/gold-demand-trends/gold-demand-trends-q2-2026&amp;quot</a>;&gt;WGC&lt;/a&gt;).&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div x-data=&quot;{ isExpanded: false }&quot; class=&quot;overflow-hidden rounded-sm border border-slate-300 bg-white&quot;&gt;
&lt;h4 class=&quot;text-xl font-semibold&quot;&gt;&lt;button id=&quot;controlsAccordionItemFive&quot; type=&quot;button&quot; class=&quot;flex w-full cursor-pointer items-center justify-between gap-2 bg-slate-200 p-4 text-left underline-offset-2 duration-200 hover:bg-slate-100 focus-visible:bg-slate-50 focus-visible:underline focus-visible:outline-hidden&quot; aria-controls=&quot;accordionItemFive&quot; x-on:click=&quot;isExpanded = ! isExpanded&quot; x-bind:class=&quot;isExpanded ? &#039;font-bold&#039;  : &#039;font-medium&#039;&quot; x-bind:aria-expanded=&quot;isExpanded ? &#039;true&#039; : &#039;false&#039;&quot;&gt; &lt;span&gt;What is safe haven demand for gold?&lt;/span&gt; &lt;svg xmlns=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.w3.org/2000/svg&amp;quot">http://www.w3.org/2000/svg&amp;quot</a>; viewbox=&quot;0 0 24 24&quot; fill=&quot;none&quot; stroke-width=&quot;2&quot; stroke=&quot;currentColor&quot; class=&quot;size-5 shrink-0 transition&quot; aria-hidden=&quot;true&quot; x-bind:class=&quot;isExpanded  ?  &#039;rotate-180&#039;  :  &#039;&#039;&quot;&gt; &lt;path stroke-linecap=&quot;round&quot; stroke-linejoin=&quot;round&quot; d=&quot;M19.5 8.25l-7.5 7.5-7.5-7.5&quot;&gt;&lt;/path&gt; &lt;/svg&gt; &lt;/button&gt;&lt;/h4&gt;
&lt;div x-cloak=&quot;&quot; x-show=&quot;isExpanded&quot; id=&quot;accordionItemFive&quot; role=&quot;region&quot; aria-labelledby=&quot;controlsAccordionItemFive&quot; x-collapse=&quot;&quot;&gt;
&lt;div class=&quot;p-4 text-sm text-pretty sm:text-base flex flex-col gap-4&quot;&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Safe-haven demand occurs when investors turn to gold to protect wealth from economic, financial, monetary, or geopolitical risks. It can appear during periods of inflation, currency debasement, banking stress, war, or declining confidence in financial assets.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Safe-haven demand can come from both retail and institutional investors. What defines it is the motivation for buying gold, not the type of buyer.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div x-data=&quot;{ isExpanded: false }&quot; class=&quot;overflow-hidden rounded-sm border border-slate-300 bg-white&quot;&gt;
&lt;h4 class=&quot;text-xl font-semibold&quot;&gt;&lt;button id=&quot;controlsAccordionItemSix&quot; type=&quot;button&quot; class=&quot;flex w-full cursor-pointer items-center justify-between gap-2 bg-slate-200 p-4 text-left underline-offset-2 duration-200 hover:bg-slate-100 focus-visible:bg-slate-50 focus-visible:underline focus-visible:outline-hidden&quot; aria-controls=&quot;accordionItemSix&quot; x-on:click=&quot;isExpanded = ! isExpanded&quot; x-bind:class=&quot;isExpanded ? &#039;font-bold&#039;  : &#039;font-medium&#039;&quot; x-bind:aria-expanded=&quot;isExpanded ? &#039;true&#039; : &#039;false&#039;&quot;&gt; &lt;span&gt;Does gold demand exceed supply?&lt;/span&gt; &lt;svg xmlns=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.w3.org/2000/svg&amp;quot">http://www.w3.org/2000/svg&amp;quot</a>; viewbox=&quot;0 0 24 24&quot; fill=&quot;none&quot; stroke-width=&quot;2&quot; stroke=&quot;currentColor&quot; class=&quot;size-5 shrink-0 transition&quot; aria-hidden=&quot;true&quot; x-bind:class=&quot;isExpanded  ?  &#039;rotate-180&#039;  :  &#039;&#039;&quot;&gt; &lt;path stroke-linecap=&quot;round&quot; stroke-linejoin=&quot;round&quot; d=&quot;M19.5 8.25l-7.5 7.5-7.5-7.5&quot;&gt;&lt;/path&gt; &lt;/svg&gt; &lt;/button&gt;&lt;/h4&gt;
&lt;div x-cloak=&quot;&quot; x-show=&quot;isExpanded&quot; id=&quot;accordionItemSix&quot; role=&quot;region&quot; aria-labelledby=&quot;controlsAccordionItemSix&quot; x-collapse=&quot;&quot;&gt;
&lt;div class=&quot;p-4 text-sm text-pretty sm:text-base flex flex-col gap-4&quot;&gt;
&lt;p&gt;No, not in any lasting sense. Supply and demand balance each year because every ounce sold is an ounce purchased. The price adjusts in order to make that happen. When buying pressure intensifies, higher prices simply draw more recycled gold into the market.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div x-data=&quot;{ isExpanded: false }&quot; class=&quot;overflow-hidden rounded-sm border border-slate-300 bg-white&quot;&gt;
&lt;h4 class=&quot;text-xl font-semibold&quot;&gt;&lt;button id=&quot;controlsAccordionItemSeven&quot; type=&quot;button&quot; class=&quot;flex w-full cursor-pointer items-center justify-between gap-2 bg-slate-200 p-4 text-left underline-offset-2 duration-200 hover:bg-slate-100 focus-visible:bg-slate-50 focus-visible:underline focus-visible:outline-hidden&quot; aria-controls=&quot;accordionItemSeven&quot; x-on:click=&quot;isExpanded = ! isExpanded&quot; x-bind:class=&quot;isExpanded ? &#039;font-bold&#039;  : &#039;font-medium&#039;&quot; x-bind:aria-expanded=&quot;isExpanded ? &#039;true&#039; : &#039;false&#039;&quot;&gt; &lt;span&gt;How does gold demand affect the gold price?&lt;/span&gt; &lt;svg xmlns=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.w3.org/2000/svg&amp;quot">http://www.w3.org/2000/svg&amp;quot</a>; viewbox=&quot;0 0 24 24&quot; fill=&quot;none&quot; stroke-width=&quot;2&quot; stroke=&quot;currentColor&quot; class=&quot;size-5 shrink-0 transition&quot; aria-hidden=&quot;true&quot; x-bind:class=&quot;isExpanded  ?  &#039;rotate-180&#039;  :  &#039;&#039;&quot;&gt; &lt;path stroke-linecap=&quot;round&quot; stroke-linejoin=&quot;round&quot; d=&quot;M19.5 8.25l-7.5 7.5-7.5-7.5&quot;&gt;&lt;/path&gt; &lt;/svg&gt; &lt;/button&gt;&lt;/h4&gt;
&lt;div x-cloak=&quot;&quot; x-show=&quot;isExpanded&quot; id=&quot;accordionItemSeven&quot; role=&quot;region&quot; aria-labelledby=&quot;controlsAccordionItemSeven&quot; x-collapse=&quot;&quot;&gt;
&lt;div class=&quot;p-4 text-sm text-pretty sm:text-base flex flex-col gap-4&quot;&gt;
&lt;p&gt;It has more of an indirect effect on price. Demand from institutions like central banks and investors tends to support gold prices. That is because this demand tends to remain steady, as these buyers buy set amounts each month or year.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Demand from price-sensitive buyers, mainly in jewelry and technology, falls as prices rise and cushions the move. That offsetting balance is why record demand and record prices do not always occur at the same time.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;h5 class=&quot;text-2xl mt-8&quot;&gt;The Short Version&lt;/h5&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Gold demand is not a single number. It comes from four distinct groups of buyers, and only two of them meaningfully drive the price.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Jewelry and technology buyers retreat when gold becomes expensive, while central banks and investors frequently advance. Watch those two lines, give the headline total far less weight, and always pair a demand figure with the supply that met it.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Physical buyers face one additional layer. Global demand reaches you as a premium over spot and as a question of what is in stock. That part you can control by comparing total cost per ounce before you order.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Money Metals has published gold and silver pricing openly since 2010. You can compare live premiums on our &lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.moneymetals.com/buy/gold&amp;quot">https://www.moneymetals.com/buy/gold&amp;quot</a>;&gt;gold bullion page&lt;/a&gt; or read more about &lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.moneymetals.com/price/gold-premium&amp;quot">https://www.moneymetals.com/price/gold-premium&amp;quot</a>;&gt;how premiums work&lt;/a&gt;.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&lt;em&gt;This article is provided for education and information. It is not investment advice. Precious metals prices fluctuate, and past performance does not guarantee future results.&lt;/em&gt;&lt;/p&gt;</p><Img align="left" border="0" height="1" width="1" alt="" style="border:0;float:left;margin:0;padding:0;width:1px!important;height:1px!important;" hspace="0" src="https://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/i/969495449/0/moneymetals">
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				<pubDate>Tue, 22 Sep 2026 00:00:00 EST</pubDate></item>
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<feedburner:origLink>https://www.moneymetals.com/news/2026/09/22/10000-gold-a-question-of-when-not-if-005225</feedburner:origLink>
				<title>$10,000 Gold! A Question of When, Not If</title>
				<description><![CDATA[Gold is on the path toward $10,000 an ounce. It’s not a matter of if, but when.<div style="clear:both;padding-top:0.2em;"><a href="https://feeds.feedblitz.com/_/28/969482795/moneymetals"><img height="20" src="https://assets.feedblitz.com/i/fblike20.png" style="border:0;margin:0;padding:0;"></a>&#160;<a href="https://feeds.feedblitz.com/_/29/969482795/moneymetals,"><img height="20" src="https://assets.feedblitz.com/i/pinterest20.png" style="border:0;margin:0;padding:0;"></a>&#160;<a href="https://feeds.feedblitz.com/_/24/969482795/moneymetals"><img height="20" src="https://assets.feedblitz.com/i/x.png" style="border:0;margin:0;padding:0;"></a>&#160;<a href="https://feeds.feedblitz.com/_/19/969482795/moneymetals"><img height="20" src="https://assets.feedblitz.com/i/email20.png" style="border:0;margin:0;padding:0;"></a>&#160;<a href="https://feeds.feedblitz.com/_/20/969482795/moneymetals"><img height="20" src="https://assets.feedblitz.com/i/rss20.png" style="border:0;margin:0;padding:0;"></a>&nbsp;&#160;</div>]]>
</description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>&lt;p&gt;Gold is on the path toward $10,000 an ounce. It&amp;rsquo;s not a matter of if, but when.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;That&amp;rsquo;s the view of State Street Investment Management head of gold strategy Aakash Doshi. In an interview with Kitco News, he said investors should be thinking beyond $5,000 gold to $10,000. He sees that milestone as &amp;ldquo;&lt;em&gt;ultimately a question of timing rather than possibility&lt;/em&gt;&amp;rdquo; in the current global economic environment.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Doshi argued that &lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.moneymetals.com/news/2026/07/28/with-bonds-struggling-investors-turning-to-tangible-assets-like-gold-005096&amp;quot">https://www.moneymetals.com/news/2026/07/28/with-bonds-struggling-investors-turning-to-tangible-assets-like-gold-005096&amp;quot</a>;&gt;the debasement trade&lt;/a&gt; drove gold to record highs earlier this year, and it never went away. It simply went dormant as the Iran war oil price shock created an environment of elevated inflation worries, rising interest rates, and a stronger dollar.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;blockquote&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&amp;ldquo;At State Street, we never thought it was dead; we just thought it was on pause. And now I think it&amp;rsquo;s alive again.&amp;rdquo;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;/blockquote&gt;
&lt;div x-data=&quot;{ item_id: undefined, view: null }&quot; x-html=&quot;view || &#039;Product-Random-Best&#039;&quot; x-init=&quot;view = await (await fetch(&#039;/shortcodes/product/random/best?category=2&#039;)).text()&quot;&gt;!!--Product-Random-Best-2--!!&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;p&gt;The debasement trade is an investment strategy that emphasizes holding tangible assets such as gold, silver, and other commodities to protect against monetary debasement.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;We see this trade playing out in the struggling Treasury market.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Treasuries have been selling off because many countries are increasingly wary of holding U.S. debt. With &lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.moneymetals.com/news/2026/08/20/the-40-trillion-national-debt-in-perspective-005151&amp;quot">https://www.moneymetals.com/news/2026/08/20/the-40-trillion-national-debt-in-perspective-005151&amp;quot</a>;&gt;the national debt eclipsing $40 trillion&lt;/a&gt; and U.S. policymakers giving no hint they intend to address the &lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.moneymetals.com/news/2026/08/13/trump-administration-runs-largest-monthly-budget-deficit-in-five-years-005135&amp;quot">https://www.moneymetals.com/news/2026/08/13/trump-administration-runs-largest-monthly-budget-deficit-in-five-years-005135&amp;quot</a>;&gt;borrowing and spending problem&lt;/a&gt;, America&amp;rsquo;s fiscal situation doesn&amp;rsquo;t exactly inspire confidence.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;On top of the fiscal problems, the U.S. has &lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.moneymetals.com/news/2026/09/22/us-doubling-down-on-weaponization-of-the-dollar-005224&amp;quot">https://www.moneymetals.com/news/2026/09/22/us-doubling-down-on-weaponization-of-the-dollar-005224&amp;quot</a>;&gt;weaponized the dollar&lt;/a&gt; as a foreign policy tool. This has made some countries even more wary about holding greenbacks.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Doshi said gold holding $4,000 during the correction and later rallying to $4,700 &lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.moneymetals.com/news/2026/09/17/hut-hut-hike-the-fed-raised-rates-now-what-005211&amp;quot">https://www.moneymetals.com/news/2026/09/17/hut-hut-hike-the-fed-raised-rates-now-what-005211&amp;quot</a>;&gt;before last week&#039;s Fed rate hike&lt;/a&gt; strengthened his conviction that the broader gold bull market remains intact despite continued headwinds from the Iran war oil shock.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;He also noted an uptick in &lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.moneymetals.com/news/2026/09/10/etf-gold-holdings-surged-to-record-high-in-august-005193&amp;quot">https://www.moneymetals.com/news/2026/09/10/etf-gold-holdings-surged-to-record-high-in-august-005193&amp;quot</a>;&gt;ETF gold inflows&lt;/a&gt; in recent weeks as a bullish indicator.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;blockquote&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&amp;ldquo;We started to see inflows rebound aggressively from Western ETF investors. I think there&amp;rsquo;s plenty of firepower here to go.&amp;rdquo;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;/blockquote&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Doshi said State Street&amp;rsquo;s base-case gold forecast is now $4,700 to $5,000 an ounce by early this winter. A dovish Fed shift or a macroeconomic shock could put $5,000 in play even faster.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;While all eyes are glued to the Fed, Doshi said he thinks the sustainability (or lack thereof) of sovereign debt is the bigger issue. And it&amp;rsquo;s not just a U.S.A. problem. He pointed out that fiscal deterioration and rising long-term borrowing costs are a global problem. The United Kingdom, the Eurozone, and Japan continue running substantial deficits, driving debt higher.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;blockquote&gt;
&lt;p style=&quot;text-align: left;&quot;&gt;&amp;ldquo;There is just a concern about the sheer level of debt, the amount of fiscal spending that&amp;rsquo;s happening during non-recessionary periods.&amp;rdquo;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;/blockquote&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Doshi also pointed out an apparent fundamental shift in investor thinking. Historically, &lt;a href=&quot;<a href="http://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/t/0/0/moneymetals/~https://www.moneymetals.com/news/2026/09/18/higher-rates-are-bad-for-gold-and-silver-or-are-they-005215&amp;quot">https://www.moneymetals.com/news/2026/09/18/higher-rates-are-bad-for-gold-and-silver-or-are-they-005215&amp;quot</a>;&gt;higher yields have created headwinds for gold&lt;/a&gt; &amp;ndash; a non-yielding asset. However, investors are starting to look beyond the mere existence of rising yields and question &lt;em&gt;why&lt;/em&gt; interest rates keep moving higher.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;When yields rise due to strong economic growth and corporate optimism, that bolsters the case against gold. However, when yields rise because investors demand a larger term premium to compensate for inflation in an environment of excessive government borrowing and deteriorating fiscal credibility, &amp;ldquo;&lt;em&gt;the implications are significantly different&lt;/em&gt;.&amp;rdquo; The argument becomes less about gold&amp;rsquo;s opportunity cost and more about protecting your purchasing power over time.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&amp;ldquo;&lt;em&gt;It becomes more, &amp;lsquo;I&amp;rsquo;m owning gold because of debasement and purchasing power risk and debt monetization risk&#039;&lt;/em&gt;,&quot; Doshi said.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Doshi noted that while easing yields could give gold an even bigger boost, rapidly rising yields could also become bullish indicators if investors believe they reflect deteriorating confidence in sovereign debt and are accompanied by a weaker U.S. dollar.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;blockquote&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&amp;ldquo;I think right now it&amp;rsquo;s a little bit of a confidence game. Gold has no creditor, it is a scarce natural resource, and it has history behind it.&amp;rdquo;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;/blockquote&gt;
&lt;p&gt;That opens the path to $10,000 gold.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;He cautioned that the yellow metal won&amp;rsquo;t get to that level &amp;ldquo;in a straight line,&amp;rdquo; but the long-term direction is clear.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;blockquote&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&amp;ldquo;I do think $10,000 is a question of when, not if.&amp;rdquo;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;/blockquote&gt;</p><Img align="left" border="0" height="1" width="1" alt="" style="border:0;float:left;margin:0;padding:0;width:1px!important;height:1px!important;" hspace="0" src="https://feeds.feedblitz.com/~/i/969482795/0/moneymetals">
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				<guid>https://www.moneymetals.com/news/2026/09/22/10000-gold-a-question-of-when-not-if-005225</guid>
				<pubDate>Tue, 22 Sep 2026 00:00:00 EST</pubDate></item>
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