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USDA winter wheat estimate up on month

The USDA has raised its projection for the current winter wheat crop.

As of June 1st, the crop is estimated at 1.198 billion bushels, up 1% from May’s guess, but down 6% from the 2017 total of 1.269 billion because of lower acreage and lower yields, with large portions of the hard red winter growing region in drought or near drought conditions. Month to month, the hard red winter guess was up 1% at 650.373 million bushels, soft red winter was slightly higher at 315.5 million, and combined white winter was up 2% at 231.843 million bushels.

This year’s national average yield is expected to be 48.4 bushels per acre, compared to 48.1 in May’s update and the year ago average of 50.2. Harvested area is projected at 24.769 million acres, compared to 25.291 million last year.

14% of the crop was harvested as of this past Sunday, with 38% of the crop in good to excellent condition, compared to 50% this time last year.

The new marketing year for wheat started June 1st.

Year to year comparisons for listed Brownfield states:

Illinois: 38.25 million bushels, compared to 35.72 million in 2017; average yield of 75 bushels per acre, compared to 73 a month ago and 76 a year ago; harvested area of 510,000 acres, compared to 470,000 last year

Indiana: 18.72 million bushels, compared to 17.76 million in 2017; average yield of 78 bushels per acre, compared to 81 a month ago and 74 a year ago; harvested area of 240,000 acres, unchanged from last year

Michigan: 44.1 million bushels, compared to 33.575 million in 2017; average yield of 90 bushels per acre, compared to 93 a month ago and 79 a year ago; harvested area of 490,000 acres, compared to 425,000 last year

Missouri: 34.45 million bushels, compared to 36.72 million in 2017; average yield of 65 bushels per acre, compared to 64 a month ago and 68 a year ago; harvested area of 530,000 acres, compared to 540,000 last year

Nebraska: 44.55 million bushels, compared to 46.92 million in 2017; average yield of 45 bushels per acre, compared to 43 a month ago and 46 a year ago; harvested area of 990,000 acres, compared to 1.02 million last year

Ohio: 37.13 million bushels, compared to 32.19 million in 2017; average yield of 79 bushels per acre, compared to 77 a month ago and 74 a year ago; harvested area of 470,000 acres, compared to 435,000 last year

South Dakota: 38.42 million bushels, compared to 20.8 million in 2017; average yield of 54 bushels per acre, compared to 56 a month ago and 40 a year ago; harvested area of 730,000 acres, compared to 520,000 last year

Wisconsin: 14.7 million bushels, compared to 11.56 million in 2017; average yield of 70 bushels per acre, compared to 73 a month ago and 68 a year ago; harvested area of 210,000 acres, compared to 170,000 last year

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