ETF Investors Ran to Equities Amid Volatility: Schwab

This has “certainly been a very weird and volatile market, to say the least,” Sylvia Jablonski, managing director of capital markets and institutional ETF strategist at Direxion, went on to say on the call. Although 2019 started off strong “with a continuing rally in the bull market,” she noted we then saw “some sporadic pullbacks” in May and then, again in August, there are “similar alarms sounding again.”

In January, everybody wondered whether the Federal Reserve would raise rates and, after that, everybody started wondering how many rate cuts there would be as the U.S.-China trade conflict was “on everybody’s mind” all the time, she said. That trade battle is expected to continue and it’s impacting multiple markets around the world, raising concerns, Jablonski said. As a result, many of her firm’s clients had panicked reactions to the market volatility this year, she said, adding: “Whether it’s the trade wars, the tweets or the speculations about the Fed, investors have really seen headline risk and its effect on the market,” and work has been done with clients’ portfolios in reaction “on a day-to-day basis.”

That shifting in clients’ portfolios has “often been selling into the lows, or it’s been going straight to cash and sitting on the sidelines and potentially missing out on some of the equity opportunities that we’ve had on the market throughout the year,” she said. But “investors should probably resist the urge to react really quickly when the market is sinking extremely low or flying up really high as a result of a tweet or a headline,” she said.

Advisors are telling investors to “adjust and include a combination of things like perhaps holding on to your growth and quality when the market’s falling, but taking some of your cash and allocating to late-cycle performers,” she said. Consumer staples, health care and utilities are among the safest stocks for investors, she noted.

Microsoft and Apple have “massively rewarded investors for the last decade, but if you look at early August, they were also the biggest names that were hit” when the tariff war ramped up again, she said. As a result, many long-term investors got “skittish and sold off” their positions in those companies, along with tech ETFs, she noted, adding they should have held out because “those names are pretty much back where they were” now and have recovered.

Her advice for investors: “Hold on to those quality names that you believe are going to do well in the future. Regardless of trade tariffs, that technology will lead to production and will lead to” new inventions, artificial intelligence, cloud growth and other technologies that will likely be very important regardless of volatility in the market.

For now, much of the rest of the world is “having some serious issues,” including China, Germany, Greece and Italy, and the U.S. is actually performing better, she went on to say. “There is opportunity” on the market now for U.S. investors, but they should “be skeptical and take some risk off” their portfolios, she said, stressing now is “the time to diversify.”

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